USD/JPY Analysis - page 3

 
Bearish on the US dollar.
 
Two heavily manipulated currencies. Which one is manipulated the most?
 

Well, the asset moves as I’ve predicted. I think that I can earn even more on usdjpy! Definitely, the show must go on =) 

 

 

 
I think that the continuation of the bearish trend will be confirmed if or when the pair breaks below the previous low at 98.88.
 
Bullish on the pair.
 
The risk remains on the upside,  but on the downside critical support level can be seen around 101.00 level.
 

Weekly US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 26/08/16

 

A white body has formed as prices closed higher than open.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 4 white candles versus 6 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 24 white candles versus 26 black candles with a net of 2 black candles.

MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

 The MACD crossed above the signal line 0 week(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has been unchanged, and has been fluctuating from a high of 101.938 to a low of 99.941.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

The Stochastic Oscillator is currently below 20. This is an indication of the security being in an "oversold" condition. No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Buy 14 Week(s) Ago.

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy  6 week(s) ago.

 

Currently the RSI does not show any Failure Swings. The RSI and price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen are not diverging.

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

 

 The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a SELL 52 week(s) ago.

There were no SAR signals generated today. The last SAR signal was a Sell 10 week(s) ago.

The close is currently

BELOW its 200 weekly moving average

BELOW its 50 weekly moving average

BELOW its 20 weekly moving average

 The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Very Bearish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed above the lower Bollinger Band by 25.6%.  Bollinger Bands are 34.56% wider than normal.  The current width of the Bollinger Bands (alone) does not suggest anything conclusive about the future volatility or movement of prices.

 

Daily US Dollar / Japanese Yen-USDJPY As of 26/08/16

*** Intra-Daily Trading Strategy: BUY US Dollar / Japanese Yen

Buy Target: 102.4473

Enter New BUY on OPEN and exit BUY positions at Target price or at Stop price.

(NOTE: Adjust Stop Loss Price according to your trading risk.)

Do not reverse after exiting. This is a recommendation for INTRA-DAY TRADING only!!!!!

* Chaos Trading System

BUY signal generated today. ENTER BUY and exit sell at market price on the next Daily open.

A big bullish white candle has formed. Prices closed considerably higher than open. If the candle appears when prices are "low," it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off a support area, a moving average, trend line, or retracement level, the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Likewise, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.

The previous 10 candlestick bars, there are 5 white candles versus 5 black candles.

The previous 50 candlestick bars, there are 25 white candles versus 25 black candles.

A engulfing bullish line has formed where a white candle's real body completely contains the previous black candle's real body. The engulfing bullish pattern is bullish during a downtrend. It then signifies that the momentum may be shifting from the bears to the bulls.

If the engulfing bullish pattern occurs during an uptrend (which is the case with US Dollar / Japanese Yen), it may be a last engulfing top which indicates a top. The test to see if this is the case is if the next candle closes below the top of the current (white) candle's real body.MACD is BULLISH as the MACD is above the signal line.

 The MACD crossed above the signal line 1 day(s) ago.  Since the MACD crossed the MACD moving average, US Dollar / Japanese Yen's price has increased 1.21%, and has been fluctuating from a high of 101.938 to a low of 100.092.

The MACD is currently not in an Overbought/Oversold range.

There have been no divergence signals during the last 5 periods.

 No Stochastic Buy or Sell signals generated today. The last signal was a Sell 24 Day(s) Ago.

The RSI is not currently in a topping (above 70) or bottoming (below 30) range. A buy or sell signal generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a Buy 34 day(s) ago.

 The RSI has just reached its highest value in the last 14 day(s). This is BULLISH signal.

The RSI has set a new 14-period high while the price of US Dollar / Japanese Yen has not. This is a BULLISH DIVERGENCE.

Currently, the Momentum Oscillator does not show an overbought or oversold condition.

 

 The Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) currently is not indicating a specific price direction. Because this is a trend following system, it should not use to initiate any trades right now. The last Directional Movement Indicators (DMI) signal was a BUY 31 day(s) ago.

A SAR Buy signal generated today. If you are short, this might be a good place to exit.

The close is currently

BELOW its 200 daily moving average

BELOW its 50 daily moving average

ABOVE its 20 daily moving average

 The current market condition for US Dollar / Japanese Yen is Bearish

US Dollar / Japanese Yen closed below the upper Bollinger Band by 26.4%.  Bollinger Bands are 46.07% narrower than normal.  The narrow width of the Bollinger Bands suggests low volatility as compared to US Dollar / Japanese Yen's normal range.  Therefore, the probability of volatility increasing with a sharp price move has increased for the near-term.  The Bollinger Bands have been in this narrow range for 1 day(s).  The probability of a significant price move increases the longer the Bollinger Bands remain in this narrow range.

 

 

I can see an excellent entrance to the usdjpy market after passing the 99.80 level. The price will go down.

 

 
A little pulled back after the pair hit fresh daily high at 103.06, but the pair remains bullish above immediate support level at 101.95 level.