NZD/CAD has to make a choice

NZD/CAD has to make a choice

5 July 2019, 11:26
Dorin Petre Rosu
0
67

The New Zealand dollar vs. the Canadian dollar is in a place where it can receive a boost from one of the two different  and important lines, each giving an opposite direction in the long run.

From 0.9281, the price is in a descending trend, the resistance line of which results by joining two points - the first being the high of March 27, 2019, and the second the high of June 5, 2019, respectively - that also intersect with two important levels, namely 0.9254 and 0.8902. Notable is the third confirmation that also took place at a confluence zone, the high on July 1, 2019, being rejected by both the earlier mentioned resistance line of the descending trend and the 0.8802 level. In such a context, the sellers would be entitled to believe that they should expect further decline.

NZDCAD D1

On the other hand, the 0.8717 - 0.8680 zone is a weekly supportive area, also enclosing a psychological level - 0.8700 - that has turned the price around for three times. And since I mentioned the weekly chart, there is a descending trend that can be observed, with a current impulsive wave in development. So, in the end, the question is: will the weekly impulse continue or cease?

NZDCAD W1

The answer depends on the choice that the price makes:
  • - If the 0.8717 - 0.8680 area repels any bearish continuation attempt, then a bottoming structure could emerge. Signs of such an outcome would be a higher low with respect to the candle on 21 June, 2019, followed by the piercing of the descending trends' resistance line.
  • - If the bears manage to cross the 0.8717 - 0.8680 area and cause a departure from it, then a throw-back that will confirm 0.8680 as resistance is to be expected.
The main bullish target is represented by 0.8922, whereas the bearish one by the 0.8500 psychological level.



Share it with friends: