As Westpac's chief economist Bill Evans predicted (back on 4th Dec), the RBA cut rates 25bp and going into meeting market took the view it was a 50/50 call. Bill believes the RBA will follow this cut with a further 25bp cut in March.
"The case to move rates after such a long period would need to be convincing. We believe that the forecasts that will be released in the Statement on Monetary Policy will depict an economy expected to grow markedly below trend in 2015, barely back at trend by 2016 and with core inflation holding near the bottom of the 2-3% band in 2015. Under those circumstances we think it is justifiable to expect another move with March being the best timing," he argues.
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