Does the Grail exist? - page 81
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Вот ещё все разговоры о "мат ожидании" наверно хотят выглядеть посолиднее на солидном форуме. Даже в казино 90% присутствующих бывают в плюсе - встань уйди никто не мешает выигрывать!
All casino games are martingale (hereafter mathematical). A martingale stopped anywhere, like "stand up and walk away no one is in the way", is still a martingale. You can't win on a martingale. This is known to anyone who has bothered to study at least the basics of terver and knows, among other things, what the mathematical expectation is.
As who I do not know, but I myself go to the casino to lose. To lose beautifully, tastefully, with good food and a good show.
....а значит мы можем работать с теми же машками не по цене, а по движению цены во времени.
Decipher what this means in relation to forex (without roulette).
Все казиношные игры - это мартингейл (здесь и далее математический). Мартингейл остановленный в любом месте, типа "встань уйди никто не мешает", всё равно остаётся мартингейлом. На мартинейле выиграть нельзя. Это известно любому, кто потрудился изучить хотя бы основы тервера и знает, в числе прочего, что такое мат. ожидание.
Как кто я не знаю, но сам я хожу в казино, чтобы проигрывать. Проигрывать красиво, со вкусом, с хорошой едой и хорошим шоу.
I don't know about Russia, but in Ukraine casinos are banned. where do you go? and if you do, it's on martingale on "terver"!!! you will beat the casino. and you won't, because there is a reflection on the maximum bet size, which cuts off "terver". You should know that. Not the other way around.
Мой пост внимательно читали?Read... No word on what is the criterion for position volume progression...The benchmark on the number of losing positions is not correct... You can make a loss of 10 pts in 10 trades and take a profit of 200 pts in 1 trade.... It's up to you...
Расшифруйте, что это значит применительно к форексу (без рулетки).
The price chart at the top, the price movement chart at the bottom. Obviously, statistical methods will work better with the bottom one.
P.S. Exchange = logistics.
не знаю как в России, а в Украине казино запрещены. куда вы ходите? и если вы ходите, то как раз на мартингале по "терверу"!!! вы обыграете казино. а не обыграете потому, что существует отраничение на размер максимальной ставки, которое отсекает "тервер". Вы должны бы об этом знать. А не наоборот.
Are there no other countries on the globe besides Russia and Ukraine? The number of exclamation points doesn't make your message any more convincing. You can't win on the martingale. Full stop. It's such a law of nature. Only the dumbest triplets would think otherwise. Even if the maximum bets aren't limited by the casino, you can't win. You can get lucky, like someone gets lucky at the lottery, because someone wins all the time. Winning systematically is impossible.
Расшифруйте, что это значит применительно к форексу (без рулетки).
The price movement is the difference between the current price and the price a period ago (Momentum Close[0]-Close[1]). Take any indicator and replace Close with Momentum.
The larger is the period, the better is correlation of Momentum with the price.
Прочитал... Ни слова, что является критерием для прогрессии объема позиции...Ориентир на количество убыточных позиций не правильный... Вы можете в 10 сделках получить убыток по 10 п и в 1 сделке взять профит в 200 п....В общем дело ваше...
The main criterion is a strict MM for optimisation, not related in any way to the main trade. It is only for detecting the plummets. If TS coped with its task, then there will be no problems with constant lot, and vice versa.In this case you are picking on the progressivity criterion.
Даже в казино 90% присутствующих бывают в плюсе - встань уйди никто не мешает выигрывать!
Are you serious? In a sense you are right - it is a good indicator of a professional and honest casino, of which there are few. But 90% just means that the previous, or rather parallel 93%, has gone into deficit! I think you won't argue that anyone has ever seen a losing casino?
_____________The main idea was about martingale in forex at low leverage, because here the limiter is the deposit (unlimited) and not the size of the maximum bet. And the dependence on the average duration of the series of losing and profitable trades of a particular trading system. Here you go! Your pros and cons, and most importantly why?
In roulette, by the way, more than 15 consecutive reds, almost never happens, and 16 - almost never happens, more than 17-18 - never heard! And how does your tore system trade - know what I mean?
____________
Example ("bet = loss", and the next bet is to cover loss + minimum win 5.) in a roulette event sequence:
1. 5=5
2.10=15
3.20=35
4.40=75
5.80=155
6.160=315
7.320=635
_________ and here the limit is 500!!! See the difference between forex and roulette????? The average interruption of sequences (red/black) is 7-10, in rare cases -12-14! And how your trading system trades, you know yourself.
8.500=1135
9.500=
=
=
Сверху график цены, снизу график движения цены. Очевидно, что статистические методы будут лучше работать с нижним.
P.S. Биржа = логистика.
got it - I agree!