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Another 25.0K contraction in U.K. Jobless Claims may encourage an improved outlook for the real economy, but the lack of stronger wage growth may generate a limited market reaction in GBP/USD as the Bank of England (BoE) remains in no rush to normalize monetary policy...
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Sergey Golubev, 18 February 2015, 08:11 #fundamental analysis
Greece moved one step closer to a euro exit after the euro zone’s finance ministers said there will be no more talks on financial support unless the Greek government requests an extension of its existing bailout program...
Forecasts
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Anton Voropaev, 17 February 2015, 16:09
Why are economic events important to currency traders? A currency is a proxy for the country it represents, therefore the economic health of that country is priced into the currency. Economic indicators measure the health of an economy...
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Patti, 17 February 2015, 15:11 #fundamental analysis
In a new report, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research warned that it sees a “non-negligible” risk that China’s government will surprise the market by slashing the value of its currency...
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Alice F, 17 February 2015, 13:10 #economy news
Quantitative Technical Analysis: An integrated approach to trading system development and trading management by Dr Howard B Bandy The book discusses trading system development and trading management...
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Sergey Golubev, 17 February 2015, 06:11 #technical analysis
Pernille Bomholdt Nielsen, SeniorAnalyst at Danske Bank, forecasts eurozone Q4 GDP to print an above consensus (0.2% qoq) figure of 0.4% qoq, aided by a probable high growth in private consumption. Key Quotes “Euro GDP growth for Q4 is due for release on Friday...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 12 February 2015, 13:49
James Knightley, Senior Economist at ING, reviews BOE’s inflation report, and comments that the central bank has expressed willingness to expand its QE or cut bank rates from current 0.5% level on any downside threat to inflation...
Forecasts
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 12 February 2015, 13:26
Sean Callow of Westpac, shares that the disappointing Australian jobs data has had the markets pricing in a 25bp cut by the RBA at the March meeting, with probability of easing now standing at 75% from previous 50...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 12 February 2015, 08:11
2015-02-12 00:30 GMT (or 02:30 MQ MT5 time) | [AUD - Employment Change] past data is 42.3K forecast data is 5.0K actual data is -12.2K according to the latest press release if actual > forecast (or previous data) = good for currency (for AUD in our case...
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Sergey Golubev, 12 February 2015, 05:49 #fundamental analysis
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Research Team at Goldman Sachs explain that BoE has more room than other G10 central banks to look through the temporary fall in headline inflation, and with inflation expectations remaining well anchored UK might see more rate hikes than what is currently priced into t...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 11 February 2015, 17:03
Camilla Sutton CFA, CMT, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, shares that the core risk for GBP remains tomorrow’s BOE’s QIR report, with the pair expected to move higher as the market remains prepared for a downgrade to inflation outlook...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 11 February 2015, 16:11
As Greece has stepped onto a hard line with the European creditors, the country claims it has other friends, namely, Russia, China and the United States...
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Anton Voropaev, 11 February 2015, 16:00 #IMF, economy news
On Wednesday PwC issued a report detailing the difficulties facing the UK's oil and gas industry. The company argues that because of the recent drop in oil prices many British oil and gas firms will need to transform the way they operate...
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News, 11 February 2015, 13:30 #crude oil
As Greece's debt crisis is flourishing, the future of the euro zone is blurred and Ukranian conflict is escalating, analysts are worried that the global economy is now approaching another deep crisis. In a crisis, you parked your cash in the Swiss franc, or in U.S. Treasury bonds, or in gold...
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Anton Voropaev, 11 February 2015, 12:43 #Fed, gold
Gregor Horvat of EW-Forecast, uses Elliott Wave Analysis to predict that AUD/USD could make a move higher before resuming a move lower. Key Quotes “We are wondering if maybe commodity currencies have turned into a larger correction against the USD...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 11 February 2015, 12:38
Lee Hardman, Currency Analyst at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, notes that the recent comments from Fed member’s has reinforced the expectations for a mid-year rate hike by the Fed...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 11 February 2015, 12:01
Analysts at Deutsche Bank see a positive outcome in the debt Greek situation will have to wait for the time being...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 11 February 2015, 10:56
According to Westpac, RBA might cut rates by 25bp in its March meeting, with the inflation outlook posing no barrier for any easing. Key Quotes “The RBA confirmed the end of the “ period of stability in interest rates” in Feb with a 25bp cash rate cut, to 2.25...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 11 February 2015, 09:54 #RBA
The eFXnews Team shares Barclays' view that Friday’s speech of RBA Governor Stevens' speech is likely to be dovish, raising the prospects of a further rate cut by the central bank...
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Andrius Kulvinskas, 11 February 2015, 09:08