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Ahead of today’s meeting in Salzburg, sterling is strengthening, currently trading along 1.3205 USD and approaching the 1.3215 range in the short-term. At stake is whether the pound will benefit or not. This depends on EU’s view: many disparities remain, and the October deadline looms. We think the markets might be over-optimistic. The Bank of England will watch closely. Inflation is at its highest pace in 18 months, which could trigger a rate hike.
By Vincent Mivelaz