EM FX trade strategy

9 February 2015, 07:15
Andrius Kulvinskas
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Analysts at Deutsche Bank share the FX trade setup for EM currencies.

Key Quotes

“Open long EUR/ILS on expected BoI reaction to hefty appreciation, low inflation, and very extended technicals.”

“Hold short GBP/PLN as likely easing seems priced, but tighten stop in short EUR/HUF on proximity of target and more two-sided risks.”

“Take profit in long MXN/BRL as we expect Brazil-specific risks to ease.”

“Despite overshooting, we wait for more clarity on politics to re-enter long TRY.”

“Stay long USD vv. TWD, SGD and THB in order of preference (and USD/MYR on dips to 3.50).“