Forecast and levels for USD/CNH - page 9

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2018.11.27 16:29

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and Crude Oil: CB Consumer Confidence

2018-11-27 15:00 GMT | [USD - CB Consumer Confidence]

• past data is 137.9
• forecast data is 136.2
• actual data is 135.7 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CB Consumer Confidence] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From official report :

• "The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® declined in November, following an improvement in October. The Index now stands at 135.7 (1985=100), down from 137.9 in October. The Present Situation Index – based on consumers’ assessment of current business and labor market conditions – improved slightly, from 171.9 to 172.7. The Expectations Index – based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business and labor market conditions – decreased from 115.1 last month to 111.0 this month."

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USD/CNH M1: range price movement by CB Consumer Confidence news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2018.12.07 15:01

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, NZD/USD and USD/CNH: Non-Farm Payrolls

2018-12-07 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 237K
• forecast data is 198K
• actual data is 155K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

• "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 155,000 in November, and the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in manufacturing, and in transportation and warehousing."

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USD/JPY M5: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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NZD/USD M5: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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USD/CNH M5: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.01.21 07:37

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Gross Domestic Product and range price movement 

2019-01-21 02:00 GMT | [CNY - GDP]

• past data is 6.5%
• forecast data is 6.5%
• actual data is 6.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.

==========

From cnbc article :

• "China on Monday announced that its official economic growth came in at 6.6 percent in 2018 - the slowest pace since 1990.""Fourth quarter GDP growth was 6.4 percent, matching expectations. That was a decline from the 6.5 percent year-over-year growth in the third quarter of 2018."

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USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news event 

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Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

• BrainTrend2Sig indicator from Codebase (free to download)
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Fibo Bar MT5 - indicator for MetaTrader 5

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:

• BrainTrending indicators to download with template.
• Rules to trade manually
• How to install 

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.02.06 09:46

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, USD/CNH and Crude Oil: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

2019-02-05 15:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI]

• past data is 57.6
• forecast data is 57.2
• actual data is 56.7 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

• "Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in January for the 108th consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®."
• "The NMI® registered 56.7 percent, which is 1.3 percentage points lower than the December reading of 58 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector, at a slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased to 59.7 percent, 1.5 percentage points lower than the December reading of 61.2 percent, reflecting growth for the 114th consecutive month, at a slower rate in January. The New Orders Index registered 57.7 percent, 5 percentage points lower than the reading of 62.7 percent in December. The Employment Index increased 1.2 percentage points in January to 57.8 percent from the December reading of 56.6 percent. The Prices Index increased 1.4 percentage points from the December reading of 58 percent to 59.4 percent, indicating that prices increased in January for the 20th consecutive month. According to the NMI®, 11 non-manufacturing industries reported growth. The non-manufacturing sector’s growth rate cooled off in January. Respondents are concerned about the impacts of the government shutdown but remain mostly optimistic about overall business conditions."

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GBP/USD: range price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news events

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USD/CNH: range price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news events

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Crude Oil: range price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.03.01 14:35

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: Caixin China Manufacturing PMI and range price movement 

2019-03-01 01:45 GMT | [CNY - Caixin Manufacturing PMI]

• past data is 48.3
• forecast data is 48.5
• actual data is 49.9 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - Caixin Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

• "The headline seasonally adjusted Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI™) – a composite indicator designed to provide a single-figure snapshot of operating conditions in the manufacturing economy – registered only fractionally below the neutral 50.0 mark at 49.9 in February, to signal broadly stable operating conditions. Notably, the reading was up from January’s recent low of 48.3, to mark its highest level in three months."

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USD/CNH M15: range price movement by Caixin Services PMI news event 

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicator:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.03.08 07:23

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Trade Balance and range price movement 

2019-03-08 03:17 GMT | [CNY - Trade Balance]

• past data is 271B
• forecast data is 257B
• actual data is 34B according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the previous month.

==========

From freerepublic article :

• "China on Friday reported worse than expected trade data for the month of February, customs data showed amid Beijing's trade dispute with the U.S." 
• "Dollar-denominated exports fell 20.7 percent for the month of February from a year ago, missing economists' expectations of a 4.8 percent decline, according to a Reuters poll. January exports rose 9.1 percent from a year ago. Dollar-denominated imports fell 5.2 percent in February from a year ago, missing economists' forecast of a 1.4 percent fall. January imports fell 1.5 percent on-year." 
• "China's February trade balance was also weaker than expected at $4.12 billion. Economists polled by Reuters had expected trade balance to come in at $26.38 billion. Trade balance in January was $39.16 billion."

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USD/CNH M1: range price movement by China Trade Balance news event 

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.04.01 19:40

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CNH, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Crude Oil: ISM United States Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

2019-04-01 15:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI]

• past data is 54.2
• forecast data is 54.5
• actual data is 55.3 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

• "The report was issued today by Timothy R. Fiore, CPSM, C.P.M., Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “The March PMI® registered 55.3 percent, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from the February reading of 54.2 percent. The New Orders Index registered 57.4 percent, an increase of 1.9 percentage points from the February reading of 55.5 percent. The Production Index registered 55.8 percent, a 1-percentage point increase compared to the February reading of 54.8 percent. The Employment Index registered 57.5 percent, an increase of 5.2 percentage points from the February reading of 52.3 percent. The Supplier Deliveries Index registered 54.2 percent, a 0.7 percentage point decrease from the February reading of 54.9 percent. The Inventories Index registered 51.8 percent, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from the February reading of 53.4 percent. The Prices Index registered 54.3 percent, a 4.9-percentage point increase from the February reading of 49.4 percent, indicating a return of increasing raw materials prices after a two-month respite."

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USD/CNH M5: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD) M5: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

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Crude Oil M5: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

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Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Vortex - indicator for MetaTrader 5

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread 

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.04.11 12:22

USD/CNH Intra-Day Fundamentals: China Consumer Price Index (CPI) and range price movement 

2019-04-11 02:30 GMT | [CNY - CPI]

• past data is 1.5%
• forecast data is 2.3%
• actual data is 2.3% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for CNY in our case)

[CNY - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From news.cgtn article :

• "China's consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, rose 2.3 percent year on year in March, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Thursday."
• "The increase was up from 1.5 percent for February."

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USD/CNH M5: range price movement by China Consumer Price Index news event 

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.04.17 06:59

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and Crude Oil: China Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2019-04-17 02:00 GMT | [USD - GDP]

• past data is 6.4%
• forecast data is 6.4%
• actual data is 6.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From rttnews article :

• "China's gross domestic product expanded a seasonally adjusted 1.4 percent on quarter in the first quarter of 2019, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday - in line with expectations and down from 1.5 percent in the three months prior."
• "On a yearly basis, GDP expanded 6.4 percent - unchanged from Q4 and beating forecasts for 6.3 percent."

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USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

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EUR/USD: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

==========

Crude Oil: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2019.05.04 08:32

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, EUR/USD and USD/CNH: Non-Farm Payrolls

2019-05-03 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 189K
• forecast data is 181K
• actual data is 263K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

• "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 263,000 in April, and the unemployment rate declined to 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in professional and business services, construction, health care, and social assistance."

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Dollar Index M30: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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EUR/USD M30: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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USD/CNH M30: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5