Is this test reliable?

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The image below is a backtest of one advisor in the mql market that I bought recently:

Drawdown is under 30%, the question is could it be manipulated?

 
David Diez:

The image below is a backtest of one advisor in the mql market that I bought recently:

Drawdown is under 30%, the question is could it be manipulated?

What is the date of the last EA update?

Have you tested using ticks or open prices?

What timeframe you used?

What spread?

What is the modelling quality?

What happens if you test between 2005 and 2016?

 
Fernando Morales:

What is the date of the last EA update?

Have you tested using ticks or open prices?

What timeframe you used?

What spread?

What is the modelling quality?

What happens if you test between 2005 and 2016?

Its Real tick 99% from 2017.

The EA was released recently.
 
David Diez:

The image below is a backtest of one advisor in the mql market that I bought recently:

Drawdown is under 30%, the question is could it be manipulated?

such result says nothing real.
It's better to run many short term test, e.g. every 3 month or less to simulate forward testing.
Good luck.

NOTE: it is easy to code in "filter" to.skip "problem period", to skip trouble trades.
That's how picture-perfect EA wirks ;)


 
David Diez:

The image below is a backtest of one advisor in the mql market that I bought recently:

Drawdown is under 30%, the question is could it be manipulated?

do you use "every ticks based on real ticks" mode ? otherwise it's not accurate.


do you use also slippage simulation ?


if all those work then maybe it will work live, but the only way to tell is to put it on live with small money and small lot

 
Jean Francois Le Bas:

do you use "every ticks based on real ticks" mode ? otherwise it's not accurate.


do you use also slippage simulation ?


if all those work then maybe it will work live, but the only way to tell is to put it on live with small money and small lot

Yes I use real ticks but no slippage simulation.

 
David Diez:

Yes I use real ticks but no slippage simulation.

David Diez:

Yes I use real ticks but no slippage simulation.

At first look that is a curve-fitted parameter set.

Looking at the chart

  • Do you get positive results between 2015 and 2017?
  • Why the curve looks flat in May2020 and before May2017?
 

Hi you have fine tuned your EA to the tick generating algorithm.

Please read this.

The Algorithm of Ticks' Generation within the Strategy Tester of the MetaTrader 5 Terminal
The Algorithm of Ticks' Generation within the Strategy Tester of the MetaTrader 5 Terminal
  • www.mql5.com
The MetaTrader 5 terminal contains an integrated development environment for the development of fully automated strategies (trading robots), which can perform trading without any human intervention. Another name for these trading robots is Expert Advisors. Expert Advisors and technical indicators for the MetaTrader 5 terminal are written using...
 
David Diez:

The image below is a backtest of one advisor in the mql market that I bought recently:

Drawdown is under 30%, the question is could it be manipulated?

Why not run it in a demo account for a couple of days then make a decision after that period?

 
Nelson Wanyama:

Why not run it in a demo account for a couple of days then make a decision after that period?

A couple of days means nothing.

 
Fernando Morales:

At first look that is a curve-fitted parameter set.

Looking at the chart

  • Do you get positive results between 2015 and 2017?
  • Why the curve looks flat in May2020 and before May2017?

I'm not tested before 2017.

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