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US new home sales for September 593K vs 600k estimate
September New Home sales +3.1%, but prior month revised lower to 575K from 609K
US initial jobless claims 258K vs. 255K estimate
Jobless claims in the US for the week of October 22nd
The US initial jobless claims came in at 258K vs. 255K estimate. The 4- week MA moved higher to 253K vs 251.75K. The prior month was revised slightly higher to 261K from 260K last week.Sept US durable goods orders -0.1% vs 0.0% expected
Preliminary durable goods orders data for September
The durable goods numbers will be revised in the factory orders report in November.
US Sept pending home sales +1.5% vs +1.0% expected
US pending home sales for September
US Q3 advance GDP +2.9% q/q annualized vs +2.6% expected
Highlights of the first look at US third quarter GDP. Oct 28, 2016
September 2016 US Core PCE 1.7% vs 1.7% prior y/y
Details of the September 2016 US PCE data report 31 October 2016
Core PCE stays steady at 1.7% and that will be comforting to the Fed.
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow first estimate for Q4 in at 2.7%
The numbers are rolling off for Q4
The final Q3 estimate of 2.1% came in 0.8 PP below the actual Q3 GDP number last week.
US Sept construction spending -0.4% m/m vs +0.5% expected
September construction spending data
Downward revision to Q3 GDP incoming.
Atlanta Fed GDPNow cuts Q4 GDP estimate to 2.3% from 2.7%
Atlanta Fed is now tracking fourth quarter growth
We're three months away from the first look at Q4 GDP but the trackers have already begun.
Yesterday, the Atlanta Fed released its first estimate of Q4 GDP at 2.7%. After weak construction spending numbers today and the ISM manufacturing index, it's already been cut by 0.4 percentage points.
From the Atlanta Fed:
"After this morning's Manufacturing ISM Report On Business from the Institute of Supply Management, the forecasts of the fourth-quarter growth rates of real consumer spending and real nonresidential equipment investment declined from 2.4 percent to 2.1 percent and 4.3 percent to 2.7 percent, respectively. The forecasts of the growth rates of real residential investment and real nonresidential structures investment declined from 3.2 percent to 2.2 percent and 0.5 percent to -0.7 percent, respectively, after the ISM Report and the construction spending release from the U.S. Census Bureau."
US MBA mortgage application -1.2% vs -4.1% prior
US MBA mortgage market data week ending 28 October 2016