Not the Grail, just a regular one - Bablokos!!! - page 580

 
Ognemiroff:

Fundamental robot we have) is ridiculous bullshit. More often than not, analysts and insiders are trying illusions.

Regarding the answer to your question with volatility and volumes. This order system works better on pullbacks after trends (on trends in the other direction). The pivot points are very accurate, 9 out of 10 are true. I trade by them manually. I use the parameter potential of the current movement, which is calculated on the basis of the market movement. And it will be either right away or in 100 points maximum. Why do not fix the loss? The order system compensates for losses. There is no martin, no averaging, and no oversleeping. The whole order system is looped.

Almost a grail, but not ideal. One has to manage to lose money on it. They have abandoned the trading robot because the risks/profits cannot be increased proportionally. To put it simply, it may not yield more than 10-15 percent a month, with drawdown below 20 percent.

There is always that balance. Either you sacrifice profits to neutralize losses and get few signals. Or you overestimate risks and catch unnecessary flops and drawdown on them.

I wrote it out recently. The robot uses 10 market patterns. It's still not perfect... There's something missing there that gets it to the grail.

 
JohnGoodtrade:

"The robot uses the effect of time-dependent price movements. It calculates the probability of a reversal and, at the point of maximum probability, opens and independently escorts trades."

And how can this stratum be broken? How is it the easiest to lose?

The reversal did not take place in the calculated point that was far away and immediately. What will he do? To average? Will he close the loss at once? Or leave the drawdown and use other symbols to reach the drawdown? What are the other options? Ah,a lock).

And Genghis - neither option will work. It will. If you don't refill. And it depends on the amount... There will be a point of no return, when the fraction no longer makes sense: either the maximum on the transactions reached, or the amount of the fraction not affordable).

Well, if you take a breakdown, for example. Or if you swing with small lots. So there is both flat and swaps. I don't know.

What kind of robot do you have, how do you expect to bring it down?

First of all, the probability of reversal as an independent event cannot be determined. Because it's an event that hasn't happened yet. And whoever is doing this is wasting time on a perfect apotheosis in its purest form.

The only thing that can be determined is the probability of continuation of the directional movement. But to do it one has to determine it best by the price itself and nothing more.

Secondly, it is very easy to "sink" - a pull-down of 500-800 points and a drawdown in half an hour, and a very large drawdown in a fairly short period of time.

The easiest way to lose is to, absurd as it may sound... Opening on it during a flat, there is the highest probability of failure, because all trends are born out of a flat. \


It may seem to some people that the probability of a reversal is 1 minus the probability of a trend. But this is farooooo wrong. because there is a correction, which is essentially / trend - random wandering - trend / . And a reversal is also a trend, but in the opposite direction.

Then one minus the probability of trend continuation is the probability of a flat and nothing more.



And the probability of reversal, and now you think it's totally absurd, ... is a hundred percent when the probability of trending is a hundred percent. Not when the probability of trending down, but when it is as high as it can go. And that is the point in time to enter a reversal, the minimum at which you should enter a reversal is 95% probability of trending. Below that, the probability of a flat will inevitably increase, and that is always uncertainty.

Conclusion:
The probability of a reversal has a one-to-one correspondence with the probability of a trend.
 
JohnGoodtrade:

No, sir, you havedeversification. And it's definitely making a profit, around 60%.

If it was, I would have used diversification first. Take it apart, figure out how it works and build it again.

But diversification has too many options. In a really working system, the principle on which it is based should have at most 2-4 variants. For example up, down, more, less etc.

And it must be very simple. So much so, that there is nothing else to do but to make money.



And has anyone ever wondered where people are trying to separate trends and flops in the market, who was the first to do it and why...
I don't think so...
And it's very simple: market activity, lack of activity. Not movement, but activity. Activity is expressed in various necessarily statistical things.
It is a "coordinate system" that allows you to fly into an extremely narrow green corridor of maximum possible profit probability. It is like flying into a one-millimeter wide rift from a distance of one kilometre. Literally, one step to the right and one step to the left and nothing works. This property of the market is truly amazing. But in principle it fully justifies the leptocurtosis distribution.
 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:

For a system that actually works, the principle on which it is based should have a maximum of 2-4 possibilities. For example, up, down, over, under and into the factory.

And it must be very simple. So much so that there is nothing else to do but to make money. At least as in the last option.

A bit of an addition to your thesis Sensei.

 
Ognemiroff:


We are not satisfied with this robot in terms of profit/loss ratio. And in the market it is one of the best jobs.


They offer to check it in the tester, but before that the other one proves that the tester is rubbish. )))

 
Evgeniy Chumakov:


The salesmen are great. One posts, the other advertises. Offers to test in a tester, but before doing so the other proves that the tester is rubbish. )))

We're not selling anything to anyone. I don't need it. I have everything I need to trade. Why should I have to sell anything?
 
CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:
We do not sell anything to anybody. I don't need it. I have everything I need to trade. Why should I have to sell anything?

Tell us more about how you see forex and what place do you occupy in it? What is your business in this market? Apart from programming and selling some of my work.

 
JohnGoodtrade:

Tell us more about how you see forex and what place do you occupy in it? What is your business in this market? Apart from programming and the partial sale of my own work.

Forex is a sure money loser for most.
So it can basically be equated to a casino.

For an absolute minority, it's a way to achieve absolute financial freedom, minus taxes, spreads, commissions and swaps.

If you have a profitable strategy and of course with limited risk, which at least 5% per month gives +-, take a million at least and put it on the account of a normal broker controlled by the regulator with mandatory deposit insurance.
You read the contract carefully, take care of the details, check the technical support and you start earning from 50 to 150-200 thousand rubles per month.

Otherwise, there is no way. You cannot earn anything with 100$.
Only to drain.

As I wrote this is not everything, there are many pitfalls which of course need to be dug out from the roots and you have to understand everything.

Communication with the broker should naturally be 24/7 with a delay in communication with the broker's server of maximum 10-20 m/s. If you have a broker and your money is on the account you should never tell the technical support team that you are leaving the company. You withdraw the money and then say what you want about it.
You withdraw the money and say whatever you want to to them. It's important to understand that with commissions + spread in pips on a five-digit card, trading above 20 pips per trade makes no sense at all. If you're not careful, you may end up losing everything you have, depending on the frequency of your deals every day/month.

For example, if you do not know the basic rules of Forex trading, you cannot trade just because you do not know how to trade.


And when you withdraw money from the account you have to have a 2NDFL or any other certificate that you have really withdrawn money from your account with the broker. All absolutely checks and reports are stored on a separate flash drive at least 5 years they will be useful to you.


All the other conversations about forex and earnings - child's babble about castles in the air. You should act when: " No one will ever get what they want or need.

You should act when :
1. You have a real regulated broker.
2. A trading algorithm based on certain patterns or lack of them, taking into account all the nuances of the trading platform from the broker
3. Have at least a million or two in stock, of which you are willing to plummet, lose half a million-million, and half a million-million to keep in reserve for emergencies so to speak cash cushion.
4. You have read the contract very carefully and have settled all the legal aspects with your Broker.
 

CHINGIZ MUSTAFAEV:

...

You equate it to a casino, fine. Then you say casinos should be played with people who are licensed to do so. Norm. Also, in order to win a lot of money, you have to rip it up in large sums, otherwise there's no point in gambling. If you get the jackpot, you have to pay the tax, but if you get it legally, you have to pay the tax. Gut, fershtein.

At the exchange, two parties make a deal, for a specific purpose. The rest, sand castles.

You can buy the cache, then sell for a better deal if your plan works out and you know the insider. So you can do it beforehand. And to have large sums so that 5% of the difference will be in your pocket.

After reading you, I realized that you do not make any money on it - why would I say that? All of your posts have no idea how to make money, including your description of your robot by yourself. You wrote about a narrow slot, where you have to fly in and stuff, from a distance of 1 km. Well, it's certainly an interesting approach, but if it's a narrow slot, you'd better fly in alone - others won't fit in.

 
JohnGoodtrade:

After reading you, I realised that you don't make any money from it yourself.


;)