Forecast and levels for Oil - page 23

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.06.16 07:46

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, Brent Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Average Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2022-06-15 18:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

  • past data is 1.00%
  • forecast data is 1.50%
  • actual data is 1.75% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

==========

From rttnews article :

"In an effort to combat elevated inflation, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced the biggest increase in interest rates in almost thirty years. The Fed revealed that it has decided to raise the target rate for the federal funds rate by 75 basis points to 1.50 to 1.75 percent, marking the biggest rate hike since 1994".

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AUD/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

AUD/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.07.13 17:13

U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news event: daily bounced from 98 support level to 101 resistance leel to re-enter

2022-07-13 14:30 GMT | [USD - Crude Oil Inventories]

  • past data is 8.2M
  • forecast data is -1.5M
  • actual data is 3.3M according to the latest press release

[USD - Crude Oil Inventories] = Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week.

==========

"U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 3.3M million barrels from the previous week."

==========

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events 

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.07.20 19:04

U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news event: breaking resistance level at 107 to above for the daily bullish trend to be continuing

2022-07-20 14:30 GMT | [USD - Crude Oil Inventories]

  • past data is 3.3M
  • forecast data is 2.1M
  • actual data is -0.4M according to the latest press release

[USD - Crude Oil Inventories] = Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week.

==========

"U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 0.4 million barrels from the previous week."

==========

Crude Oil: range price movement by U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events 

Crude Oil: range price movement by U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

Crude Oil: range price movement by U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

==========

The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.07.27 19:19

U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news event: daily bear market rally to resistance level at 107 for the possible daily bullish reversal

2022-07-27 14:30 GMT | [USD - Crude Oil Inventories]

  • past data is -0.4M
  • forecast data is -1.5M
  • actual data is -4.5M according to the latest press release

[USD - Crude Oil Inventories] = Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week.

==========

"U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 4.5M million barrels from the previous week."

==========

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events 

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.08.11 07:29

U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news event: intra-day bullish breakout; daily ranging near and below 200 SMA; 98 and 92 are the key levels

2022-08-10 14:30 GMT | [USD - Crude Oil Inventories]

  • past data is 4.5M
  • forecast data is 0.1M
  • actual data is 5.5M according to the latest press release

[USD - Crude Oil Inventories] = Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week.

==========

"U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 5.5M million barrels from the previous week."

==========

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events 

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.06 18:05

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CAD, Brent Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Average: ISM United States Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

2022-09-06 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Services PMI]

  • past data is 56.7
  • forecast data is 55.4
  • actual data is 56.9 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ISM Services PMI]  =  Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.

==========

From official report :

"In August, the Services PMI® registered 56.9 percent, 0.2 percentage point higher than July’s reading of 56.7 percent. The Business Activity Index registered 60.9 percent, an increase of 1 percentage point compared to the reading of 59.9 percent in July. The New Orders Index figure of 61.8 percent is 1.9 percentage points higher than the July reading of 59.9 percent."

==========

USD/CAD : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

USD/CAD : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

==========

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

==========

Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

Same system for MT4:

  1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
  2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
  3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
  4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread



 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.08 18:36

U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news event: daily price was bounced from 87 support level to above for the possible rally to be started

2022-09-08 15:00 GMT | [USD - Crude Oil Inventories]

  • past data is -3.3M
  • forecast data is  -2.0M
  • actual data is 8.8M according to the latest press release

[USD - Crude Oil Inventories] = Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week.

==========

"U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) increased by 8.8 million barrels from the previous week."

==========

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events 

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

==========

Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

  1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
  2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
  3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
  4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
  5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
  6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

  1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
  2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
  3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included)
  4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.10.12 19:07

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, Dollar Index (DXY) and Brent Crude Oil United States Producer Price Index

2022-10-12 12:30 GMT | [USD - PPI]

  • past data is -0.1%
  • forecast data is 0.2%
  • actual data is 0.4% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - PPI] = Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers.

==========

From official report :

"The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.4 percent in September, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Final demand prices declined 0.2 percent in August and 0.4 percent in July. (See table A.) On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand advanced 8.5 percent for the 12 months ended in September."

==========

GBP/USD : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

GBP/USD : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

==========

Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events


Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

============

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Producer Price Index news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.11.02 17:55

U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news event: intra-day breakout; 97 resistance is the key for the possible daily bullish reversal to be started

2022-11-02 14:30 GMT | [USD - Crude Oil Inventories]

  • past data is 2.6M
  • forecast data is 0.1M
  • actual data is -3.1M according to the latest press release

[USD - Crude Oil Inventories] = Change in the number of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week.

==========

"U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 3.1 million barrels from the previous week."

==========

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events 

Crude Oil: range price movement by  U.S. Commercial Crude Oil Inventories news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Kalman Asctrend trading trading system (MT5) with following indicators:


 

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.11.15 15:09

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, USD/CNH and Brent Crude OilUnited States Core Producer Price Index (PPI)

2022-10-12 12:30 GMT | [USD - Core PPI]

  • past data is 0.2%
  • forecast data is 0.0%
  • actual data is 0.0% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core PPI] = Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy.

==========

From official report :

"The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.2 percent in October, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today".

==========

AUD/USD : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

AUD/USD : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

==========

USD/CNH : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events


USD/CNH : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

============

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by United States Core Producer Price Index news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: