EURUSD - Trends, Forecasts and Implications (Part 1) - page 963

 
EU summit delayed by two hours!
 

My targets for the rest of the week: Up - target 1.3930, Down - target 1.3635

I am more inclined to the downside, that is why I am in the sell

 

axel levels

Dow Jones Newswires column by Francis Bray, MSc Technical Analyst /MSTA/

LONDON, Feb 11 (ANI). /Dow Jones/. Moving charts for 24 hours:

Spot Quotes: EUR/USD pair U.S. dollar/Japanese yen GBP/USD currency pair USD/Swiss franc pair
Spot on 06.02 GMT 1.3779 89.87 1.5635 1.0642
Three day trend Down Down Down Up
Weekly trend Down Down Down Up
200 dn cfr. 1.4296 92.27 1.6165 1.0537
3rd resistance 1.3851 91.00 1.5811 1.0721
2nd resistance 1.3840 90.52 1.5766 1.0700
1st resistance 1.3813 90.15 1.5720 1.0686
Pivot point* 1.3742 89.75 1.5644 1.0671
1st support 1.3725 89.46 1.5562 1.0609
2nd support 1.3676 89.25 1.5537 1.0575
3rd support 1.3621 88.82 1.5500 1.0544
Spot Quotes: Euro/British Pound pair Euro/Japanese Yen Euro/Swiss franc pair Australian dollar/US dollar pair
Spot as of 06.31 GMT 0.8813 123.99 1.4669 0.8879
Three day trend Up Down Side trend Up
Weekly trend Down Down Down Down
200dn cfr. 0.8849 131.83 1.5044 0.8614
3rd resistance 0.8899 125.00 1.4725 0.8954
2nd resistance 0.8855 124.56 1.4715 0.8924
1st resistance 0.8819 124.28 1.4692 0.8893
Pivot point* 0.8791 123.54 1.4669 0.8754
1st support 0.8778 123.03 1.4650 0.8800
2nd support 0.8746 122.69 1.4645 0.8711
3rd support 0.8712 122.36 1.4604 0.8617
 

Sounds great!!! - "Master of technical analysis", I immediately wonder, what am I then? :)))

does anyone have any idea what "trend" might mean in the words "weekly trend" or "three-day trend" for analysts? and why not "three-week trend" but one bar is a trend?

 
cr0ss писал(а) >>

Sounds great!!! - "Master of technical analysis", I immediately wonder, what am I then? :)))

does anyone have any idea what "trend" might mean in the words "weekly trend" or "three-day trend" for analysts? and why not "three-week trend" but one bar is a trend?

"Master of technical analysis" sounds loud, but not reliable.

In theory a trend is a three step forward, one step backward price movement in a cycle, if a bar = a step, then one is not a trend for your TF.

"Weekly" and "three-day" is probably a time intrval, i.e. which sentiment will dominate at that time according to the forecast

And what is a "Pivot Point*" is still a mystery to me. Under the asterisk there is an indication of how it is calculated. According to the theory, it is a point when the market changes its direction of movement into the opposite one - "reversal".

And what does Axel mean by this point? - Is it a balance/reversal/reversal point?

 

I think the trend is a directional movement, the path of this movement is measured from point to point - then at least the trend can be analysed on 2 bars, but one bar has Open and Clowes, and this is the start point and the end point, so one bar can also determine the trend.

Why did the person choose three days to analyse the trend and what does he measure in interesting ( in bars of which TF, Day,4 hours,1 hour...). "This phrase is always on my mind when I'm smoking :)

As for the pivot point, I think it's just a psychological tool, to make the analysis more fun :)

Xenia, what is the balance point? If the pivot and non-return points are at least somewhat understandable to me, but the balance point of what is unclear ...

And if a reversal has occurred, it will locally be a point of no return, although I would not use the term "point of no return" for myself, as for me, the term, as they say, "melts the brain" :)

 

from Wikipedia :)

A trend is a general trend in a multidirectional movement, the expressed general direction of changes in the indicators of any time series. Trends may be described by various equations - linear, logarithmic, power, etc. The actual type of graph is established on the basis of the graphical representation of time series data, by averaging the indicators of the dynamics of the series, on the basis of statistical testing of the hypothesis about the constancy of the graph parameters.

Trend in economy - the direction in which the indicators are predominantly moving. It is usually considered in technical analysis, where the direction of prices or index values is implied. Charles Dow noted that in case of ascending trend, the next peak on the graph should be higher than the previous ones, in case of descending trend, the next declines on the graph should be lower than the previous ones (see Dow Theory). The trends are defined as upward (bullish), downward (bearish) and sideways (flat). A trend line is often drawn on a chart. It connects two or more price troughs in an ascending trend (the line is under the chart, visually supporting it and pushing it up), and it connects two or more price peaks in a descending trend (the line is above the chart, visually limiting it and pushing it down). Trend lines are support (for an uptrend) and resistance (for a downtrend) lines.

 
waitra писал(а) >>

"Master of technical analysis" sounds loud, but not reliable.

In theory, a trend is a three-step-ahead-one-backward price movement in a cycle, if a bar = a step, then one is not a trend for its TF.

"Weekly" and "three-day" is probably a time intrval, i.e. which sentiment will dominate at that time according to the forecast

And what is a "Pivot Point*" is still a mystery to me. Under the asterisk there is an indication of how it is calculated. According to the theory, it is a point when the market changes its direction of movement into the opposite one - "reversal".

And what does Axel mean by this point? - Is it a balance/reversal/reversal point?

The pivot point is calculated as the sum of the high, low and closing levels divided by three.

 
Fibo писал(а) >>

The pivot point is calculated as the sum of the high, low and closing level divided by three.

Hehe, from my post: "Under the asterisk is an indication of how it is calculated" for those who haven't noticed. The question I have is not how it is calculated, but what is it for, what does it mean.

 
like, if the price is above this point, it goes to the top level, if it is below, it goes to the bottom level. At least Axel had it that way...