Probability, how do you turn it into a pattern ...? - page 19
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If Masha, Misha and the whole of Yalta get tired of working on probabilistic approaches, let them apply, there are simpler methods...
1. At the end of "first cycle", where the independent trader simply locks in profits and asks Martin to do something with losing positions, hoping that the "law of universal averaging named 50/50" will make them at least break-even, taking into account the already won, our character places locks on profitable positions. The question is WHY? Because it is someone else's money and it is not good for one's own reputation to show losses. But look at Misha&Mash, it's beautiful!
2. vague statements on the topic of questions bordering on distraction from the subject, though indirectly, also confirms the habit of man to communicate with a potential investor to raise funds for his (and his friends') management.
and this is a different audience...
it's a pity we never got to listen to the head of the transport department... (this is about the second cycle)
"Martingale of the brain". I should advise my medical acquaintances, I don't think anyone has written a dissertation on the subject yet:)
What do you want to hear?
The market's memory of events that have occurred, which is the script for the creation of "traditions" has a place. Unlike Russian roulette (cube) cycles, where each successive cycle is reset to zero by rotation of the revolver drum (here the probability of an event occurring is constant)this is from a previous post ..........
What do I want to hear ? NO tricks - both a matter of understanding. What is the distribution of the roulette if you like? Or cube? :) And try again - already understanding that there is no catch in the question - what is the nature of the normal distribution?
Although probably already do not need to answer - it is quite clear that you're ahead of the terms, but the essence of understanding the simple things, you do not. I'm not in the mood for mockery, so I'm really not interested in further process. But my opinion is you're probably a crook, or .... but still alas.
Вы как-то надолго пропадаете. :(Что я хочу услышать ? НИКАКИХ подвохов - оба вопрос на понимание. Какое распределение у рулетки если хотите? Или у кубика? :) И попробуйте еще раз - уже понимая что нет никакого подвоха в вопросе - какова природа нормального распределения?
Хотя наверное уже и не надо отвечать - уже совершенно понятно что вы оперерируете термингами но сути понимая просых вещей у вас нет. Глумиться у меня манеры нет, так что дейстивительно дальнейший процесс мне уже не интересен. Но мое мнение - Вы скорее всего мошенник, или .... но все равно увы.
Four options for the scenario taken as a basis for the logic:
The condition is the same 10 pairs went in one direction ...
1) (+ 7) / (- 3) = (+) ...... - the result of the cycle is complete
2) (- 3) / (+ 7) = (-) composite combination arising in the period (speaking of composite numbers) to other variants with stable % pattern .... - action of the second cycle.
3) (- 7) / (+ 3) = (-) normal combination arising in the period (talk about composite numbers) to other variants with a stable % pattern .... - action of the second cycle.
4) (-5 ) / (+ 5) = (+/- 0) .... - result the cycle is complete.
Question, what is the nature of the distribution of the frequency of occurrence of the 4 results in a period relative to each other?
Answer: STRENGTH TO PERIODIC STABILIZATION
You must be a casino owner or a policeman, the standard attitude towards people is to see everyone as a crook. (Or try to discern one).
Once again I am convinced that stupidity, not reason, rules the world.
У меня лично сложилось четко выраженное мнение, что автор темы торгует чужими деньгами и вот почему:
The author is a seminar trader, as he himself admitted.
The theory of probability teaches that for every "happiness seller" there is a sucker with a probability of one, you just have to look hard to find one. So he does.
А в сентябре 2000 года евробакс был по цене 0,8250, Вы там не продавали? :)
Если Маша, Миша и вообще вся Ялта устанет работать по вероятностным подходам, пусть обращаются, есть методы и попроще...
If you really have something to say, start a new thread and say so.
People here only make fun of this misunderstanding as long as they have nothing else to do. Propose a constructive idea and people will reach out to you. This one will dry up on its own.
Four options for the scenario taken as a basis for the logic:
The condition is the same 10 pairs went in one direction ...
1) (+ 7) / (- 3) = (+) ...... - the result of the cycle is complete
2) (- 3) / (+ 7) = (-) composite combination arising in the period (talk about composite numbers) to other variants with stable % pattern .... - action of the second cycle.
3) (- 7) / (+ 3) = (-) normal combination arising in the period (talk about composite numbers) to other variants with a stable % pattern .... - action of the second cycle.
4) (-5 ) / (+ 5) = (+/- 0) .... - result the cycle is complete.
Question, what is the nature of the distribution of the frequency of occurrence of the 4 results in a period relative to each other?
Answer: STRENGTH TO PERIODIC STABILIZATION
You must be a casino owner or a policeman, the standard attitude towards people is to see everyone as a crook. (Or try to discern one).
Once again I am convinced that stupidity, not reason, rules the world.
Your report shows that your words "the previous 10 pairs went in the same direction..." do not agree with the reportЕсли реально есть что сказать, то открой новую ветку и скажи.
Народ тут стебается над этим недоразумением только до тех пор, пока нечем больше себя занять. Предложи конструктивную идею, и люди к тебе потянутся. А этот сам собой засохнет.
am I not a people person? :)
По вашему отчету видно что ваши слова "прежнее 10 пар зашли в одном направлении ..." не сходяться с отчетомFour scenario variations taken as a basis for logic - 10 pairs is an example!