Is the advisor suitable for real life? - page 11

 
Mathemat >>:
И все это - при весьма умеренной прибыльности. Очень интересно!


I'm not a fan of Safonov, but these curves support his claim that

I should pause and reread it again, maybe something else will come to mind.
 
Mathemat >>:
И все это - при весьма умеренной прибыльности. Очень интересно!


Unfortunately, if you select results with a profit margin of 2 or more, they are likely to show a small number of trades with a normal lot. There is no confidence in such results.
 
Strategy Tester Report
EGEN Hedge Advisor
Alpari-Demo (Build 225)

SymbolUSDCHF (US Dollar vs Swiss Franc)
Period1 Minute (M1) 2010.02.01 00:00 - 2010.02.26 22:59 (2010.02.01 - 2010.02.28)
ModelAll ticks (most accurate method based on all smallest available timeframes)
ParametersCloseAll=false; Shutdown=false; TakeProfit=0; StopLoss=0; Expiration=true; Lots=0; MaxOrders=100; Slippage=3;

Bars in history29557Modelled ticks900353Simulation quality25.00%
Chart mismatch errors0




Initial deposit500.00



Net profit1269.17Total profit2516.22Total loss-1247.05
Profitability2.02Expected payoff12.69

Absolute drawdown225.60Maximum drawdown1121.04 (42.05%)Relative drawdown49.37% (1039.14)

Total trades100Short positions (% win)41 (0.00%)Long positions (% win)59 (100.00%)

Profitable trades (% of all)59 (59.00%)Profitable trades (% of all)41 (41.00%)
Largestprofitable trade477.72losing deal-330.66
Averageprofitable deal42.65losing trade-30.42
Maximum numbercontinuous wins (profit)3 (1360.80)Continuous losses (loss)11 (-340.11)
MaximumContinuous Profit (number of wins)1360.80 (3)Continuous loss (number of losses)-362.13 (2)
Averagecontinuous winnings2Continuous loss1


 
Strategy Tester Report
EGEN Hedge Advisor
Alpari-Demo (Build 225)

SymbolUSDCHF (US Dollar vs Swiss Franc)
Period1 Minute (M1) 2010.03.01 00:00 - 2010.03.19 22:00 (2010.03.01 - 2010.03.21)
ModelAll ticks (most accurate method based on all smallest available timeframes)
ParametersCloseAll=false; Shutdown=false; TakeProfit=0; StopLoss=0; Expiration=true; Lots=0; MaxOrders=100; Slippage=3;

Bars in history18949Modelled ticks453935Simulation quality25.00%
Chart mismatch errors0




Initial deposit500.00



Net profit443.17Total profit1418.00Total loss-974.82
Profitability1.45Expected payoff4.43

Absolute drawdown202.84Maximum drawdown308.66 (50.95%)Relative drawdown50.95% (308.66)

Total trades100Short Positions (% win)53 (100.00%)Long positions (% win)47 (0.00%)

Profitable trades (% of all)53 (53.00%)Profitable trades (% of all)47 (47.00%)
Largestprofitable trade122.60losing deal-100.01
Averageprofitable deal26.75Deal loss-20.74
Maximumcontinuous wins (profit)8 (519.05)Continuous losses (loss)4 (-241.44)
Maximumcontinuous profits (number of wins)519.05 (8)Continuous loss (number of losses)-241.44 (4)
Averagecontinuous winnings1Continuous loss1

 
Reverse RSI with the following features:
- optimization on 2000-2006, forward on 2006-2010
-Signals are reversed on every loss
-This tactic is controlled by the balance curve
-in turn, the signals of the control tactic are controlled by the resulting balance, whose signals are also interchanged (measurement 2 by Safonov)
-for forward, 1 topmost optimization run is selected. There was no overshoot of the optimization results
-forward starts from the 2700th trade somewhere
-notice the recovery factor.

 
Yes, this is interesting: the profitable trades are less than half of the losing ones!
On the other hand, that's a 2.7x increase in depo over 9 years, i.e. about 20% per year (if the trades are spread roughly evenly over the years). I.e. it is very modest, a couple of times higher than today's bank rate.
 
Mathemat >>:
Да, вот тут интересно: прибыльных сделок меньше половины убыточных!
С другой стороны, это рост депо в 2.7 раза за 9 лет, т.е. примерно 20% в год (если сделки распределены примерно равномерно по годам). Т.е. это очень скромно, в пару раз выше сегодняшнего банковского процента.


Well, in theory it is possible to reduce the initial deposit and get a higher percentage.
A recovery factor of around 7 and a drawdown of 8% allows this.
 
Dserg >>:
Ну, теоретически можно уменьшить начальный депозит и получить больший процент.
Фактор восстановления около 7 и просадка 8% это позволяет.

Well in theory you could still reverse the trade. Buy=>Sell and vice versa. Go for it. Do not forget to post the state. :)

// Explanation. Just to keep it as a joke: the strategy should be reversed on wins, not on losses.

 
MetaDriver >>:

Ну теоретически ещё можно перевернуть торговлю. Buy=>Sell и наоборот. Дерзай. Не забудь стейт выложить. :)

// Пояснение. Чтоб совсем уж шуткой не выглядело: пущай стратегия переворачивается при выигрышах, а не при проигрышах.


You're already using a double flip :)
You could of course build another dimension from above, but I think this is unnecessary for the time being
 
For now, I plan to implement something like this: