Suggest a policy to take profit.

 

I am a developer, I was used to find a good indicator to make a better advisor.

But at last, What I found is:THERE IS NO INDICATOR ALWAYS PROVIDES RIGHT TREND

Then, I read many export's program to find their advantage and try to use for my self.

I have some methods, including LARGE STOPLOSS, HEDGING, and so so.

But large stoploss makes your money very danganous, that's depends your good lucky.

Hedging is also, I think hedging may make your money safe, and also possible lose your double money or even more.

with my experience, I think the most effective policy for un-professional user (like me) is:make smaller stoploss and make larger takeprofit.In this policy, high chance of take profit is not in my consideration, I try to make a order that has profit more larger than other lose orders.

I have tested this policy and show you a report(from 2010-1-1/2011-1-19),It's loss is about 35%, It's profit is about 1500% per Year, this is to verify policy, so I used control point when do back test.

商品EURUSD (Euro vs US Dollar)
时间周期30 分钟图 2010.01.03 23:00 - 2011.01.18 17:00 (2010.01.01 - 2011.01.19)
复盘模型控制点(基于最近的小一级时段内的12个控制点的分形插值计算)
参数STDPeriod=50; Stoploss=30; OneLots=2; MaxLots=10;
经测试过的柱数10526用于复盘的即时价数量222171复盘模型的质量n/a
输入图表错误7123
起始资金10000.00
总净盈利145696.40总获利386876.20总亏损-241179.80
盈利比1.60预期盈利739.58
绝对亏损3915.20最大亏损39079.20 (51.38%)相对亏损54.71% (7351.80)
交易单总计197卖单 (获利百分比)98 (36.73%)买单 (获利百分比)99 (25.25%)
盈利交易(占总百分比)61 (30.96%)亏损交易(占总百分比)136 (69.04%)
最大:获利交易31865.40亏损交易-2721.60
平均:获利交易6342.23亏损交易-1773.38
最大:连续获利金额3 (2172.20)连续亏损金额14 (-32750.10)
最多:连续获利次数40645.80 (2)连续亏损次数-32750.10 (14)
平均:连续获利1连续亏损3
 

Just as you have a signal to enter the market you should have a signal to get out of the market.

The only reason to get out of the market is if you (or your algorithm) believes the market is going to reverse or become unforecastable in the near term.

Whenever I prepare to exit a position I always ask myself "so, if I am confident now is the time to exit the market then does that mean I am confident now is the time to open a position in the opposite direction?".

If I can't answer that question then I am probably exiting my position without just cause.