An amazing filter. - page 2

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denis_orlov писал(а) >>

Of course it's possible.

Anyone here can write one in a couple of minutes!))

Let this indicator draw three lines: up, down and forward.

I think 99% of the time the price will go in one of the three directions...

Why reinvent the wheel? It already exists.

 
Techno >>:
более того, движение цены определяют миллионы факторов, миллиарды людей, события, как может пара строчек кода указывать куда должно все это идти, абсурд.

Who said a couple of lines of code? It could be a couple of thousand lines...

 
StatBars писал(а) >>

Who said a couple of lines of code? Maybe it's a couple thousand lines...

even if it's a million, what's the point? The quantity is not defined by the quality.

 

The whole issue will always be that the market is dynamic and always changes its behaviour - this means that no matter how you try to adjust the indicator to the market (adjust its period) in some time this market will change its frequency again - the dynamics is the stability of the income... I don't think that the market will change its frequency again, it's the stability of profits. So, regarding the market dynamics, we can say that at a given moment in time, only one indicator period accurately reflects the market behavior, at another moment in time, the correct display of the market is completely different indicator period, so even using the complex summing up method, we can never see what in fact and how the future price behavior will be, in theory and in practice we managed to implement the oscillator that allows you to see the pattern of real price behavior all its breaks and price reversal points, movement wave

 

удалось реализовать тот осцилятор который и позволяет увидеть картину реального поведения цены все его изломы и точки разворота цены, волну движения рынка..

Is that what it is?
 

of course...

 
Does it only give you the chance to see it on history? Since the components appear to be oscillator-indicator.
 

So, let's assume that we already have an indicator that knows how the price is going to go. It knows with a probability of 70-90%!

Let it be an analogue of the MA that goes ahead of the price for several tens of bars, for example on Н4, and the price looks at this indicator and follows it even if it does not want to!

It is capricious, sometimes it deviates from the line of the indicator, but it still follows it! ("it squeaks, but it goes...", c)

I have been trading using this "indicator" for 2-3 three weeks now and the results are very good!

We already have such an indicator.

Now we need to transfer it from the seasonal chart to MQL and correspondingly place it in a separate window.

Here is the chart of 5, 15 and 30-year trends of the Swiss franc


The blue chart represents a 15-year seasonal pattern (1994-2008).
The red diagram represents the 5-year seasonal pattern (2004-2008).

However, the example is not very good, because currencies strongly deviate from seasonal trends.

 

Oil, on the other hand - often repeats the seasonal movements in great detail! See ref.

https://www.mql5.com/ru/forum/122468/page117

And we need to think how to smooth these lines and shape them into an index.

The black line is the current price.

Blue line - 15-year seasonal price

Red line - 5-year seasonal price



 

The topic is very interesting. I apologise, but is the phrase:

Итак, предположим, что у нас уже есть индикатор, который знает, как пойдет цена. Знает с вероятностью 70-90 проц!

isn't the key phrase? Seasonal trends have a habit of breaking at the wrong time, just when you're about to trade. Any other variations of what follows the price and not the other way around (think of the story of the dog and tail in terms of who waves what) ?
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