Probability of FED

6 November 2015, 15:14
Khurram Mustafa
0
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The latest data from the CME Fed watch indicates the odds of a 25bps rate hike shot up across the board on the back of a stellar October Non-farm payrolls report released today.

The December rate hike probability now stands at 71.7%, compared to 58% seen ahead of the data. The January rate hike probability now stands at 75.8%, while March probability now stands at 85.2%; out of which 31.74% represents move in the bank rate to 0.75%.

The Treasury yields also spiked, which also says the odds of a rate hike have increased. The 2-yr treasury note, which is more policy sensitive, rose to a high of 0.958%; its highest since May 2010.