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Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.10.09 18:22
USD/JPY - daily primary bullish; 13.43 resistance is the key (based on the article)
Daily price broke Ichimoku cloud to above for the bullish breakout: the price is testing 113.43 resistance level for the bullish trend to be continuing, otherwise - bullish ranging within the levels.
- "USDJPY short-term implied volatility may be underpricing a sustained breakout from the recent trading range; downside looks like the biggest risk at the moment. When comparing 1-week to 1-month implied volatility the shorter dated options are pricing in less movement in USDJPY in the near-term than their longer-dated counterparts. One-month IV is at 9.18% while one-week is at only 7.97%. Volatility has been on the decline in recent weeks and the trading range in the Yen highlights this. The fact the currency has a ‘risk-on, risk-off’ component to it only helped push volatility lower as risk appetite for stocks has been strong, compacting volatility in major equity indices as evidenced by the CBOE VIX index (S&P 500) which continues to hover around 10. "
- "Related events/data: The BoJ’s Kuroda will be speaking at 12:30 am GMT time on Tuesday; FOMC September meeting minutes on Wednesday; CPI, Advance Retail Sales, and UofM Confidence on Friday."
==========Same systems for MT4/MT5:
The beginning
After
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.10.10 18:52
USD/JPY - daily bullish ranging within narrow s/r levels (based on the article)
Daily price broke Ichimoku cloud to above to be reversed to the bullish area of the chart. The price is in narrow ranging within 113.43/111.09 support resistance level for the bullish trend to be continuing or to correction to the bearish reversal to be started.
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The chart was made on H4 timeframe with standard indicators of Metatrader 4 except the following indicators (free to download):
The USDJPY has been respecting the round number levels of the 112.00 and the 113.00. The 55 day EMA has crossed above the 200 day EMA, indicating a possible golden cross with bullish implications mid-term. But the pair must break above the 113.00 level in order to continue higher towards the high at the 114.90 level. To the downside, the 111.15 level may act as support.
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.10.25 14:55
Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY and GOLD (XAU/USD): U.S. Durable Goods Orders
2017-10-25 13:30 GMT | [USD - Durable Goods Orders]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)
[USD - Durable Goods Orders] = Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods.
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From cnbc article :
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USD/JPY M5: range price movement by U.S. Durable Goods Orders news events
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XAU/USD M5: range price movement by U.S. Durable Goods Orders news events
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Chart #1 was made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:
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Chart #2 was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:
Same system for MT4:
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.10.28 11:34
Weekly Fundamental Forecast for USD/JPY (based on the article)
USD/JPY - "At next week’s meeting, there are few hopes for any actual moves. The one prospect of change on the horizon is a potential nudge-lower to near-term inflation forecasts. In a Bloomberg report earlier in the week, ‘people familiar with the Central Bank’s discussions’ implied that the BoJ may be considering a “small” cut to their inflation projections for this fiscal year, which ends in March of 2018. The current projection of 1.1% has started to look like quite the stretch: August saw inflation come in at a surprising .7%, but this was after four consecutive months of CPI coming in at a .4% clipin a year that saw inflation remain below .5% for a full twelve months."
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Chart was made on MT4 using iFibonacci indicator and MaksiGen_Range_Move indicator from CodeBase (free to download).
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.11.01 09:30
USD/JPY - daily ranging bullish; 114.45 is the key (based on the article)
Daily price is on bullish ranging above Ichimoku cloud within 114.45 resistance level for the bullish trend to be resumed and 111.47 support level for the bearish reversal to be started. Ascending triangle pattern was formed by the price to be crossed to above for the primary bullish market condition to be continuing.
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The chart was made on D1 timeframe with Ichimoku market condition setup (MT5) from this post (free to download for indicators and template) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.11.05 08:52
Weekly USD/JPY Outlook: 2017, November 05 - November 12 (based on the article)
Dollar/yen got used to the 113 handle early in the week and attempts to settle above 114 were heavily fought by sellers. The Fed decision, the nomination of a new Fed Chair and the NFP all moved the pair, but the ranges were not challenged.
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.11.15 06:45
USD/JPY - daily bullish ranging; 114.73 is the key (based on the article)
Daily price is above 200 peiod SMA in the primary bullish area of the chart: the price is on ranging within 114.73 resistance level for the bullish trend to be resumed and 113.08 support level for the secondary correction to be started.
By the way, if the price breaks 111.89 support level to below on daily close bar so the bearish reversal of the daily price movement will be started with 111.02 daily target to re-enter.
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The chart was made on D1 timeframe with standard indicators of Metatrader 4 except the following indicators (free to download):
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.11.22 15:10
Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, USD/CNH and Gold: U.S. Durable Goods Orders
2017-11-22 13:30 GMT | [USD - Durable Goods Orders]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)
[USD - Durable Goods Orders] = Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods.
==========
From cnbc article :
==========
USD/JPY M1: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events
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USD/CNH M1: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events
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XAU/USD M1: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events
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The charts were made on MT5 with MA Channel Stochastic system uploaded on this post, and using standard indicators from Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2017.12.06 12:40
USD/JPY - daily ranging around bullish/bearish reversal area for direction (based on the article)
Daily price is ranging aroud 100 SMA/200 SMA reversal area.
If the price breaks 113.09 resistance level to above so the priumary bullish trend will be resumed.
If the price breaks 110.84 support level to below on daily close bar so the bearish reversal will be started.
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The chart was made on M5 timeframe with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 except the following indicator (free to download):