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The market does not change, there may just be different market situations. If a successful model for 2008 does not work in 2011, then the model was situational and not based on key market properties.
Well, yes. Everything is frozen and stagnant. No development, no change.
The market has its basic laws, one of which is that the winner is always the one who sells more than he buys and buys cheaper than he sells.
Tales of market volatility are a consequence of misunderstanding the basics or misinterpreting the current market situation.
Tales of market volatility are a consequence of not understanding the basics or misinterpreting the current market situation.
Gentlemen, give us a small definition of what noise is. and then we can talk about it. There are no specifics.
Noise is some kind of deviation from something, as I understand it. If it's a deviation from a signal. Then what is the signal? How is it stretched over time and on the price scale?
Abstract reasoning will get you nowhere unless you start from a clear subject of discussion.
Gentlemen, give us a small definition of what noise is. and then we can talk about it. There are no specifics.
Noise is some kind of deviation from something, as I understand it. If it's a deviation from a signal. Then what is the signal? How is it stretched over time and on the price scale?
Obstract reasoning will get us nowhere, unless we start from a clear subject of discussion.
I think it all contributes to uncertainty, which in turn is perceived as noise.
Then price quotes went from being in fractions - the smallest increment was once one-sixteenth of a dollar, or a teenie - to decimals in 2001. The switch aided automated and high-frequency trading, which took off in a big way. More electronic exchanges were set up. The market fragmented even further.I think this all contributes to uncertainty, which in turn is perceived as noise.
Then price quotes went from being in fractions - the smallest increment was once one-sixteenth of a dollar, or a teenie - to decimals in 2001. The switch aided automated and high-frequency trading, which took off in a big way. More electronic exchanges were set up. The market fragmented even further.It is an interesting phenomenon that uncertainty in the future becomes a pattern in the past. It follows ???
What follows???
If we approach the question purely formally, then noise can be defined as the difference between the data and some kind of smoothing built on it. For example in the figure of the opening price in EUR/USD on H4 for 17 years, the red line is a moving average with a period of 51.
And this is what the difference between the smoothing and the closing prices looks like - the proverbial noise.
You can even see by eye that its character is changing all the time.
And this is what the difference between the smoothing and the closing prices looks like - the proverbial noise.
You can even see by eye that its character is changing all the time.