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It will be a useful thread for many, IMHO!
Therefore UP!
;)
In order not to lose them, I am leaving links here to interesting materials. (Fig.4.7- 4.9 are the ones I consider as gap trading) there is some information about Kalman and Fourier, very brief, but it may help someone to understand it
http://stratum.ac.ru/textbooks/modelir/contents.html
Really very well done. I am sure that many will find it useful.
There is no subject to be admired. All matstatistics have long ago been applied to economics and it's all called econometrics. More than once I have written on this forum and website, but one attitude is that the word "econometrics" according to the website has a grammatical error.
A large number of packages have been developed to automate econometrics procedures, e.g. EViwes. I can recommend a 10-year-old book by the author Nosko: Econometrics for Beginners, Econometrics - an Introduction to Regression Analysis, Econometrics for Beginners (Additional Chapters), Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic Indicators. And right on topic: V. G. Briukov, How to Predict the Dollar Rate.
faa1947:
And right on topic: V.G. Brükov, How to Predict the Dollar Rate.
You can read Brüükov's article here: http://www.spekulant.ru/archive/Kak_sprognozirovat_kurs_dollara.html
And the results of the prediction can be seen in this screenshot (red - prediction, blue - real):
You can read the Bruckow article here: http://www.spekulant.ru/archive/Kak_sprognozirovat_kurs_dollara.html
I have a link to a book of 270 pages. The article is not related to the book, which provides calculations on EViews. Brückow's book came out in April, but Nosko's books are a theoretical complement to EViews and are much more serious.
I'm leaving them as a memento for posterity. These pictures are dedicated to those who
1. averaging, and haven't seen one yet ... i am truly sorry for those who got a margin call today, but it's a learning experience, an invaluable experience....
How many wondrous discoveries
The spirit of enlightenment prepares us.
And experience is the son of hard errors,
And genius, the friend of paradoxes,
And chance, God the inventor.
A.S. Pushkin.
9 figures...=9000 pips. Just have time to average out.... ))). I recommend finding the "St. Petersburg Paradox" problem and solving it...
2. those who work on candlesticks, i.e., they wait for the beginning of a new candlestick and only then make a decision. Only a stop will save you, or rather it may save you.
There are simple truths. They must not be violated. If you drive a car and touch the steering wheel once an hour, no good can come of it...there's the turn in front of you...
It's a continuation of this argument. Don't believe it, don't believe anyone... https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/2176/26480#comment_26480
When you build your ATS, think of these pictures. They will help you to choose a working timeframe, or at least prevent you from averaging....
Sincerely. S.Privalov (Prival)
When you build your ATS, think of these pictures. They will help you to choose a working timeframe, or at least prevent you from averaging....
Sincerely. S.Privalov (Prival)