US NFP might see an above consensus gain

6 February 2015, 07:50
Andrius Kulvinskas
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The TD Securities Team previews the data ahead for US, anticipating a 245k gain in headline payrolls.

Key Quotes

“Nonfarm payrolls will be the key point of focus today and while weakening ISM non-manufacturing and ADP data has likely shifted consensus forecasts lower, we look for a 245K gain in headline payrolls and a 232K in private employment.”

“Wages will be in particular focus as we look for a 0.3% rebound in earnings, with last month’s 0.2% decline potentially seeing a modest upward revision.”

“The unemployment rate is also expected to remain steady at 5.6%, hinting that recent labor market progress has been maintained.”

“Later in the day, we look for December consumer credit data to show a considerable $22B increase.”