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Ethereum Star MT5

Trend following expert on Ethereum with live performance results (see my profile) and MT5/Binance trading mode.

Introduction

Have you ever wonder why is it so hard to accumulate impressive capital using expert advisors? The key feature here is reinvestment. You need to constantly increase your deposit so you could receive greater income. And compound that income to your deposit again. Then the power of compound interest will increase your capital exponentially over time. 

To do that you can choose between two types of expert advisors:

  1. Martingale/grid experts with unlimited losses or experts with losses much greater than profits.
  2. Experts with fixed losses which is less or comparable to profits.

  • In the first case you have to withdraw all your profit because sooner or later the expert will burn your entire deposit. Assuming typical performance of grid experts, it will take a year or more to simply return 100% of your investment.
  • In the second case you can compound your profit but it's difficult to achieve the same stability of performance compared to grid systems because such experts always tend to get overfitted to the past prices. 

I've been stuck with this dilemma for a long time until I've created this expert.

Algorithm

  • On the one hand, it uses some adaptive conditions to enter the trend with a relatively short SL, follow that trend with trailing SL and exit or reverse at the end of the trend. These conditions adapt to the market situation.
  • On the other, it has some filters to avoid multiple losses during the flat phase, which were tuned based on my original technique that I call "an optimization without optimization". It was inspired by several research articles ([1], [2], [3]) where I found the answer why most of the optimization techniques used in algotrading are fail. This approach allows to reduce an overfitting to minimum.

Main properties of the expert:

  • No grid, no martingale, not holding loss positions for a long time.
  • Each deal has a fixed SL that can only be shortened.
  • Uses trailing SL to maximize profit from big trends.
  • Requires no optimization, use default settings adjusted to your deposit.
  • Shows stable historical results during both bull and bear crypto trends, high and low volatility, from 2018 to 2024.
  • Shows historical performance (rec.factor=29.5 with a fix.lot) compared to the best grid systems without dangerous trading methods.
  • Demonstrates live performance similar to test results (see screenshots).
  • Comply with FIFO rule.
  • Compatible with both netting and hedging accounts.
  • Minimal deposit is 100$.
  • The only recommended symbol is Ethereum. Can also be used with BNB but performance is worse.
  • The only recommended timeframe is M15.
  • Not sensitive to slippages and not critically sensitive to comission.

Parameters:

Parameter Default value Description Comment
WorkTimeframe
PERIOD_M15
timeframe for trading via MT5
 Preferrable timeframe is M15.
TradeBinance false trade on Binance False for trading via MT5. True for trading directy on Binance Futures.
ApiBinance
your Binance account generated API Required if TradeBinance=true.
SecretBinance   your Binance account generated secret Required if TradeBinance=true.
SymbolBin ETHUSDT Binance instrument Symbol name from Binance futures.
TimeFrameBin 15m Binance timeframe Preferrable is 15m. Others: 1m/3m/5m/15m/30m/1h/2h/4h/6h/8h/12h/1d/1w.
DigitsBin 2 decimals of Binance instrument ETHUSDT has 2.
Lot
4 base lot
 In practice, I use no more than 1 lot for every 1000 of balance
PriceNorm
3000
price for a volume = Lot
 Needed to eliminate the impact of price level on risk. 3000 means it will trade 4 lots when ETH price is 3000, 3 lots when price is 4000, 6 lots when price is 2000 etc. It will keep the size of position (price x lot = 12000) same for every price level.
AdjustLotByBalance
false
increase lot with balance
BalanceNorm
8000 balance for a volume = Lot, when AdjustLotByBalance=true
 If Lot=4 will trade 2 lots with 4000 balance, 3 lots with 6000 balance etc.
MaxSpread
0.2 max spread in % of price
 On Binance ETHUSDT futures spread is usually 0.003% of price.
AllowBuy
true
buys allowed
AllowSell
true
sells allowed
 In case you'll want to use one side trading. I always use both sides even during strong bull market because there's a chance to get additional profit on sudden rapid corrections + you never know when the trend will revert.
CloseAtFriday
false
close all positions at friday evening
  CloseAtFridayHour  22 hour to close all at friday (GMT) In case your broker doesn't give a quote on weekend. The best results achieved when trading 24/7.

Testing

All tests were performed with Binance ETHUSDT spot prices. You can download this data from Binance only using API keys and Python script to transform prices to MT5 format. I provide this script here. Otherwise, you can simply use the MT5-compatible history file prepared by this script.

Create a custom symbol and fill it up with the history from that file as shown here. 

Tester should have following settings:

  • Period: M15
  • Dates: 2018.01.01 to 2024.04.01
  • Delays: zero latency, ideal execution
  • Modelling: open prices only (no need for better accuracy because the expert ensures enter price to be at the bar open price or puts a limit order)
  • Deposit: 8000 USD
  • Leverage: 1:500
  • Comission: 0.05% for both sides (USDT taker) which is the largest comission on Binance futures (in practice, comission will be between 0.05% and 0.02% because in some cases expert uses limit orders). Set it from my comission config file.

Test results by year and risk mode:

Dates Risk Net profit MaxDD MaxDD% Rec.factor
(net.prof./maxDD)		 Deals Sharp 
year 2018 fix.lot=4 28 811 3532 34% 8.2 177 4.00
year 2019 fix.lot=4
5522 3931 34% 1.4 208 0.94
year 2020
 fix.lot=4
21 390 2108 19% 10.1 194 3.95
year 2021
 fix.lot=4
25 523 3505 29% 7.3 190 4.25
year 2022
 fix.lot=4
22 405 3514 17% 6.4 216 4.02
year 2023
 fix.lot=4
11 042 2353 21% 4.7 220 2.28
1.1.2018-1.4.2024
 fix.lot=4
116 169 3931 34% 29.5 1263 2.32
1.1.2018-1.4.2024 lot=4 for every 20k bal. 1 796 594 168 296 18% 10.7 1263 3.27
BTC 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 32 400 29 409 77% 1.1 1  
ETH 1.1.2018-1.4.2024 buy and hold for 8000$ 30 640 40 410 89% 0.76 1   

Trading

I personally use this expert to trade on Binance futures. Since it was developed with spot prices it uses spot prices to analyze market and decide what to do but trades futures because of the lower fees and available leverage. It increases performance compared to analyzing futures prices.

See my simple guide how to run this expert in Binance trading mode.

Comparison between ETHUSDT Binance spot and Alpari Real account ETHEREUM CFD (0.07% comission + spread) performance from 1.10.2021 to 1.4.2024, fixlot=4:

symbol comission  net profit maxDD  rec.factor deals sharp
ETHUSDT Binance
  0.05% 38 100  3500 10.9 567 2.17
Alpari Real ETHEREUM CFD  0.07% + spread 33 400  3350 9.2 573 1.41

Of course you will need a VPS server to properly run this expert. I use it with Metatrader VPS.

Results

The results I got on my futures account with this expert absolutly satisfied me. I'm actively continue to trade it and involve more capital. I cannot provide link on my Binance live monitoring because of the Market rules. For the same reason I provide no MQL signal with my expert: trading conditions that MT5-compatible brokers provide to trade Ethereum CFD are slightly worse than Binance futures. You can check real trading results in my profile or in the screenshots.

Feel free to ask me any questions in PM after purchase.

Have a good trade!

References

[1] D. Bailey, J. Borwein, M. López de Prado and J. Zhu, The probability of backtest overfitting, 2013, working paper.

[2] D. Bailey and M. López de Prado, The Sharpe ratio efficient frontier, Journal of Risk 15(2) (2012), 3–44.

[3] Bailey, D., J. Borwein, M. L´opez de Prado and J. Zhu, “Pseudo-mathematics and financial charlatanism: The effects of backtest over fitting on out-of-sample performance,” Notices of the AMS, 61 May (2014), 458–471.

































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Signal Account  (running 0.75% Balance Risk) If you need MT4 version or can't afford renting/purchasing contact me for alternative solution. If you'd like to purchase multiple EAs (minimum 2 EAs of your choice) as a custom package contact me for 10% special discount for the package. Also contact me for additional discount options. Join  Nexus Community Public Chat This EA is part of   Nexus Portfolio  - the most long term stable EA in mql5 market.  Starting price: $1600, current price $2400, ne
Future Sight MT5
Sang Sariaji Sakti
5 (14)
Experts
$999.99 END ON SEPTEMBER 01, 2024 !   "FUTURE SIGHT OFFICIALLY ONLY SOLD IN MQL5" SAVE YOUR MONEY FOR THE AUTHENTIC FUTURE SIGHT, NOT WORTHLESS PIRATED COPIES. NEXT PRICE $1250. FUTURE SIGHT IS EQUIPPED WITH HIGH SECURITY FEATURES AND HAS A UNIQUE CODE. THIS MAY STOP USERS FROM USING PIRATE FILES, SO PROTECT YOUR MONEY! FUTURE SIGHT WITH A  WIN RATE OF MORE THAN 80% , OPENING 10 TO 20 OR MORE TRADING EVERY DAY ON 8 SYMBOLS, LOW RISK WITH  "SPECIAL PARAMETER - EXPECTED DD"  THAT YOU CAN SET,  FU
AI TradingVision GPX
Yu Mei Cheng
4.84 (62)
Experts
Strategy Introduction The EA will find the best entry and exit points based on the data trained by the neural network and the current market trend. It includes multiple loss exit strategies to ensure capital safety. Because the market is full of uncertainties, it is impossible to enter at the most ideal point every time. Our EA uses a unique batch entry method, adding up to 5 entry points. Even occasional misjudgments can quickly recover subsequently. Each order has a fixed stop loss (SL) and t
Quantum Queen MT5
Bogdan Ion Puscasu
5 (9)
Experts
Ciao, commercianti! Sono Quantum Queen, la più recente e molto potente aggiunta alla famiglia Quantum di Expert Advisors. La mia specialità? ORO. Sì, scambio la coppia XAUUSD con precisione e sicurezza, offrendoti opportunità di trading senza precedenti sullo scintillante mercato dell'oro. IMPORTANT! After the purchase please send me a private message to receive the installation manual and the setup instructions. Segnale live 1:   CLIC Prezzo   scontato   del 50% fino al 31 agosto.  
Neon Trade MT5
Evgeniy Ilin
5 (2)
Experts
# Neon Trade MT5 La nostra comunità Telegram Presentiamo al vostro attenzione Neon Trade - un'innovazione unica nel campo del trading algoritmico sui mercati valutari, utilizzando metodi avanzati di machine learning.  Il nostro consulente è completamente autonomo e pronto per funzionare dopo averlo installato su qualsiasi grafico e time frame. Funziona sul principio - appeso al grafico e dimenticato. L'unica cosa che devi fare è consentire l'accesso alla mia API " https://xmpp.madsysadm.ru " ne
Bitcoin Robot MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.36 (36)
Experts
The Bitcoin Robot MT5 is engineered to execute Bitcoin trades with unparalleled efficiency and precision . Developed by a team of experienced traders and developers, our Bitcoin Robot employs a sophisticated algorithmic approach (price action, trend as well as two personalized indicators) to analyze market and execute trades swiftly with M5 timeframe , ensuring that you never miss out on lucrative opportunities. No grid, no martingale, no hedging, EA only open one position at the same time. Bit
Ai Multi Trend MT5
Mansour Babasafary
4.41 (22)
Experts
25% discount, until 2024.07.26 (Original price: $1000) Get a 50% bonus by buying (or even renting) any of our products. After buying (or renting), send a message for more information. Expert trend hunter Combined with artificial intelligence Control the AI with a variety of simple settings Without using dangerous strategies (all trades have a profit limit and a loss limit) Can be used in 6 main market currency pairs and 4 important time frames An expert who has been trained by artifici
Oracle MT5
Stanislav Tomilov
5 (13)
Experts
Oracle Trading Expert the Quintessence of Modern Programming Technologies Expert Oracle for MetaTrader, trading on GBPUSD and Gold, represents the quintessence of modern programming technologies. Our unique proprietary methods and developments are based on advanced machine learning concepts, making our trading expert truly one-of-a-kind. We offer cutting-edge modules and neural architecture that embody innovative advancements in financial programming. Our algorithms rely on in-depth data analysi
Darwin Swing MT5
Guillaume Duportal
4.92 (39)
Experts
Darwin SWING Prezzo di lancio 999 USD, prezzo futuro 1490 USD DESCRIZIONI : -- Per capire come funziona, leggete il blog (Questo EA riflette la mia filosofia di trading sul forex... Se vi piace il mio modo di vedere le cose, allora vi piacerà il mio EA. Prendetevi il tempo per farlo! (Il Forex non è una gara): https://www.mql5.com/en/blogs/post/745790 -- Per vedere le performance passate ecco i link ai segnali Segnali live e demo: https://www.mql5.com/en/users/tradedeal/seller
TrendMaster FX
Chen Jia Qi
4.56 (79)
Experts
Presentazione del nostro EA MT5: Alimentato da algoritmi avanzati e tecnologia di apprendimento profondo, il nostro Expert Advisor (EA) è meticolosamente progettato per guidarvi attraverso il mondo intricato del trading sul forex. Il sistema analizza diligentemente le attività di mercato ed effettua operazioni in base a criteri prestabiliti, consentendovi di cogliere le tendenze di mercato in modo più efficace. Coppie di valute consigliate: Segnale dal vivo:   TrendMaster FX Versione MT4:   Tre
Big Forex Players MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.83 (47)
Experts
We proudly present our cutting-edge robot, the  Big Forex Players EA  designed to maximize your trading potential, minimize emotional trading, and make smarter decisions powered by cutting-edge technology. The whole system in this EA took us many months to build, and then we spent a lot of time testing it. This unique EA includes three distinct strategies that can be used independently or in together. The robot receives the positions of the  biggest Banks  (positions are sent from our database t
FT Gold Robot MT5
Marzena Maria Szmit
4.46 (57)
Experts
Introducing the FT Gold Robot MT5, your ultimate companion in navigating the intricate world of XAUUSD trading. Developed with precision and powered by cutting-edge algorithms, FT Gold is a forex robot meticulously crafted to optimize your trading performance with XAUUSD pairs . With its advanced analytical capabilities, FT Gold Robot constantly monitors the gold market, identifying key trends, patterns, and price movements with lightning speed. The FT Gold Robot opens 5 positions every day (you
Dragon Multi EA MT5
Mansour Babasafary
4.46 (50)
Experts
3 experts in 1 expert Strategy based on price action Made specifically for the best forex currency pairs Can be used in the best time frame of the market at a very reasonable price This expert is basically 3 different experts. But we have combined these 3 experts in 1 expert so that you can use 3 experts at the lowest price. All three strategies are based on price action. But based on different trends. Long term, medium term and short term Attributes : Can be used in the EURUSD , AUDUS
GoldPulse AI MT5
Babak Alamdar
4.09 (34)
Experts
Acquista non un backtest, ma un vero sistema di trading:  Live Signal 1     Live Signal 2       Live Signal 3   Questo prezzo è temporaneo per la durata della promozione e verrà aumentato a breve Ottieni 1 EA gratis -> contattami dopo l'acquisto Sono rimaste solo poche copie al prezzo attuale, il prezzo successivo è -->> 1480 $ Welcome to the GoldPulse AI Hey, I'm GoldPulse AI! Questo è il primo robot più intelligente che scambia oro o XAU con coppie complete come XAUUSD, XAUEUR, XAUGBP,
Aura Black Edition MT5
Stanislav Tomilov
4.26 (27)
Experts
Aura Black Edition is a fully automated EA designed to trade GOLD only. Expert showed stable results on XAUUSD in 2011-2020 period. No dangerous methods of money management used, no martingale, no grid or scalp. Suitable for any broker conditions. EA trained with a multilayer perceptron Neural Network (MLP) is a class of feedforward artificial neural network (ANN). The term MLP is used ambiguously, sometimes loosely to any feedforward ANN, sometimes strictly to refer to networks composed of mult
Waka Waka EA MT5
Valeriia Mishchenko
4.1 (39)
Experts
EA has a live track record with 4.5 years of stable trading with low drawdown: Live performance MT4 version can be found here Waka Waka is the advanced grid system which already works on real accounts for years. Instead of fitting the system to reflect historical data (like most people do) it was designed to exploit existing market inefficiencies. Therefore it is not a simple "hit and miss" system which only survives by using grid. Instead it uses real market mechanics to its advantage to make p
Gold Excel MT5
Gregory Hay
4.84 (19)
Experts
benvenuto a       Versione GoldExcel EA MT5   , trading valido per la coppia di valute XAUUSD (GOLD) di oggi. È stato progettato dal nostro team per gestire account regolari, account sponsorizzati e attività. Non utilizzare il trading ad alta frequenza. See all products here:   https://www.mql5.com/en/users/fxmanagedforexltd/seller Il prezzo iniziale aumenta ogni poche settimane. JinZhuo       Questa è una strategia di trading giornaliero che utilizza solo coppie d'oro. Le coppie d'oro sono idea
Ai Hybrid Robot MT5
Mansour Babasafary
4.38 (13)
Experts
Several experts in one expert With this expert, you can use several up-to-date strategies Enhanced with artificial intelligence Can be used in several popular forex currencies Can be used in the most popular forex time frames Without using high-risk strategies Attributes : Can be used in the EURUSD , GBPUSD , USDCHF , AUDUSD , USDCAD , NZDUSD  currency pairs Can be used in M30 , H1 , H4 , D1 time frames Has profit limit and loss limit Without using risky strategies like martingale or hedg
US30 Scalper EA MT5
Lo Thi Mai Loan
4.92 (12)
Experts
Promozione di lancio! Rimangono solo poche copie al prezzo attuale! Prossimo prezzo: 1233 $ Prezzo finale: 1993$ Live signal:  https://www.mql5.com/en/signals/2220893?source=Site+Profile+Seller MT4:  https://www.mql5.com/en/market/product/113580?source=Site+Market+Product+Page For more top Expert Advisors and Indicators, visit:   https://www.mql5.com/en/users/lothimailoan/seller I am Los, please subscribe to receive more updates:   https://www.mql5.com/en/users/lothimailoan/news US30 Scalper
Aura White Edition MT5
Stanislav Tomilov
4.8 (35)
Experts
Aura White Edition is unique Expert Advisor that continues the Aura series of advisors. The Expert Advisor is based on the engine of Aura Black Expert Advisor , but with a number of changes and author's settings for currency pairs. Innovative methods of the programme's approach to trading, and promising performance results are possible thanks to the use of modern technologies and methods. Aura White Edition is a fully automated EA designed to trade currencies only. Working pairs EURUSD, GBPUSD,
Darwin Evolution MT5
Guillaume Duportal
4.63 (59)
Experts
Darwin Evolution.  -30% Promozione !! 1490 USD a 990 USD tempo limitato (Offerta valida all'arrivo del prossimo aggiornamento, non perdere tempo ) !!! Non puoi effettuare il backtest di questo EA, aprirà gli ordini senza alcuna logica! Descrizioni: - Comprendere l'operazione, vieni a leggere il blog (questo EA riflette la mia filosofia del forex trading ... Se ti piace il mio modo di vedere le cose, allora ti piacerà il mio EA. Prenditi il ​​tempo per farlo !! (Forex non è una gara
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Versione 1.1 2024.04.27
Direct trading on Binance is added. Set parameter TradeBinance=true and add your API key and secret.