What 4 factors do you think the price depends on? - page 10
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Again it turns out to be inaccurate. I have a model that predicts future bar values (O, H, L, C) and sometimes it is very accurate, up to 1 point on a forward position. But at other times it may be not even close and it is not very useful because I do not know if the forecast will be accurate or not.
Do you have a model that predicts OHLC by foundation????
No, technically
I have a technique too - put the parameters of the previous candle into a linear regression or NS and it will show you the same result as your model on the current one.
Sometimes accurately, sometimes not.
In general, it's a mess.
I have a technique too - put the parameters of the previous candle into a linear regression or NS and it will show you the same result as your model on the current one.
Sometimes accurately, sometimes not.
But in general - gamma...
So there's no way. ??
)))) It's called"The Cunning Husband andthe NaughtyWife".
Dear forum participants, in my opinion, the 1st indicator on the branch theme was born, which I called "H-L Indicator", "BAU -SELL Indicator" or "Bulls-Bears Indicator". , "BAU -SELL Indicator" or "Bulls-Bears Indicator":
As we can see, the indicator correctly predicted the course of the price, namely, at the stage of falling line l (low) was above the line h (chig), and at the false price upward move, the low has not given up its positions, but strengthened even more, which indicates a strong decline soon, which was fully confirmed, as I will show a little later. Yay, comrades (so far)! We caught the market red-handed!
At this point the multifactor equation looks like:
Y = a0 +oO + hH + lL + vV = 0.015046082678216 - 0.536520034487311*O + 0.555566903955655*H + 0.967765225111441*L + 5.29580977863877E-07*V =
= 0,015046082678216 - 0,536520034487311*1.13 + 0,555566903955655*1.1309 + 0,967765225111441*1.1291 + 5,29580977863877E-07*379 = 1.12999
After 10 hours (events occur on the hourly timeframe) the Bulls (h) are losing their positions, the Bears (l) are on the contrary gaining strength and the price falsely shows supposedly increasing, while in fact it is preparing a strong fall:
Here is the market proceeding to execute its sinister plan to collapse in price, of which we have long been warned:
Remarkably, the coefficients at O (open), V (volume) and a0 show exceptional stability, hence no effect on price values C (klos). This striking and unexpected fact is waiting to be explained:
In the calculations were used following actual data from TF H1 in the period from 19.00 19. 04. to 22-00 22. 04. 16г.:
Dear forum members, please name 4 factors on which you think the price level depends. The factors should be such that they can be quantified symbiotic to the price, i.e., each price value should correspond to the value of each factor. For example, if we take the dollar index as one of the factors, then we can find the value of the dollar index corresponding to each value of the EUR/USD price. And thus we need to propose 4 such factors. I will try to describe it as
EUR/USD=a0 + a1F1 + a2F2 + a3F3 + a4F4 where F1, F2, F3, F4 are factors. We will determine the factors a0, a1, a2, a3, a4.
I tried from OHLC - to no avail. From the previous 4 price values - to no avail, or rather there is a large lag. Suggest your own variants.
For $50,000 I can hint at what depends )))
I'll knock down your price - I'm willing to give you a hint for 49000.
Dear forum participants, in my opinion, the 1st indicator on the branch theme was born, which I called "H-L Indicator", "BAU -SELL Indicator" or "Bulls-Bears Indicator". , "BAU -SELL Indicator" or "Bulls-Bears Indicator":
As we can see, the indicator correctly predicted the course of the price, namely, at the stage of falling line l (low) was above the line h (chig), and at the false price upward move, the low has not given up its positions, but strengthened even more, which indicates a strong decline soon, which was fully confirmed, as I will show a little later. Yay, comrades (so far)! We caught the market red-handed!
At this point the multi-factor equation looks like:
Y = a0 +oO + hH + lL + vV = 0.015046082678216 - 0.536520034487311*O + 0.555566903955655*H + 0.967765225111441*L + 5.29580977863877E-07*V =
= 0,015046082678216 - 0,536520034487311*1.13 + 0,555566903955655*1.1309 + 0,967765225111441*1.1291 + 5,29580977863877E-07*379 = 1.12999
After 10 hours (events occur on the hourly timeframe) the Bulls (h) are losing their positions, the Bears (l) are on the contrary gaining strength and the price is falsely showing supposedly increasing, while in fact it is preparing a strong fall:
Here the market proceeds to execute its ominous plan to collapse in price, of which we have long been warned:
Remarkably, the coefficients at O (open), V (volume) and a0 show exceptional stability, hence no effect on price values C (klos). This striking and unexpected fact is waiting to be explained:
In the calculations were used following actual data from TF H1 in the period from 19.00 19. 04. to 22-00 22. 04. 16г.:
I'll knock down your price - I'm willing to give you a hint for 49,000.
I'll tell you for free :)
No one can predict the price, unless of course you are a prophet.
Because it is a completely random process and does not depend on anything.