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AIS Trade Channel Index MT4

When analyzing financial time series, researchers most often make a preliminary assumption that prices are distributed according to the normal (Gaussian) law. This approach is due to the fact that a large number of real processes can be simulated using the normal distribution. Moreover, the calculation of the parameters of this distribution presents no great difficulties. However, when applied to financial markets, normal distribution does not always work. The returns on financial instruments often have a form that differs from normal. Too frequent and / or large emissions lead to the use of so-called "heavy tails" distributions. When constructing this indicator, we will assume that price levels are subject to the Laplace distribution. The main difference between this distribution is that it allows for a much wider range of values. Thanks to this, the Laplace distribution makes it possible to simulate price movements. In addition, the Laplace distribution is composite and therefore can be used in situations where low and high values ​​occur under different conditions. Distribution itself In appearance, it differs significantly from normal. And the shape and location of the graph depends on two parameters - b and m.

Level setting

The main advantage of the Laplace distribution is the large range of argument values. So, when using the normal distribution, the majority of the values ​​fall in the range from –3 to +3. And when using the Laplace distribution, the range expands to –5 ... + 5. Thus, it becomes possible to more accurately classify price changes and make more informed trading decisions. The approximate probability that the price will be within the specified limits is shown in the table.

Range Probability,% Subrange Probability,%
1…+1 
63,2 
0…1 
31,6 
2…+2 
86,5 
1…2 
11,6 
3…+3 
95,0 
2…3 
4,3 
4…+4 
98,2 
3…4 
1,6 
5…+5 
99,3 
4…5 
0,6 

In general, the probability that the indicator value will reach the z value can be calculated using the formula:

Probability = (1-exp⁡ (- | z |)) * 100% / 2

And the boundaries of the range that correspond to a given probability can be calculated as follows:

Level = ± ln⁡ (1-Probability / 100), 0≤Probability <100

There are two types of levels that can be used for trading.

Type I
Type II
Probability Range Probability 
Range 
1/2 
±0.693 2/3 
±1.099
3/4 
±1.386 8/9 
±2.198
7/8 
±2.079 26/27 
±3.297
15/16 
±2.772 80/81 
±4.396
31/32 
±3.466 242/243 
±5.495

The first type of levels can be used as an additional filter as part of an existing trading strategy. The second type of levels can be used to make independent trading decisions.


Interpreting Results

When using the indicator in trading, two basic rules apply:

  • opening a Buy position with a negative value;
  • opening a Sell position with a positive value.

It should be remembered that the further the indicator deviates from the zero line, the higher the probability of success.

Indicator setting

To configure the indicator, you need to set the values ​​of the levels (you can use both the recommended ones and calculate them yourself).

Considering the specifics of calculations, iPeriod should be higher than 5.

The choice of the price constant depends on the trading strategy.

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Volatility Trend System - girişler için sinyaller veren bir ticaret sistemi. Oynaklık sistemi, trend yönünde doğrusal ve noktasal sinyaller ve ayrıca yeniden çizme ve gecikme olmaksızın trendden çıkmak için sinyaller verir. Trend göstergesi, orta vadeli trendin yönünü izler, yönünü ve değişimini gösterir. Sinyal göstergesi volatilitedeki değişikliklere dayalıdır ve piyasa girişlerini gösterir. Gösterge, çeşitli uyarı türleri ile donatılmıştır. Çeşitli alım satım araçlarına ve zaman dilimlerine
Şu anda %20 İNDİRİMLİ! Herhangi bir Acemi veya Uzman Tüccar için En İyi Çözüm! Bu gösterge paneli yazılımı 28 döviz çifti üzerinde çalışıyor. Ana göstergelerimizden 2'sine (Gelişmiş Para Birimi Gücü 28 ve Gelişmiş Para Birimi Dürtüsü) dayanmaktadır. Tüm Forex piyasasına harika bir genel bakış sağlar. Gelişmiş Para Birimi Gücü değerlerini, para birimi hareket hızını ve tüm (9) zaman dilimlerinde 28 Forex çifti için sinyalleri gösterir. Trendleri ve / veya scalping fırsatlarını belirlemek için
Lux Trend
Mohamed Hassan
5 (3)
After purchase, please contact me to get your trading tips + more information for a great bonus!   Lux Trend is a professional strategy based on using Higher Highs and Lower Highs to identify and draw Trendline Breakouts! Lux Trend  utilizes two Moving Averages to confirm the overall trend direction before scanning the market for high-quality breakout opportunities, ensuring more accurate and reliable trade signals. This is a proven trading system used by real traders worldwide, demonstrating
TPSpro RFI Levels
Roman Podpora
4.85 (27)
TALİMATLAR         RUS   -        ENG       Bir gösterge ile kullanılması   önerilir       -       TPSpro   TREND PRO -   Sürüm MT4         Ticarette önemli bir unsur, bir ticaret aracını satın alma veya satma kararlarının alındığı bölgeler veya seviyelerdir. Büyük oyuncuların piyasadaki varlıklarını gizleme girişimlerine rağmen, kaçınılmaz olarak izler bırakırlar. Bizim görevimiz bu izleri nasıl tanımlayacağımızı ve doğru şekilde nasıl yorumlayacağımızı öğrenmekti. Ana işlevler:: Satıcılar ve
IX Power MT4
Daniel Stein
4.75 (8)
IX Power: Endeksler, Emtialar, Kripto Paralar ve Forex Piyasaları için İçgörüler Genel Bakış IX Power , endeksler, emtialar, kripto paralar ve forex sembollerinin gücünü analiz etmek için tasarlanmış çok yönlü bir araçtır. FX Power , tüm kullanılabilir döviz çiftlerinin verilerini kullanarak döviz çiftleri için maksimum doğruluk sağlarken, IX Power yalnızca temel sembolün piyasa verilerine odaklanır. Bu, IX Power 'ı forex dışındaki piyasalar için ideal ve daha basit forex analizleri için güven
Introduction to X3 Chart Pattern Scanner X3 Cherart Pattern Scanner is the non-repainting and non-lagging indicator detecting X3 chart patterns including Harmonic pattern, Elliott Wave pattern, X3 patterns, and Japanese Candlestick patterns. Historical patterns match with signal patterns. Hence, you can readily develop the solid trading strategy in your chart. More importantly, this superb pattern scanner can detect the optimal pattern of its kind. In addition, you can switch on and off individu
FX Dynamic: Özelleştirilebilir ATR Analiziyle Volatilite ve Trendleri Takip Edin Genel Bakış FX Dynamic , ortalama gerçek aralık (ATR) hesaplamalarını kullanarak günlük ve gün içi volatilite hakkında rakipsiz bilgiler sağlayan güçlü bir araçtır. 80%, 100%, 130% gibi net volatilite eşikleri ayarlayarak, piyasa olağan hareketlerinin ötesine geçtiğinde hızlı şekilde uyarı alabilir ve potansiyel kazanç fırsatlarını süratle tespit edebilirsiniz. FX Dynamic , brokerınızın zaman dilimine uyum sağlaya
Currency Strength Wizard , başarılı ticaret için size hepsi bir arada çözüm sağlayan çok güçlü bir göstergedir. Gösterge, birden çok zaman dilimindeki tüm para birimlerinin verilerini kullanarak şu veya bu forex çiftinin gücünü hesaplar. Bu veriler, şu veya bu para biriminin gücünü görmek için kullanabileceğiniz, kullanımı kolay para birimi endeksi ve para birimi güç hatları biçiminde temsil edilir. İhtiyacınız olan tek şey, işlem yapmak istediğiniz tabloya göstergeyi eklemektir ve gösterge size
Altın Trend   - bu iyi bir hisse senedi teknik göstergesidir. Gösterge algoritması, bir varlığın fiyat hareketini analiz eder ve oynaklığı ve potansiyel giriş bölgelerini yansıtır. En iyi gösterge sinyalleri: - SATIŞ için = kırmızı histogram + kırmızı KISA işaretçi + aynı yönde sarı sinyal oku. - AL için = mavi histogram + mavi UZUN işaretçi + aynı yönde aqua sinyal oku. Göstergenin faydaları: 1. Gösterge yüksek doğrulukta sinyaller üretir. 2. Onaylanmış bir ok sinyali yalnızca trend deği
Supply Demand Analyzer
Suvashish Halder
5 (6)
Supply Demand Analyzer is an advanced trading indicator meticulously designed for the precise identification, analysis, and management of supply and demand zones. By integrating real-time data and advanced algorithms, this tool enables traders to recognize market phases, price movements, and structural patterns with unparalleled accuracy. It simplifies complex market dynamics into actionable insights, empowering traders to anticipate market behavior, identify trading opportunities, and make info
Support And Resistance Screener, MetaTrader için tek bir gösterge içinde birden fazla araç sağlayan tek bir Düzey göstergesindedir. Kullanılabilir araçlar şunlardır: 1. Piyasa Yapısı Eleme Aracı. 2. Geri Çekilme Bölgesi Boğa. 3. Geri Çekilme Bölgesi Ayı. 4. Günlük Pivot Noktaları 5. haftalık Pivot Noktaları 6. aylık Pivot Puanları 7. Harmonik Modele ve hacme dayalı Güçlü Destek ve Direnç. 8. Banka Seviyesi Bölgeleri. SINIRLI SÜRELİ TEKLİF : YG Destek ve Direnç Göstergesi sadece 50 $ ve ömür boy
Bu, bir mumun kapanış fiyatını tahmin eden bir göstergedir. Gösterge öncelikle D1 çizelgelerinde kullanılmak üzere tasarlanmıştır. Bu gösterge hem geleneksel forex ticareti hem de ikili opsiyon ticareti için uygundur. Gösterge, bağımsız bir ticaret sistemi olarak kullanılabilir veya mevcut ticaret sisteminize ek olarak hareket edebilir. Bu gösterge, mevcut mumu analiz ederek mumun gövdesi içindeki belirli güç faktörlerini ve önceki mumun parametrelerini hesaplar. Böylece gösterge, piyasa hareket
Yazarın diğer ürünleri
The script is based on the simulation of trade transactions using a random number generator. This allows you to get completely different results, even with the same input parameters. When you run the script, a dialog box opens in which you can set the desired values ​​for external variables. In the  Trading options  block, the basic parameters that are necessary for trading modeling are defined. Start Balance  - sets the initial size of the trade balance. Number Trade  - sets the number of trad
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The script analyzes the history of quotes and gives recommendations on the minimum deposit. The calculations take into account the variability of prices and the standard deviation. Margin requirements for the instrument are also taken into account. The result of the script is the minimum recommended deposit for trading the given currency pair.
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MinDeposit
Aleksej Poljakov
5 (1)
The script analyzes the history of quotes and gives recommendations on the minimum deposit. The calculations take into account the variability of prices and the standard deviation. Margin requirements for the instrument are also taken into account. The result of the script is the minimum recommended deposit for trading the given currency pair.
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This script is designed so that the trader can determine the average duration of trade transactions, at which the ratio of possible profits and losses will be optimal. First, let's look at the general approach to determining the optimal duration of trade transactions. We introduce the following variables: R   - the result of the transaction; T   - the time during which the transaction was open; W - the time between the closing of the previous transaction and the opening of the next one. Every tr
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Choosing the levels of StopLoss and TakeProfit can have a very strong impact on the overall performance of trading. In addition to the obvious parameters of a trade transaction - the size of a possible win or probable loss - the levels of StopLoss and TakeProfit also affect the expected duration of the transaction, and the profitability of trading in general. If you have already determined the optimal transaction duration using the “ AIS-ODT ” script, then you can begin to determine the paramete
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Choosing the levels of StopLoss and TakeProfit can have a very strong impact on the overall performance of trading. In addition to the obvious parameters of a trade transaction - the size of a possible win or probable loss - the levels of StopLoss and TakeProfit also affect the expected duration of the transaction, and the profitability of trading in general. If you have already determined the optimal transaction duration using the “ AIS-ODT ” script, then you can begin to determine the paramete
FREE
The script is based on the simulation of trade transactions using a random number generator. This allows you to get completely different results, even with the same input parameters. When you run the script, a dialog box opens in which you can set the desired values ​​for external variables. In the Trading options block, the basic parameters that are necessary for trading modeling are defined. Start Balance - sets the initial size of the trade balance. Number Trade - sets the number of trade tr
FREE
This script is designed so that the trader can determine the average duration of trade transactions, at which the ratio of possible profits and losses will be optimal. First, let's look at the general approach to determining the optimal duration of trade transactions. We introduce the following variables: R   - the result of the transaction; T   - the time during which the transaction was open; W  - the time between the closing of the previous transaction and the opening of the next one. Every t
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The script allows selecting the required 'Filter level' value of the AIS-MTF indicator. Run the script on the required chart and selected timeframe. Once its operation is complete, the HPS.csv file will be created in the Files folder. Open the file. You will see three columns. The 'Filter lvl' column represents the value of the 'Filter level' for the AIS-MTF indicator. Am. dev. - degree and direction of the indicator's deviation from the price level (sorted in ascending order). Negative values i
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This script allows selecting the TakeProfit and StopLoss levels. It analyzes the history data, and then calculates the probability of reaching a given price level. How the script works Suppose you have a trading strategy and you want to select the TakeProfit and StopLoss levels. Run the script and set the parameter: Number of Bars - the average position holding time in bars. Once the script operation is complete, the AIS-PPL.csv file will be created in the Files folder in the terminal data cata
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AIS Doğru Ortalamalar göstergesi, piyasadaki bir trend hareketinin başlangıcını belirlemenizi sağlar. Göstergenin bir diğer önemli kalitesi, trendin sonunun açık bir işaretidir. Gösterge yeniden çizilmez veya yeniden hesaplanmaz. Görüntülenen Değerler h_AE - AE kanalının üst sınırı l_AE - AE kanalının alt sınırı h_EC - Mevcut çubuk için yüksek tahmin edilen değer l_EC - Mevcut çubuk için düşük tahmin edilen değer Gösterge ile çalışırken sinyaller Ana sinyal, AE ve EC kanallarının kesişimid
AIS Ağırlıklı Hareketli Ortalama göstergesi, ağırlıklı bir hareketli ortalama hesaplar ve trend olan bir piyasa hareketinin başlangıcını belirlemenize olanak tanır. Ağırlık katsayıları, her bir çubuğun belirli özellikleri dikkate alınarak hesaplanır. Bu, rastgele piyasa hareketlerini filtrelemenize olanak tanır. Bir trendin başladığını teyit eden ana sinyal, gösterge çizgilerinin yönündeki bir değişiklik ve gösterge çizgilerini geçen fiyattır. WH (mavi çizgi), Yüksek fiyatların ağırlıklı ort
AIS Advanced Grade Fizibilite göstergesi, fiyatın gelecekte ulaşabileceği seviyeleri tahmin etmek için tasarlanmıştır. Görevi, son üç çubuğu analiz etmek ve buna dayalı bir tahmin oluşturmaktır. Gösterge herhangi bir zaman diliminde ve herhangi bir döviz çiftinde kullanılabilir. Ayarların yardımıyla, tahminin istenen kalitesini elde edebilirsiniz. Tahmin derinliği - istenen tahmin derinliğini çubuklar halinde ayarlar. Bu parametrenin 18-31 aralığında seçilmesi önerilir. Bu sınırların ötesine g
The indicator is designed to measure the price volatility. This allows determining the moments for opening or closing trade positions more accurately. High intensity of the market indicates the instability of its movement, but allows for better results. And, conversely, low intensity of the market indicates the stability of its movement. Parameters Bars to process - the number of bars to measure the price movements. A low value of this parameter allows determining the moments of rapid price mov
This indicator uses the Fibonacci p-numbers to smooth a price series. This allows combining the advantages of the simple and exponential moving averages. The smoothing coefficients depend on the level of the p-number, which is set in the indicator parameters. The higher the level, the greater the influence of the simple moving average and the less significant the exponential moving average. Parameters Fibonacci Numbers Order - order of the Fibonacci p-number, specified by trader. Valid values a
The indicator is based on the analysis of interaction of two filters. The first filter is the popular Moving Average. It helps to identify linear price movements and to smooth minor price fluctuations. The second filter is the Sliding Median. It is a non-linear filter. It allows to filter out noise and single spikes in the price movement. A predictive filter implemented in this indicator is based on the difference between these filters. The indicator is trained during operation and is therefore
This indicator studies the price action as a combination of micro-trends. All micro-trends are analyzed and averaged. Price movement is filtered based on this averaging. IP_High and IP_Low (blue and red dashed lines) show the instantaneous price movement. They display the forecast only for the current price values, taking into account only the number of bars defined by the 'Filter level' parameter. SP_High and SP_Low (blue and red solid lines) smooth the price movements with respect to history.
Bu gösterge, basit bir doğrusal yumuşatma işlemi uygular. Üstel yumuşatmanın dezavantajlarından biri, sinyalin hızlı bozulmasıdır. Bu, fiyat aralığındaki uzun vadeli eğilimleri tam olarak takip etmeyi imkansız hale getirir. Doğrusal yumuşatma, sinyal filtrelemeyi daha doğru ve ince bir şekilde ayarlamanıza olanak tanır. Gösterge, parametreler seçilerek yapılandırılır: LP - bu parametre, yumuşatma süresini seçmenize olanak tanır. Değeri ne kadar büyük olursa, gösterge o kadar uzun vadeli eğil
This script allows selecting the TakeProfit and StopLoss levels. It analyzes the history data, and then calculates the probability of reaching a given price level. How the script works Suppose you have a trading strategy and you want to select the TakeProfit and StopLoss levels. Run the script and set the parameter: Number of Bars - the average position holding time in bars. Once the script operation is complete, the AIS-PPL.csv file will be created in the Files folder in the terminal data cata
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Этот индикатор представляет гибридный фильтр основанный на совместном использовании медианы и скользящей средней. Использование медианы позволяет отфильтровывать аномальные выбросы и случайные импульсы в значениях ценового ряда. При этом на трендовую составляющую медианный фильтр не действует, оставляя ее без изменений. Так как медианный фильтр является нелинейным, то для сглаживания его значений используется скользящая средняя. Такой подход позволяет более точно выделять не только тренд, но и п
This indicator is a combination of two modified Lanczos filters. The first filter serves to extrapolate the price. Based on past values, he predicts a possible price movement within the current bar. That is, it shows what the price would be if the past trends remained unchanged. The second filter for smoothing and averaging prices within the window, determined by the level of the filter. Thanks to the selection of weights, this filter is most actively responding to the periodic component that is
Let's look at the nature of price changes in the Forex market, not paying attention to the reasons why these changes occur. This approach will allow us to identify the main factors affecting the price movement. For example, let's take the opening prices of bars on the EUR-USD currency pair and the H1 timeframe. For these prices, we construct the Lameray diagram (Figure 1). In this diagram, it can be seen that the price movement basically occurs according to a linear equation. To determine the pa
This indicator is more informative. His work is based on the assumption that the price movement in the market can be represented as noise of a particular color, which depends on the parameters of the distribution of price values. Thanks to this, it is possible to analyze the price change from different angles, and considering the price movement as noise of a particular color, one can get information about the current state of affairs in the market and make a forecast about the price behavior. W
Despite some drawbacks of the “ AIS Color Noise Filter ” indicator, the idea to use it to smooth the price series and forecast prices looks quite attractive. This is due to several reasons: first, taking into account several noise components allows building a forecast on factors independent of each other, which can improve the quality of forecasting; secondly, the noise characteristics of the price series behave quite stably throughout the entire history, which makes it possible to obtain stabl
Very often, in the study of financial series apply their smoothing. Using smoothing, you can remove high-frequency components - it is believed that they are caused by random factors and therefore irrelevant. Smoothing always includes some way of averaging the data, in which random changes in the time series mutually absorb each other. Most often, for this purpose, simple or weighted moving average methods are used, as well as exponential smoothing. Each of these methods has its advantages and d
In order to isolate long-term and non-random components, it is necessary to know not only how much the price has changed, but also how these changes occurred. In other words - we are interested not only in the values ​​of price levels, but also in the order in which these levels replace each other. Through this approach, one can find long-term and stable factors that influence (or may influence) the price change at a given point in time. And knowledge of these factors allows you to make a more
One of the powerful methods of analysis is the modeling of financial series using Levy processes. The main advantage of these processes is that they can be used to model a huge number of phenomena - from the simplest to the most complex. Suffice it to say that the idea of ​​the fractal price movement in the market is only a special case of Levy processes. On the other hand, with proper selection of parameters, any Levy process can be represented as a simple moving average. Figure 1 shows an exa
Very often, the trader is faced with the task of determining the extent to which the price may change in the near future. For this purpose, you can use the Johnson distribution type SB. The main advantage of this distribution is that it can be used even with a small amount of accumulated data. The empirical approach used in determining the parameters of this distribution, allows you to accurately determine the maximum and minimum levels of the price channel. These values ​​can be used in differ
This indicator allows you to determine the likelihood that the price will reach one or another level. Its algorithm is quite simple and is based on the use of statistical data on the price levels of a particular currency pair. Thanks to the collected historical data, it is possible to determine the extent to which the price will change during the current bar. Despite its simplicity, this indicator can provide invaluable assistance in trading. So, with its help it is possible to determine TakePr
Stable distributions can be used to smooth financial series. Since a fairly deep history can be used to calculate the distribution parameters, such smoothing may in some cases be even more effective than other methods. The figure shows an example of the distribution of the opening prices of the currency pair " EUR-USD " on the time frame H1 for ten years (figure 1). Looks fascinating, doesn't it? The main idea behind this indicator is to determine the parameters of a stable distribution based
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Sürüm 4.0 2021.03.05
Added typical levels that can be viewed as support and resistance levels.
Sürüm 3.11 2021.03.02
улучшен расчет экстремальных значений в истории
Sürüm 3.10 2021.02.20
оптимизированы некоторые вычисления
Sürüm 3.0 2021.02.11
Added labels that show prices of the corresponding levels.
Sürüm 2.0 2021.01.16
Added the ability to select the type of levels - normal, type I, type II