Forecast and levels for AUD - page 31

 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.12.05 07:58

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Cash RateRate Statement and range price movement 

2023-12-04 03:30 GMT | [AUD - Cash Rate]

  • past data is 4.35%
  • forecast data is 4.35%
  • actual data is 4.35% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Cash Rate] = Interest rate charged on overnight loans between financial intermediaries.

==========

From official report :

"At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent and the interest rate paid on Exchange Settlement balances unchanged at 4.25 per cent."

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by RBA Cash Rate news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.01.05 17:06

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, AUD/USD and Nikkei 225: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2024-01-05 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 199K
  • forecast data is 1K
  • actual data is 216K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 216,000 in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in government, health care, social assistance, and construction, while transportation and warehousing lost jobs."

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

NZD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Nikkei 225: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


Nikkei 225: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with the following indicator from CodeBase:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.01.18 06:17

AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

2024-01-20 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

  • past data is 72.6K
  • forecast data is 14.0K
  • actual data is -65.1K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

==========

From rttnews article:

The Australian economy lost 65,100 jobs in December, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday.

    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event 

    AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event

    ==========

    Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    Same system for MT4:

    1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
    2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
    3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
    4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2024.02.15 16:38

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, USD/JPY and AUD/USD: United States Retail Sales

    2024-02-15 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

    • past data is 0.4%
    • forecast data is 1.1%
    • actual data is 0.8% according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

    ==========

    From rttnews article :

    "The Commerce Department said retail sales slid by 0.8 percent in January after climbing by a downwardly revised 0.4 percent in December".

    ==========

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

    ==========

    USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

    USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

    AUD/USD: range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

    ==========

    Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    ==========

    The forum threads
    1. Key forum thread - Fast Fourier Transform - Cycle Extraction - the thead with FFTfiltr indicator and explanation
    2. New EA based on the !xMeter (!xMter based on Fast Fourier Transform) - the thread 
    3. Many FFT indicators with examples and explanations - the thread 
    4. Ticks Before The News - the thread with many FFT indicators and explanation how to trade

    CodeBase

    1. dt_FFT - library for MetaTrader  
    2. LGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 4 
    3. ALGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 5 
    4. AFIRMA - indicator for MetaTrader 5
    5. Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

    The articles


     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2024.04.01 17:13

    Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, AUD/USD and Dollar Index (DXY): ISM United States Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

    2024-04-01 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI]

    • past data is 47.8
    • forecast data is 47.7
    • actual data is 50.3 according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

    [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

    ==========

    From official report :

    "The Manufacturing PMI® registered 50.3 percent in March, up 2.5 percentage points from the 47.8 percent recorded in February. The overall economy continued in expansion for the 47th month after one month of contraction in April 2020."

    ==========

    USD/JPY: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    USD/JPY: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    ==========

    AUD/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    AUD/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    ============

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

    ==========

    Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

    ==========

    Same systems for MT4/MT5:

    The beginning

    1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
    2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
    3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
    4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
    5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
    6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

    After 

    1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
    2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
    3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
    4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread 

     

    Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

    Press review

    Sergey Golubev, 2024.04.18 07:46

    AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

    2024-04-18 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

    • past data is 117.6K
    • forecast data is 20.3K
    • actual data is -6.6K according to the latest press release

    if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

    [AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

    ==========

    From reuters article:

    Australian employment fell in March after an enormous gain the month before while the jobless rate resumed its uptrend, a sign that the relatively tight labour market was still on track to loosen, albeit at a slower pace.

      ==========

      AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event 

      AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event

      ==========

      Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

      Same system for MT4:

      1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
      2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
      3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
      4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

       

      Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

      Press review

      Sergey Golubev, 2024.05.16 07:53

      AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and range price movement 

      2024-05-16 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]

      • past data is -5.9K
      • forecast data is 22.4K
      • actual data is 38.5K according to the latest press release

      if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

      [AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.

      ==========

      From official report:

      Employment in Australia increased by 38,500 to 14,300.000 in April 2024.

        ==========

        AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event 

        AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Employment Change news event

        ==========

        Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

        Same system for MT4:

        1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
        2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
        3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
        4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

         

        Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

        Press review

        Sergey Golubev, 2024.05.28 07:57

        AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Retail Sales and range price movement 

        2024-05-28 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Retail Sales]

        • past data is -0.4%
        • forecast data is -0.1%
        • actual data is 0.1% according to the latest press release

        if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)

        [AUD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

        ==========

        From official report :

        The April 2024 seasonally adjusted estimate: 

        • Rose 0.1% month-on-month.
        • Rose 1.3% compared with April 2023.

          ==========

          AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Retail Sales news event 

          AUD/USD: range price movement by Australia  Retail Sales news event

          ==========

          Chart was made on MT5 with the following indicators from CodeBase:


           

          Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

          Press review

          Sergey Golubev, 2024.06.05 16:42

          Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USDUSD/JPY and USD/CAD: ISM United States Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

          2024-06-05 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Services PMI]

          • past data is 49.4
          • forecast data is 51.2
          • actual data is 53.8  according to the latest press release

          if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

          [USD - ISM Services PMI]  =  Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.

          ==========

          From official report :

          "Economic activity in the services sector grew in May after contracting in April for the first time since December 2022, say the nation's purchasing and supply executives in the latest Services ISM® Report On Business®. The Services PMI® registered 53.8 percent, indicating sector expansion for the 46th time in 48 months."

          ==========

          AUD/USD: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

          AUD/USD: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

          ==========

          USD/JPY: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

          USD/JPY: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

          ==========

          USD/CAD: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

          USD/CAD: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

          ==========

          Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

          Same system for MT4:

          1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
          2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
          3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
          4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread



           

          Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

          Press review

          Sergey Golubev, 2024.07.05 15:45

          Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, USD/CNH and Brent Crude Oil: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

          2024-07-05 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

          • past data is 218K
          • forecast data is 287K
          • actual data is 206K according to the latest press release

          if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

          [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

          ==========

          From official report :

          Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 206,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in government, health care, social assistance, and construction.

          ==========

          AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

          AUD/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

          ==========

          USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


          USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

          ==========

          Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

          Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

          ==========

          Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

          All about BrainTrading system for MT5: