InstaForex Wave Analysis - page 172

 

Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for February 25, 2014

Technical outlook and chart setups:

1. EUR/JPY remains more or less unchanged within the 140.00/50 territory. Recommendations are to remain short for now, the risk remains at 143.00 levels. A push through 143.00 would indicate further strength and challenge 145.50.

2. Immediate resistance is at 142.00/50, followed by 145.50; while supports are spread through 136.50 (intermediary), 134.00, 131.00 and lower respectively.

3. The structure indicates that bears would remain in control untill prices remain under 143.00. Immediate target would be towards the rising support line near 135.00 region now. A break lower will indicate further weakness towards 131.00. Trading recommendations: Remain short, stop at 143.00 target open.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Technical analysis of USD/IDR for February 26, 2014

The USD/IDR now have a good strengthened momentum against USD by a few factors such as:

1. Jannet Yallen's policy on the FED's Stimulus.

2. The JSX (Jakarta Stock Exchange) rebound causes the capital inflow to Indonesia.

As we know, USD/IDR has a positive correlation with the JSX indices which are influenced by the Dow, Nikkei, Hangsheng, Strait Times indices. Today this currency has a good strength momentum to 11.380 (low), but after the 11.380 level, the USD/IDR going back to 11.635 again, and at the Daily Charts Candle, it has already made a hanging man formation. This situation happened because the Indonesian stock market has already a technical issue and getting down into the red zone. As we know, since February 17, 2014 many capital inflow have already come to Indonesia especially in the Money Market, and it is normal if this currency has a little pullback. As long the USD/IDR does not breach and close above 11.692.45, this currency will play between the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci area's (11.692.45 - 11332.55); otherwise if they can breach and close bellow 11.332.55, it will have a chance to go down to the 78.6% (11.076.35) level.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

EUR/AUD intraday technical levels and trading recommendations for February 27, 2014

The EUR/AUD pair initiated a downside movement on January 24. This movement is maintained within the depicted bearish channel. On February 13, the bulls expressed a bullish breakout above the upper limit indicating weakness of the ongoing bearish momentum. Simultaneously, the bulls established an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern off 1.5000. The neckline is roughly located at 1.5265. Confirmation of bullish reversal is evident with Four-Hour fixation above the price level of 1.5265. However, the pair consolidated below 1.5265 for a few hours before the bulls pushed again above it. Projection target of this confirmed reversal pattern is located at 1.5525 as long as neckline 1.5265-1.5200 remains defended by the bulls (our stop loss levels). Breakout above 1.5370 is essential to pursue further bullish targets of the Head and shoulders pattern. On the other hand, consolidation below 1.5200 threatens our bullish view hindering further bullish progression allowing a sideway movement to take place between 1.5265 and 1.5080.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Technical analysis of EUR/JPY for February 28, 2014

Technical outlook and chart setups:

1. The EUR/JPY pair loos to have for

med a lower top around 141.00 region. Prices are pushing lower below 139.00 and hence recommendations are to hold short positions taken earlier. Risk remains at 143.00.

2. Immediate resistance is at 142.00, followed by 143.00 and 145.50, while supports are spread through 136.20/30 (intermediary), followed by 134.00/135.00, 131.00 and lower respectively.

3. The structure reveals that bears are in control below 143.00. Prices should continue to drift lower towards 135.00/136.00 and subsequently towards 132.00.

Trading recommendations:

Remain short, set stop at 143.50, target is open.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Technical analysis of USD/CHF for March 04, 2014

The USD/CHF'sdownward movement from 0.9081 extended to as low as 0.8777. Further declinecould be expected after a minor consolidation, and the next target would be at the 0.8700 area. In the hourly chart, thepair is holding above the moving averages that is a bullish view. Theimmediate resistance is at the level of 0.8864 on the intraday basis. Until the priceholds the support at 0.8818, we can expect some pullback. If the price breaks it,next support will be at 0.8792 and 0.8777.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Technical analysis of Gold for March 06, 2014

Technical outlook and chart setups:

1. The metal remains unchanged after producing an engulfing bearish candle earlier. Currently trading at $1,337.00/38, Gold is expected to rally through the $1,345.00/50.00 region today before reversing lower. It is recommended to remain short and also look to add further at above levels. Risk remains at $1,359.50/61.00.

2. Immediate resistance is at $1,355.00 (intermediary), followed by $1,361.00 and $1,375.00, while supports are spread through $1,320.00, followed by $1,280.00/85.00, $1,230.00/40.00 and lower respectively.

3. The structure indicated that Gold should be headed lower after an engulfing bearish candle appearance. $1,240.00/50 remains level of interest.

Trading recommendations:

Remain short, stop at $1,362.50, target open.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Analysis of USDX for March 07, 2014

The ADP report out of the US delivered a drastic blow to bullish expectations for a positive NFP report in February. December and January showed the US labor market which is not nearly as strong as many have anticipated. Economists expect that 150,000 jobs were added last month, up from only 113,000 jobs added in January. The US economy appears to be much weaker than expected and yesterday's ADP report suggests that today's NFP report will print the third consecutive disappointment. If the same thing happens, the US Federal Reserve may have to adjust its tapering due to economic weakness in the US. It would send conflicting signals to forex traders, and USD is likely to violent swing with more downward, sell off sharply with heavy volume. Technical view- The US dollar is trading below the moving average's and hammered towards the October 2013 low at $79. The US dollar made a double top at the end of January 2014, and kept on correcting itself. It was unable to move above the 50SMA. In the H4 and hourly charts, RSI is under an oversold condition, expecting a pullback with the previous support at 79.0. A break below the 79.0 mark will push it up to 78.6, 77.0, and 75.75.

More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Technical analysis of AUD/USD for March 10, 2014

The pair is reaching the major resistance zone 0.9152-0.9166. On Friday's trading session the price broke the resistance level 0.9080 and made high at 0.9133. In the Asia's trading session, the pair is trading at 0.9058, coming back and trading below the previous resistance level 0.9080. Currently the pair looks attractive for buying only if it trades above this level for the targets 0.9122, 0.9166, 0.92 and 0.9256. On the downside 0.8972 and 0.8923 is the strong support. Break below 0.8923 looks weak and could fall up to 0.8730, 0.8693 and 0.8659. More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for March 12, 2014

The EUR/USD pair stays above the 21EMA level in 4-hour chart, and remains in uptrend from 1.3477. The uptrend could be expected to continue after a minor consolidation, and the next target would be at 1.4000 area. Initial support is at 1.3825, and the key support is at the trend line, only a clear break below the trend line support could signal the completion of theuptrend. In the H4 chart, oscillators are giving a sell indication. We could expect the price to fall before it moves further. If the price breaks below the level 1.38509, it will fall up to 1.3834 1.38232 and 1.3799. More downside only below 1.3799 towards 1.3718. Recommendations- Sell below 1.38509 targets1.3834, 1.3823, 1.3799 and 1.3718 Buy above 1.3877 targets 1.3898, 1.3915 and 1.40(above 1.3910 only further up move). More analysis - at instaforex.com

 

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Mach 13, 2014

EUR/USD remains in uptrend from 1.3477, the fall from 1.3915 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend. Key support is at the upward trend line in 4-hour chart. As long as the trend line support holds, the uptrend could be expected to resume, and the next target would be in the 1.4000 area. Only a clear break below the trend line support could signal the completion of the uptrend. In the daily chart, the pair was facing stiff resistance at the level of 1.3915. The next up move happens only above the level of 1.3915 for 1.40. During yesterday's trading session, we recommended a buy call above the level of 1.3877 with targets at 1.3898, 1.3915, and 1.40. We are waiting for the final target. On the downside, a move below the level of 1.3880, the price will fall to 1.3860, 1.3833, 1.3812, and 1.3782 (intraday). A fresh breakout is only above 1.3964 for 1.40 and 1.4171. Intraday recommendation- Buy above 1.3915 with targets at 1.3664 and 1.40. Sell below 1.3880 with targets at 1.3860, 1.3833, 1.3812, and 1.3782. More analysis - at instaforex.com