A self learning EA? What?

25 June 2023, 20:53
Nardus Van Staden
0
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Yes friends, a self learning EA. Isnt it great to be a software developer? free to create things beyond imagination. Now lets learn some variables and see how its done.

Here's a simplified example of a self-learning Expert Advisor (EA) using a simple machine learning algorithm called K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) for classification. Did you know about it? This code demonstrates the basic structure and concept, but keep in mind that real-world implementation would require more sophisticated techniques and extensive testing.

// Self-Learning Expert Advisor using K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)

// Define input parameters
input int k = 5; // Number of nearest neighbors to consider

// Declare global variables
int learningPeriod = 100; // Number of bars for initial learning
bool isLearningCompleted = false;
double[] features;
int[] labels;

// Expert Advisor initialization function
int OnInit()
{
    // Initialize arrays for features and labels
    ArrayResize(features, learningPeriod);
    ArrayResize(labels, learningPeriod);

    return INIT_SUCCEEDED;
}

// Expert Advisor tick function
void OnTick()
{
    // Check if learning is completed
    if (!isLearningCompleted && Bars >= learningPeriod)
    {
        Learn();
        isLearningCompleted = true;
    }

    // Check if we have enough data for classification
    if (isLearningCompleted && Bars > learningPeriod)
    {
        // Extract current features
        double currentFeature = CalculateFeature();

        // Classify the current feature
        int predictedLabel = Classify(currentFeature);

        // Implement trading logic based on the predicted label
        if (predictedLabel == 1)
        {
            // Open a buy position
            OrderSend(Symbol(), OP_BUY, 0.01, Ask, 3, 0, 0, "Self-Learning EA");
        }
        else if (predictedLabel == -1)
        {
            // Open a sell position
            OrderSend(Symbol(), OP_SELL, 0.01, Bid, 3, 0, 0, "Self-Learning EA");
        }
    }
}

// Learning function
void Learn()
{
    // Collect features and labels during the learning period
    for (int i = 0; i < learningPeriod; i++)
    {
        features[i] = CalculateFeature();
        labels[i] = GetLabel();
        Sleep(100); // Introduce a delay to simulate real-time data collection
    }
}

// Classification function using K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN)
int Classify(double currentFeature)
{
    double[] distances;
    ArrayResize(distances, learningPeriod);

    // Calculate distances to each known feature
    for (int i = 0; i < learningPeriod; i++)
    {
        distances[i] = MathAbs(features[i] - currentFeature);
    }

    // Sort distances in ascending order
    ArraySort(distances);

    int positiveVotes = 0;
    int negativeVotes = 0;

    // Count the votes of k nearest neighbors
    for (int i = 0; i < k; i++)
    {
        int nearestIndex = ArrayBsearch(distances, distances[i]);

        if (labels[nearestIndex] == 1)
            positiveVotes++;
        else if (labels[nearestIndex] == -1)
            negativeVotes++;
    }

    // Determine the majority vote
    if (positiveVotes > negativeVotes)
        return 1;
    else if (negativeVotes > positiveVotes)
        return -1;
    else
        return 0; // No clear decision
}

// Function to calculate a feature value
double CalculateFeature()
{
    // Implement your custom feature calculation logic here
    // This can include technical indicators, statistical measures, etc.
    // For demonstration purposes, a random feature is generated
    return MathRand();
}

// Function to get a label (buy/sell signal)
int GetLabel()
{
    // Implement your custom labeling logic here
    // This can be based on price movements, trend indicators, etc.
    // For demonstration purposes, a random label is generated
    int random = MathRand() % 2;
    if (random == 0)
        return -1; // Sell signal
    else
        return 1; // Buy signal
}

Now we need to look at functions and variables used here:

In this example, the EA collects features and labels during the initial learning period ( learningPeriod ), right. After the learning period, it starts making predictions using the KNN algorithm based on the current feature value. The CalculateFeature()function represents the feature extraction process, and the GetLabel()function simulates labeling for demonstration purposes.

Please note that this is a simplified example, and real-world implementation of a self-learning EA requires careful consideration of feature selection, data preprocessing, advanced machine learning algorithms, model evaluation, and risk management techniques.

Make sure to thoroughly test and validate any algorithmic trading strategies before deploying them in live trading.

Enjoy it and have fun.