Comments and forex-analytics from FBS Brokerage Company - page 54

 
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Credit Agricole, Westpac: pessimistic view on Aussie

The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last meeting released today made the odds of its interest rate hike lower. Analysts at Credit Agricole note that the RBA didn’t mention the necessity to tighten monetary policy at some stage and believe that Aussie will remain under negative pressure.

Strategists at Barclays Capital expect that the central bank will stay on hold in the near future, though they think that the nation’s monetary authorities are inclining more towards lifting up the borrowing costs than to reducing them. The RBA is keeping its benchmark interest rate at 4.75% since November.

Strategists at Westpac note that the pair AUD/USD, which has been staying between 1.0400 and 1.0800 since May, may breach the lower border of this range in the next few weeks. In their view, Australian dollar can slide to 1.0200 and then maybe even to the parity level with its American counterpart. As the reason for Aussie’s weakening the specialists cite the debt problems in the euro area and the United States.

It’s also necessary to note that Goldman Sachs that recommended buying AUD/JPY at the end of June revokes this advice.

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Societe Generale: EUR/JPY may fall to 106.95

Technical analysts at Societe Generale believe that the single currency is on its way down to last week's minimums versus Japanese yen in the 109.60 area and then to the downtrend channel support at 109.20.

If the pair EUR/JPY breaks even lower, it will slump to the longer-term rising support line at 106.95.

According to the bank, on the upside resistance levels are situated at 111.35 and 112.35.

 
 
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