EURUSD - Trends, Forecasts and Implications (Part 1) - page 857

 

Strange, I'm looking at it here at 22-00 Moscow and still no word.

http://www.fxteam.ru/forex/economic-calendar/

And over here.

http://www.forexfactory.com/calendar.php

If you change the time zone to Moscow, it's 22-00.

 
Anyone interested in running the site? Website about forex + forum. It is necessary to add content, create themes on the forum, etc. In general, give full control. http://www.forex-bazar.net
 

Happy New Year to everyone!

That's the way it is...

To sell well, we need to break through 1.4450

By the way:

https://c.mql4.com/forum/2009/12/H1_1_small.jpg

The yellow option actually paid off.

p.s. who is following GBPUSD: a reversal is being prepared, possible breakthrough to 1.6380, then a fall (target) = 1.6050 (first stop).

 

Somehow Europe is beating the Americans by all odds. It's not even interesting. So they can go with a bobblehead, but they will take something and go there. They could at least ask something from the Americans in the political arena, they should ask the Koreans something strictly or they provoke Chavez lately, Chavez can see Americans under every bush.

The pound and the audi have already crawled to the top.

 
Noterday >>:

p.s. кто следит за GBPUSD: готовится разворот, возможен рывок к 1.6380,потом падение (цель) = 1.6050 (первая остановка).

Imho so well traded on the shelf, it shows the strength of the trend. There are doubts that the pound will go to the bottom of the channel at 1.6, the Brits were showing a good economy even before the New Year events. They did not have a strong easing, they should have a more stable recovery if they can manage it. This is me being an amateur of course, imho.

 

I'm a total zero at foundations. So I can't say anything. Although I try to think and analyse things from time to time. But I am still a technician by nature.


 
Noterday >>:

Я в фундаменте круглый ноль. Так что ничего сказать не могу. Хотя пытаюсь иногда что-то думать, анализировать. Но по натуре всё же техник.


Maybe that's the right thing to do. They are often deceived with all these indicators. If we lived in the financial capitals we would still be getting something, but through the news feeds and websites they are peddling bullshit for the nitwits.
 
Fibo comment Published 14:45 14.01.2010 The main events of the afternoon today are a few: ECB meeting and US unemployment and retail sales data. The European regulator meeting itself is of little interest as there is no doubt that the EUR discount rate will remain at 1%. Much more important is Trichet's speech, whose press conference will start at 16:30 Moscow time. Of interest is his view of the overall economic situation, his forecast of the likely rate of economic growth and the inflation outlook. It will be possible to draw conclusions regarding the future outlook for the European currency which might cause significant fluctuations in pairs with the Euro. Weekly Unemployment Rate Likely Market Reactions: A drop in the unemployment data is more likely. The basis for this is continued claims from buyers and not because things are changing for the better. More and more people are saving money on purchases. On the positive side, this would point to positive employment. Then we could see US equities and the dollar rise. The top 400K is likely to have the opposite reaction. There are two figures that traders will really focus on in this report. The first: the number of unemployment claims in the previous week. The second is the total number of unemployed on a permanent basis. It is important to note that this data can be misleading in this economic environment. From a macroeconomic point of view, keep in mind that many states only support the unemployed for 26 weeks, after which the individuals are transferred to another category, neither of which will be counted in further figures for the number of unemployed. Consequently, more and more people will not be counted in these figures, although they still receive some kind of subsidy. That said, as was proved last week, the continuing fall could support the market. Retail sales Likely market reaction: Analysts again expect growth. This is good for the USA, but it will also be very positive from an economic perspective for countries exporting to the USA (Europe, Japan, China etc.). Not everything is clear-cut. What will the US dollar be after this release: either a safe-haven asset, a low-yielding funding currency or a currency with a prospect of a higher discount rate? One thing is certain: high volatility with a possibly missing vector. In such cases one buys the yen and it is likely that it will appreciate. FIBO Group analyst Mikael Nersesov
 
15:30USD
Core Retail Sales m/m
-0.2%0.3%
1.2%
15:30USD
Retail Sales m/m
-0.3%0.4%
1.3%
15:30USD
Unemployment Claims
444K438K
434K
 

14 January /Dow Jones/. The US dollar will face downward pressure in the coming weeks following the release of a series of worse-than-expected US data, including disappointing retail sales figures and weekly jobless claims, says Omer Esiner, senior markets analyst at Travelex Global Business Payments. Weak data will reinforce concerns over last week's weak jobs data, he says. "They will further cloud the outlook for the recovery and reduce the optimism that helped the dollar in December," Esiner says. At the time of writing, the euro/dollar pair was trading almost unchanged at 1.4510 versus 1.4507 on Wednesday evening.