From the idea to the actual bill. - page 7

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USDCAD
 
xeon:
USDCAD
Accurate or Opinion?
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCD what can such a cluster provide? - By "filtering out" the movement of the dollar? Is it enough for successful trading? It's funny, though.
 

I have exactly the same doubts. Why sell a grail if it will bring you a 200 million profit in two years for an investment of $10000? Any grail for sale stops working after a while. Why? Suppose people buy that grail and start pumping millions out of banks. Firstly, such a grail would begin to seriously affect currency prices. Imagine that all the holders of this grail would buy the same currency pair at the same time. The demand will exceed the supply, the price will increase, and the profit will fall. Second, the banks are not fools who work in banks, and they do not want to give millions. They will buy your grail (because it is for sale) and begin to manipulate the currency prices so that your transactions on the same grail will be unprofitable. So again, the grail will stop working. If HIDDEN does not understand such simple truths, I honestly do not understand his motives: to become famous, charity (but it is unlikely if a person is even afraid to say the price of the grail aloud)?


Yay! I am not alone in this world! I totally agree with you - trying to sell a grail means that the author has already tried it - and the grail does not work :)) You described the reasons brilliantly in your post - the same thoughts I have. There are no commonly known and profitable strategies. An expert that sells becomes common knowledge.


Imagine, all holders of the grail will buy the same currency pair at the same moment. Demand will exceed supply, the price will increase, profits will fall.


For the same reasons - counting on the profitability of e.g. Bill Williams strategy is looking at the world through too rosy a prism.
 
>> 99,8%? And in general, how capable is the tester of analysing multiple currency pairs? Who thinks so?

A few pairs it can. But to trade on several pairs at once - no.
 
Figar0 писал (а):
xeon:
USDCAD
Accurate or Opinion?
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCD what can such a cluster provide? - By "filtering out" the movement of the dollar? Is it enough for successful trading?

This is the tip of the iceberg :-)
 
Figar0 писал (а):
HIDDEN wrote (a):
Before making the test, all the holes in the minute chart of all 4 currency pairs used were patched. Also full time and bar synchronisation was done between the pairs. Then all higher timeframes were obtained from the minute charts. All these actions increased the quality and synchronization of currency pairs up to 99, 8%, i.e. practically no holes in the chart and the test is of very high quality.
I wonder what is the 4th pair used by the Expert Advisor, why it is not traded by the Expert Advisor and how can you calculate this 99.8%? And in general, to what extent the tester is able to analyze multiple currency pairs? What do you think?

How to check the quality of history can be found here 'history data analysis'.

I attach the information concerning my history with which all the tests have been performed. The history is from MetaQuotes Software Corp.
Files:
files.zip  25 kb
 
About the sale, let me tell you how it all started. The implementation of the code is mine, a huge part of the thoughts in the Expert Advisor are mine. But the idea of crossing 4 pairs was suggested to me by one person. Since all of us by nature buy and sell all our lives, I immediately asked him a question, if I write an Expert Advisor and it gives profit, what we will do with it. The answer was simple, prorate.

I wrote an expert, I had not even imagined such an effect, but it turned out that way.
I think it is not very correct to argue that the EA may change the market, and then they will not trade by the methodology that they are trading by now. Selling, underneath, does not mean millions of Expert Advisor runs, not even thousands or even hundreds.
 
Actually, the question was not about how many experts will be sold, but about the point of selling an EA that will earn more than its possible commercial value + the risk of the EA's influence after its resale and replication (no one cancelled copying!)
 
xeon:
Actually, the question was not about how many EAs will be sold, but about the point of selling an EA that will earn more than its possible commercial value + the risk of the EA's influence after its resale and replication (no one cancelled copying!)

xeon, do you really think that the system can be simply copied, decompiled or transmitted, or even purchased at a swap meet? The information protection technology is quite seriously thought out. The connection is likely to be as follows.
Expert Advisor with trading functions and various checks (server errors, information on currency, etc.) + external DLL + check and authorization server.

If Expert Advisor is running on 2 accounts at the same time, it will immediately be "banned" and the client will be investigated for what he tried to do.
 

There are many specialists and they have good debuggers like IDA or Softice, for them your protection is dust. It will all come down to the price of the issue.

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