Forecast and levels for USD/CNH - page 19

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.06.29 15:35

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CNH, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Dax Index: Unites States Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2023-06-29 12:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

• past data is 1.3%
• forecast data is 1.3%
• actual data is  2.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From rttnews article :

The U.S. economy grew by much more than previously estimated in the first quarter of 2023, according to revised data released by the Commerce Department on Thursday. The Commerce Department said gross domestic product jumped by 2.0 percent in the first quarter compared to the previously estimated 1.3 percent increase.

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USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

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Dax Index: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.08.04 17:15

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CNH, GOLD (XAU/USD) and Hang Seng Index (HKI50) : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2023-08-04 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 185K
• forecast data is 205K
• actual data is 187K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The report said non-farm payroll employment climbed by 187,000 jobs in July after rising by a downwardly revised by 185,000 jobs in June."

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USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Hang Seng Index (HKI50) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Vortex - indicator for MetaTrader 5

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread 

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.09.01 16:17

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dax Index, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/CNH: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2023-09-01 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 157K
• forecast data is 12K
• actual data is 187K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

• "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 187,000 in August, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.8 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment continued to trend up in health care, leisure and hospitality, social assistance, and construction. Employment in transportation and warehousing declined."

==========

Dax Index: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Laguerre - indicator for MetaTrader 5 (as a part of Laguerre scalping system)

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.09.20 20:20

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CNH, GOLD (XAU/USD) and S&P 500 : Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2023-09-20 18:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

• past data is  5.50%
• forecast data is 5.50%
• actual data is 5.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

==========

From official report :

"The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent. The Committee will continue to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy."

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USD/CNH: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

XAU/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

S&P 500 : range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with the following indicators from CodeBase:

• Half Trend New Alert - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5 
• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5 

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.10.26 15:10

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/CNH: Unites States Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2023-10-26 12:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

• past data is 2.1%
• forecast data is 2.1%
• actual data is  4.9% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From rttnews article :

A report released by the Commerce Department on Thursday showed U.S. gross domestic product soared by more than expected in the third quarter of 2023. The Commerce Department said GDP spiked by 4.9 percent in the third quarter after jumping by 2.1 percent in the second quarter.

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD): range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.12.08 15:34

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and GOLD (XAU/USD): United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2023-12-08 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 150K
• forecast data is 184K
• actual data is 199K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From rttnews article :

"Employment in the U.S. increased by more than expected in the month of November, according to a highly anticipated report released by the Labor Department on Friday. The report said non-farm payroll employment jumped by 199,000 jobs in November after rising by 150,000 jobs in October."

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

XAU/USD: range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with the following indicator from CodeBase:

• Half Trend New Alert - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.02.02 15:30

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, GOLD (XAU/USD) and USD/CNH : United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2024-02-02 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 333K
• forecast data is 186K
• actual data is 353K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 353,000 in January, and the unemployment rate remained at 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, retail trade, and social assistance. Employment declined in the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction
industry.

==========

EUR/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

GOLD (XAU/USD) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

==========

USD/CNH : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

============

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

• BrainTrend2Sig indicator from Codebase (free to download)
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:

• BrainTrending indicators to download with template.
• Rules to trade manually
• How to install

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.03.21 07:16

Intra-Day Fundamentals - EUR/USD, USD/CNH and CAC 40: Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2023-03-20 18:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

• past data is  5.50%
• forecast data is 5.50%
• actual data is 5.50% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The Federal Reserve announced its widely expected decision to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, although the central bank's forecasts suggests rate cuts are still likely later this year".

==========

EUR/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

CAC 40: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with the following indicators from CodeBase:

• Half Trend New Alert - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5 
• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5 

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.04.15 15:32

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, USD/CNH and Brent Crude Oil: United States Retail Sales

2024-04-15 12:30 GMT | [USD - Retail Sales]

• past data is 0.9%
• forecast data is 0.4%
• actual data is 0.7% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Retail Sales] = Change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

==========

From rttnews article :

"The Commerce Department released a report on Monday showing U.S. retail sales increased by much more than expected in the month of March".

==========

Dollar Index: range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

==========

Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by United States Advance Retail Sales news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

• BrainTrend2Sig indicator from Codebase (free to download)
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• custom color schemes for MT5 - post #525
  

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:

• BrainTrending indicators to download with template.
• Rules to trade manually
  
• How to install

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2024.05.30 15:30

Intra-Day Fundamentals - NZD/USD, Dollar Index and USD/CNH: Unites States Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

2024-05-30 12:30 GMT | [USD - GDP]

• past data is 1.6%
• forecast data is 1.6%
• actual data is 1.3% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - GDP] = Level of a composite index based on surveyed households.

==========

From rttnews article :

Revised data released by the Commerce Department on Thursday showed U.S. economic growth slowed by more than previously estimated in the first quarter of 2024.

==========

NZD/USD: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events

==========

Dollar Index: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

==========

USD/CNH: range price movement by China Gross Domestic Product news events 

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5