Dependency statistics in quotes (information theory, correlation and other feature selection methods) - page 52

 
Mathemat:
Well, here's a start. Really, in English.
I know all that. I read it myself, but in the TA framework. I couldn't find the word econometrics at first glance, but I found TA. The ideas of an efficient market have been and still are widely applied. Lots of Nobels. Econometrics has always struggled with market efficiency. Econometrics is about non-stationarity, fat tails, kinks in the models, what efficiency!
 
faa1947:

Foolishly, I spent several years of my life searching for patterns. Well, I found it, and then what? The knowledge is absolute, infallible. Always. We draw and believe. And what is the prediction error? Or in the beginning, what exactly reflects the pattern in the quotation? And maybe the most important question is: won't your pattern fade in the future or the near future? And if you have not developed a flair for the market when trading, then a dump is mandatory when trading patterns.


Let me clarify to avoid misunderstandings. Vadim's methods do not predict anything (except for bearing in swings). TA predictions are declared from the beginning of the presentation.

Clear rules have been developed for all the methods mentioned, it's all out in the open. It's not about faith, it's about a clear interpretation of events, interscale interactions.

In general, Vadim postulates the harmfulness of prediction and the usefulness of clear interpretation of events such as

-rebound and reversal

-breakdown.

Agree that if the reversal is clearly identified, then the forecast is fucking unnecessary.

The pattern in the quotient in terms of TI reflects the state of the market (graph theory is perfectly suited to describe it).

The pattern is bound to go rotten, but only the one left in history. While forming a new one with the same stable properties. And you don't need any gut feeling whatsoever.

 
yosuf:
Patterns, Fibo levels, Chuvashev forks, zig-zags, butterflies, Adverse Tactics, waves, ..... - are illusions that people want to believe in, consider successful cases, and intentionally overlook failures.

Specialisation in Econometrics (mathematical statistics) - 3000 hours. TA course - 18 hours, read almost entirely in any DC. You acquire the illusion almost effortlessly.

There are people who use TA to form a certain model in their head - they call it "pen trading". I have some pretty successful traders. But this is their skill and they can't teach it to anyone.

There are people who just believe in TA by necessity.

There are people who are capable of mastering mate methods, but for some reason don't do it.

There are people who know the tools of econometrics.

I'm interested in the latter two categories to form a hangout. Like on ICL, because there's a posh hangout on ICL.

 
VNG:


Let me clarify to avoid misunderstandings. Vadim's methods do not predict anything (with the exception of bearing in swings). TA predictions are declared from the beginning of the presentation.

Clear rules have been developed for the application of all the methods mentioned, everything is out in the open. It is not about faith, it is about clear interpretation of events, interscale interactions.

In general, Vadim postulates the harmfulness of prediction and the usefulness of a clear interpretation of events such as

-rebound and reversal

-breakdown.

Agree that if the reversal is clearly identified, then the forecast is fucking unnecessary.

The pattern in the quotient in terms of TI reflects the state of the market (graph theory is perfectly suited to describe it).

The pattern is bound to go rotten, but only the one left in history. While forming a new one with the same stable properties. And you don't need any fucking flair.

Wow! The pattern is not for prediction? You enter the pose without predicting success? Just out of the blue?
 

And I'm looking for patterns that won't go stale. Sure, an idiot's dream, but that's what Tadw looked like in the beginning, wasn't it?

Non-obvious patterns don't go stale. That is, the ones that are not visible on the surface. I doubt that many people use theoretical-informational patterns, for they are too complicated for direct perception and by no means visible to the eye.

 
faa1947:

Specialisation in Econometrics (mathematical statistics) - 3000 hours. TA course - 18 hours, read almost entirely in any DC. You acquire the illusion almost effortlessly.

There are people who use TA to form a certain model in their head - they call it "pen trading". I have some pretty successful traders. But this is their skill and they cannot teach it to anyone.

There are people who just believe in TA by necessity.

There are people who are capable of mastering mate methods, but for some reason don't do it.

There are people who know the tools of econometrics.

I'm interested in the latter two categories to form a hangout. Like on ICL, because there is a posh ICL hangout.

Is the TA course a technical analysis course?
 
...:
Is the TA course a technical analysis course?
Yes, of course. TA as TAdv is your personal understanding.
 
Mathemat:
Yes, of course. TA as TAdv is your personal understanding.

Good, because I was getting scared ;)

But the docs could easily start reading econometrics courses as well. Five hours each, for example. Would that prove anything?

 
Mathemat:

And I'm looking for patterns that won't go stale. Sure, an idiot's dream, but that's what Tadw looked like in the beginning, wasn't it?

Non-obvious patterns don't go stale. That is, the ones that are not visible on the surface. I doubt that many people use theoretical-informational patterns, for they are too complicated for direct perception and by no means visible to the eye.


What's the benefit of "non-fading patterns"? Where does the money come from? :)
 
Mathemat:

Non-obvious patterns do not fade. That is, those that are not visible on the surface. I doubt that many people use theoretical-informational patterns, for they are too complicated for direct perception and by no means visible to the eye.

Things that are eternal, fundamental, not non-obvious, do not go stale;)

The more people speak the language, the more it develops.