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Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.08.24 08:51
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Construction Work and 15 pips price movement
2016-08-24 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Construction Work Done]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - Construction Work Done] = Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of construction projects completed.
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AUD/USD M5: 15 pips price movement by Australia Construction Work news event
Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
AUDUSD Technical Analysis 2016, 28.08 - 04.09: daily correction to the possible bearish reversal
Sergey Golubev, 2016.08.27 15:03
Daily price is breaking 0.7583 support level to below for the daily secondary correction within the primary bullish trend.
The bearish reversal level is 0.7420 support, and if the price breaks this level to below so the bearish reversal will be started.
If D1 price breaks 0.7583 support level on close bar together with descending triangle pattern to below so the local downtrend as the secondary correction will be continuing.If D1 price breaks 0.7420 support level on close bar so the reversal of the daily price movement from the bullish to the primary bearish market condition will be started.
If D1 price breaks 0.7755 resistance level on close bar from below to above so the bullish trend will be resumed.
If not so the price will be on bullish ranging within the levels.
SUMMARY : bullish
TREND : correctionForum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.08.30 07:13
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Building Approvals and 15 pips price movement
2016-08-30 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Building Approvals]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - Building Approvals] = Change in the number of new building approvals issued.
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AUD/USD M5: 15 pips range price movement by Australia Building Approvals news event
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Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.06 16:40
Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CNH: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
2016-09-06 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for USD in our case)
[USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.
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"The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., CFPM, chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee. "The NMI® registered 51.4 percent in August, 4.1 percentage points lower than the July reading of 55.5 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector at a slower rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index decreased substantially to 51.8 percent, 7.5 percentage points lower than the July reading of 59.3 percent, reflecting growth for the 85th consecutive month, at a notably slower rate in August. The New Orders Index registered 51.4 percent, 8.9 percentage points lower than the reading of 60.3 percent in July. The Employment Index decreased 0.7 percentage point in August to 50.7 percent from the July reading of 51.4 percent. The Prices Index decreased 0.1 percentage point from the July reading of 51.9 percent to 51.8 percent, indicating prices increased in August for the fifth consecutive month. According to the NMI®, 11 non-manufacturing industries reported growth in August."
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AUD/USD M5: 52 pips price movement by ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI news event
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Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.07 08:14
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Gross Domestic Product and 28 pips range price movement
2016-09-07 01:30 GMT | [AUD - GDP]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - GDP] = Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy.
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AUD/USD M5: 28 pips range price movement by Australian GDP news event
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Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.08 08:47
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australian Trade Balance and 37 pips price movement
2016-09-08 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Trade Balance]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - Trade Balance] = Difference in value between imported and exported goods and services during the reported month.
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AUD/USD M5: 37 pips price movement by Australian Trade Balance news event
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Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.13 12:57
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Aussie Rejected at 0.77 Figure (based on the article)
H4 price is on bearish condition located below 100 SMA/200 SMA: price was bounced from 0.7731 resistance level to below for the breakdown with the bearish reversal. Fow now, the price is on bearish ranging within narrow support/resistance levels: 0.7567 resistance and 0.7493 support.
If H4 price breaks 0.7567 resistance level to above on close bar so the local uptrend as the bear market rally will be started.
If H4 price breaks 0.7493 support level to below so the primary bearish trend will be resumed.
If not so the price will be on bearish ranging within the levels.
SUMMARY : bearish
TREND : rangingForum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies
Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.14 08:36
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment and 12 pips range price movement
2016-09-14 00:30 GMT | [AUD - Westpac Consumer Sentiment]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - Westpac Consumer Sentiment] = Change in the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers.
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From thebull.com.au article:
"Wisest place for savings: Banks (chosen by 29.9 per cent of respondents) were regarded as the wisest place for new savings from “Pay Debt” (21.0 per cent) and Real Estate (15.4 per cent)."
"Less certain: Over 5 per cent of respondents don’t know the best place to put new savings."
"These are uncertain times. And that is shown by the views of Aussie consumers regarding the best place to put new savings. Before 2015, Aussie consumers had firm views about where to put new savings. But over the past year, the proportion of people unsure about the best place to put new savings has lifted to the highest levels on record. In March this year 7 per cent of people said that they didn’t know the wisest place for savings. The latest survey result showed that the proportion of undecided consumers was still high at 5.3 per cent."
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AUD/USD M5: 12 pips range price movement by Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment news event
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Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.15 08:10
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Australia Employment Change and 29 pips price movement
2016-09-15 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Employment Change]
if actual > forecast (or previous one) = good for currency (for AUD in our case)
[AUD - Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month.
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AUD/USD M5: 29 pips price movement by Australia Employment Change news event
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Press review
Sergey Golubev, 2016.09.20 07:26
AUD/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: RBA Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes and 18 pips price movement
2016-09-20 01:30 GMT | [AUD - Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes]
[AUD - Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes] = It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.
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From ABC News article:
"Interest rates are likely to remain on hold in the foreseeable future, with the Reserve Bank of Australia flagging that growth remains in line with expectations, and the RBA remains unperturbed by the housing market."
"Taking into account the recent data, and having eased monetary policy at its May and August meetings, the Board judged the current stance of monetary policy was consistent with sustainable growth in the Australian economy and achieving the inflation target over time," the Board said in its minutes.
"The Reserve Bank has an inflation target of between 2 to 3 per cent, and the rate cuts in May and August were prompted by weak inflation figures in the March and June quarters."
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AUD/USD M5: 18 pips price movement by RBA Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes news event