Forecast and levels for EURO - page 46

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.09.14 14:29

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: ECB Interest Rates, Monetary Policy Statement and range price movement 

2023-09-14 12:45 GMT | [EUR - Main Refinancing Rate]

  • past data is 4.25%
  • forecast data is 4.25%
  • actual data is  4.50%  according to the latest press release 
if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for EUR in our case)

[EUR - Main Refinancing Rate] = Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system.

==========

From official report :

"The Governing Council decided to raise the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points. Accordingly, the interest rate on the main refinancing operations and the interest rates on the marginal lending facility and the deposit facility will be increased to 4.50%, 4.75% and 4.00% respectively, with effect from 20 September 2023."

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EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

EUR/USD: range price movement by ECB  Interest Rates news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase: 

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

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Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.10.12 14:55

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, Dollar Index (DXY) and AUD/USD : United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2023-10-12 12:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

  • past data is 0.6%
  • forecast data is 0.2%
  • actual data is 0.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From rttnews article :

"A report released by the Labor Department on Thursday showed consumer prices in the U.S. rose more than expected in the month of September. The Labor Department said its consumer price index climbed by 0.4 percent in September after increasing by 0.6 percent in August."

==========

EUR/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

EUR/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

AUD/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

AUD/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (Brainwashing original system; free to download) together with following indicator:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.11.03 14:34

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/JPY and Dax Index: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2023-11-03 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The closely watched report said employment climbed by 150,000 jobs in October after jumping by a downwardly revised 297,000 jobs in September".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/JPY: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


USD/JPY: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Dax Index: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


Dax Index: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with the following indicator from CodeBase:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.12.08 15:34

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and GOLD (XAU/USD): United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2023-12-08 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 150K
  • forecast data is 184K
  • actual data is 199K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Employment in the U.S. increased by more than expected in the month of November, according to a highly anticipated report released by the Labor Department on Friday. The report said non-farm payroll employment jumped by 199,000 jobs in November after rising by 150,000 jobs in October."

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

XAU/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events


XAU/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with the following indicator from CodeBase:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.02.02 15:30

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/CNH : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2024-02-02 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

  • past data is 333K
  • forecast data is 186K
  • actual data is 353K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 353,000 in January, and the unemployment rate remained at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, retail trade, and social assistance. Employment declined in the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction
industry.

==========

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.03.21 07:16

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and CAC 40Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2023-03-20 18:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

  • past data is  5.50%
  • forecast data is 5.50%
  • actual data is 5.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The Federal Reserve announced its widely expected decision to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, although the central bank's forecasts suggests rate cuts are still likely later this year".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

USD/CNH: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

CAC 40: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

CAC 40: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with the following indicators from CodeBase:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.04.10 15:46

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CAD and Dax Index: United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2024-04-10 12:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

  • past data is 0.4%
  • forecast data is 0.2%
  • actual data is 0.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Largely reflecting continued growth in prices for shelter and gasoline, the Labor Department released a report on Wednesday showing U.S. consumer prices advanced by slightly more than expected in the month of March".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

USD/CAD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

USD/CAD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Dax Index: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

Dax Index: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.05.01 21:31

EUR/USD Intra-Day Fundamentals: Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2024-05-01 18:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

  • past data is  5.50%
  • forecast data is 5.50%
  • actual data is 5.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The Fed said it decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5.25 to 5.50 percent in supports of its dual goals of maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with the following indicators from CodeBase:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.06.03 17:32

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GBP/USD and GOLD (XAU/USD): ISM United States Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

2024-06-03 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI]

  • past data is 49.2
  • forecast data is 49.2
  • actual data is 48.7 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI] = Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Manufacturing activity in the U.S. unexpectedly contracted at a slightly faster rate in the month of May, according to a report released by the Institute for Supply Management on Monday.

The ISM said its manufacturing PMI edged down to 48.7 in May from 49.2 in April, with a reading below 50 indicating contraction".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

EUR/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

==========

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

============

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.07.11 17:04

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GBP/USD and GOLD (XAU/USD) : United States  Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2024-07-11 12:30 GMT | [USD - CPI]

  • past data is -0.1%
  • forecast data is 0.1%
  • actual data is 0.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Consumer prices in the U.S. unexpectedly edged slightly lower in the month of June, according to a highly anticipated report released by the Labor Department on Thursday. The Labor Department said its consumer price index slipped by 0.1 percent in June after coming in unchanged in May."

==========

EUR/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

EUR/USD : range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

GBP/USD: range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event 

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by United States  Consumer Price Index news event

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (Brainwashing original system; free to download) together with following indicator:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread