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Yesterday EURUSD rallied with a wide range and closed near the high of the day, in addition managed to close above the previous day high, suggesting a strong bullish momentum.
The pair is trading above the 10, 50 and 200-day moving averages that are acting as dynamic supports.
The key levels to watch are: A daily resistance at 1.1556, other daily resistance at 1.1460, the 50-day moving average at 1.1301 (support) and a daily support at 1.1237.
Slovenian CB governor in an interview reported by Bloomberg 10 June 2016
Jazbec in relatively upbeat mood albeit with the "We can't do it all by ourselves" central bank mantra.
Meanwhile EURUSD still trawling around 1.1300 EURGBP 0.7816 EURJPY 120.95
Yesterday EURUSD plunged with a wide range, making a bearish engulfing pattern and closed near the low of the day, in addition managed to close below the previous day low, suggesting a strong bearish momentum.
The pair is trading above the 10, 50 and 200-day moving averages that are acting as dynamic supports.
EURUSD held a trend-line off the December low just prior to the US jobs report
Paul Rosenberg, Market Analyst at www.economiccalendar.com, on USD
Last Friday, the non-farm payrolls data smashed expectations and sent the US Dollar 1% lower. Will the US Dollar see a re-covery this or next week or not? Why?
Not only did the worst NFP figure since September 2010 send rate hike expectations to virtually zero for June, but Yellen further diminished expectations for a rate hike in the immediate future in her speech on Monday. At this time, December is look-ing like the next likely window of opportunity for the Fed to raise rates, but a lot can happen between now and then. The US dollar should remain under pressure in the short-term (1-2 weeks) and the case is building for broad Dollar weakness to persist for the next several months or longer.
What should a trader focus on this summer in order to successfully trade the US Dollar and where could we see EUR/USD by the end of June?
With the Fed side-lined for the foreseeable future and the ECB in 'wait-and-see' mode, a convergence in monetary policy is in progress. This provides a favourable backdrop for the Euro over the coming weeks. On a technical note, the EUR/USD held a trend-line off the December low just prior to the burst higher on the poor US jobs report. The upward trend off that important low coupled with the convergence dynamic previously mentioned suggests an advance to $1.17/18 in the next few weeks.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Pair Strongly Supported, Buy on Dips
The EUR/USD major currency pair has been declining for the last 2 days, supported strongly by the 200-hour moving average of $1.1270.
The EUR/USD major currency pair has retreated from lows somewhat, and is trading above the $1.1300 level.
The upside potential is seen with immediate resistance at $1.1348, before reaching the next resistance at $1.1400.
The EUR/USD major currency pair support is around $1.1270, with breaks below seen targeting the 21-day moving average of $1.1240 and 100-day moving average of $1.1215.
From the technical point of view, the Relative Strength Index on the 14-day chart is showing bullish divergence.
EUR/USD forecast for the week of June 13, 2016
The EUR/USD pair initially tried to rally during the course of the week but turned right back around to form a resistive candle. With this, looks like we could grind a little bit lower but ultimately we believe that the Euro will probably gain against the US dollar due to the fact that the Federal Reserve is very unlikely to crank up interest-rate hikes in this environment. Yes, there may be one hike, but more than that seems to be very unlikely at this point in time. However, keep your eyes on the EU vote coming out of UK, because that could cause a bit of a problem for the Euro.