BrainSystem: Trading System Development and Trades - page 39

 

Thanks for your posts. Hopefully I'll get some time to have go at testing BrainSystem using the similator soon. Will keep you posted about results.

Vince

 

We closed all the orders before news yesterday https://www.mql5.com/en/forum/172939/page26

Signals today.

USDCAD.

Sell at 1.1785 at 07 am (GMT+1).

Stop loss #1: 1.1813.

Stop loss #2: 1.1805.

Current price: 1.1792.

This signal is false and was not confirmed by M15 timeframe.

AUDUSD.

Sell at 0.7710 at 09 am (GMT+1) - 20 minutes ago.

Stop loss #1: 0.7727.

Stop loss #2: 0.7734.

Current price: 0.7702.

This signal was confirmed by M15 timeframe.

No any other signals for now.

Just AUDUSD only.

Files:
bt_usdcad2.gif  29 kb
 
newdigital:
We closed all the orders before news yesterday https://www.mql5.com/en/forum/172939/page26

Signals today.

USDCAD.

Sell at 1.1785 at 07 am (GMT+1).

Stop loss #1: 1.1813.

Stop loss #2: 1.1805.

Current price: 1.1792.

This signal is false and was not confirmed by M15 timeframe.

AUDUSD.

Sell at 0.7710 at 09 am (GMT+1) - 20 minutes ago.

Stop loss #1: 0.7727.

Stop loss #2: 0.7734.

Current price: 0.7702.

This signal was confirmed by M15 timeframe.

No any other signals for now.

Just AUDUSD only.

AUDUSD is in small profit already (+6 pips).

Some people may ask me: "why this system is not carching the good trend sometimes? for GBPUSD now for example?"

Answer is simple: it is the system which understand the trend at it own way as risky or not risky. Because we are getting the signals according to the system's understanding and systems' understanding is not our own understanding. To trade this system according to our understanding as well so it is necessary to trade manually this system to know all positive and negative points and after that only our "trader's brain may be "included into the trading sygnals".

 
newdigital:
And now we will have the following:

USD.

30th of January, at 15:00 am (GMT).

Consumer Confidence - Jan

Previous value: 109.0

Expectation (before now): 110.5

Value for now: will be now (more higher value is more good for national currency).

Where to see?

https://www.conference-board.org/economics/consumerConfidence.cfm

Why EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCHF did some movement today in the morning and our system missed those signals?

And some pairs started to move at 8 and some of hem - at 9 am (GMT+1)?

Why?

Because it was news movement.

EUR.

31st of January, at 07:00 am (GMT).

- Germany: Retail Sales (MoM) - Dec:

previous value: -0.3%

forecasting for now: ---

Now real one: 2.4%

More highier value is more good for national curency.

http://www.destatis.de/presse/englisch/aktu_pm.htm

- Germany: Retail Sales (YoY) - Dec

previous value: -0.5%

forecasting for now: 1.4%

Now real one: -0.2%

More highier value is more good for national curency.

http://www.destatis.de/presse/englisch/aktu_pm.htm

- Germany ILO Unemployment Rate - Dec

previous value: 7.7%

forecasting for now: 7.7%

Now real one: 7.6%

- France: Consumer Confidence - Jan (at 07:45)

previous value: -26

forecasting for now: -25

Now real one: -24

- France: ILO Unemployment Rate - Dec (at 07:45)

previous value: 8.7%

forecasting for now: 8.7%

Now real one: -24

- France: Producer Price Index (MoM) - Dec (at 07:50)

previous value: 0.0%

forecasting for now: 0.1%

Now real one: -0.1%

- France: PPI (YoY) - Dec (at 07:50)

previous value: 2.4%

forecasting for now: 2.8%

Now real one: 2.7%

- Germany: Unemployment Rate s.a. - Jan (at 08:55)

previous value: 9.8%

forecasting for now: 9.7%

Now real one: 9.5%

- Germany: Unemployment Change s.a. - Jan (at 08:55)

previous value: -130K

forecasting for now: -40K

Now real one: -106K

- Italy: Producer Price Index (MoM) - Dec (at 09:00)

previous value: 0.1%

forecasting for now: 0.1%

Now real one: 0.2%

- Italy: PPI (YoY) - Dec (at 09:00)

previous value: 5.3%

forecasting for now: 5.1%

Now real one: 5.2%

And a lot of EUR economic indicators were at 10 am (GMT):

Eurozone: Economic Sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Retail Sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Industry sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Consumer sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Services Confidence - Jan

Eurozone: Construction Sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: CPI Flash Estimate - Jan

Eurozone: Business Climate - Jan

Eurozone: Unemployment Rate - Dec

http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm

http://epp.eurostat.cec.eu.int/portal/page?_pageid=1194,47773485,1194_47782287:1194_47791935&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL

I will not described them because you may look at any econimic calendar to see.

And some people said that next levels for GBPUSd may be the following:

1.9580 and 1.9595.

Means, uptrend?

Will see.

Next news we will have on USD at 13:30 GMT so take care.

It will be the following:

USD.

GDP annualised 1st est. - Qtr 4.

Previous value: 2.0%

Forecasting for now: 3.0%

Real value to now: will be at 13:30 GMT.

Where to see?

https://www.bea.gov/bea/dn/home/gdp.htm

What is GDP?

Gross Domestic Product. US indicator.

More nighier value is more good for national currency (for USD in our example).

And more for today coming.

CAD.

today at 13:30 as well.

GDP by Industry (MoM) - Nov

Previous: 0.0%

Forecasting: 0.2%

Real one for now :will be at 13:30 GMT.

And finally:

USD.

today at 19:15 GMT.

FOMC Fed Funds Rate.

Previous: 5.25%

Forecasting: 5.25%

Real one for today: will be at 19:15.

Where to see?

https://www.federalreserve.gov/FOMC/#calendars

 
newdigital:
We closed all the orders before news yesterday https://www.mql5.com/en/forum/172939/page26

Signals today.

USDCAD.

Sell at 1.1785 at 07 am (GMT+1).

Stop loss #1: 1.1813.

Stop loss #2: 1.1805.

Current price: 1.1792.

This signal is false and was not confirmed by M15 timeframe.

AUDUSD.

Sell at 0.7710 at 09 am (GMT+1) - 20 minutes ago.

Stop loss #1: 0.7727.

Stop loss #2: 0.7734.

Current price: 0.7702.

This signal was confirmed by M15 timeframe.

No any other signals for now.

Just AUDUSD only.

Stop loss for AUDCAD was moved to 0.7720 and I got loss.

-10 pips.

 

It was unconfirmed signal on USDCHF and unconfirmed signal for EURUSD right now. Unconfirmed so I am not taking.

 
newdigital:
Why EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCHF did some movement today in the morning and our system missed those signals?

And some pairs started to move at 8 and some of hem - at 9 am (GMT+1)?

Why?

Because it was news movement.

EUR.

31st of January, at 07:00 am (GMT).

- Germany: Retail Sales (MoM) - Dec:

previous value: -0.3%

forecasting for now: ---

Now real one: 2.4%

More highier value is more good for national curency.

http://www.destatis.de/presse/englisch/aktu_pm.htm

- Germany: Retail Sales (YoY) - Dec

previous value: -0.5%

forecasting for now: 1.4%

Now real one: -0.2%

More highier value is more good for national curency.

http://www.destatis.de/presse/englisch/aktu_pm.htm

- Germany ILO Unemployment Rate - Dec

previous value: 7.7%

forecasting for now: 7.7%

Now real one: 7.6%

- France: Consumer Confidence - Jan (at 07:45)

previous value: -26

forecasting for now: -25

Now real one: -24

- France: ILO Unemployment Rate - Dec (at 07:45)

previous value: 8.7%

forecasting for now: 8.7%

Now real one: -24

- France: Producer Price Index (MoM) - Dec (at 07:50)

previous value: 0.0%

forecasting for now: 0.1%

Now real one: -0.1%

- France: PPI (YoY) - Dec (at 07:50)

previous value: 2.4%

forecasting for now: 2.8%

Now real one: 2.7%

- Germany: Unemployment Rate s.a. - Jan (at 08:55)

previous value: 9.8%

forecasting for now: 9.7%

Now real one: 9.5%

- Germany: Unemployment Change s.a. - Jan (at 08:55)

previous value: -130K

forecasting for now: -40K

Now real one: -106K

- Italy: Producer Price Index (MoM) - Dec (at 09:00)

previous value: 0.1%

forecasting for now: 0.1%

Now real one: 0.2%

- Italy: PPI (YoY) - Dec (at 09:00)

previous value: 5.3%

forecasting for now: 5.1%

Now real one: 5.2%

And a lot of EUR economic indicators were at 10 am (GMT):

Eurozone: Economic Sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Retail Sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Industry sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Consumer sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: Services Confidence - Jan

Eurozone: Construction Sentiment - Jan

Eurozone: CPI Flash Estimate - Jan

Eurozone: Business Climate - Jan

Eurozone: Unemployment Rate - Dec

http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/indicators/businessandconsumersurveys_en.htm

http://epp.eurostat.cec.eu.int/portal/page?_pageid=1194,47773485,1194_47782287:1194_47791935&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL

I will not described them because you may look at any econimic calendar to see.

And some people said that next levels for GBPUSd may be the following:

1.9580 and 1.9595.

Means, uptrend?

Will see.

Next news we will have on USD at 13:30 GMT so take care.

It will be the following:

USD.

GDP annualised 1st est. - Qtr 4.

Previous value: 2.0%

Forecasting for now: 3.0%

Real value to now: will be at 13:30 GMT.

Where to see?

https://www.bea.gov/bea/dn/home/gdp.htm

What is GDP?

Gross Domestic Product. US indicator.

More nighier value is more good for national currency (for USD in our example).

And more for today coming.

CAD.

today at 13:30 as well.

GDP by Industry (MoM) - Nov

Previous: 0.0%

Forecasting: 0.2%

Real one for now :will be at 13:30 GMT.

And finally:

USD.

today at 19:15 GMT.

FOMC Fed Funds Rate.

Previous: 5.25%

Forecasting: 5.25%

Real one for today: will be at 19:15.

Where to see?

https://www.federalreserve.gov/FOMC/#calendars

Some news from Dow Jones:

- Dollar Climbs On Strong GDP; Awaiting FOMC, Paulson

- FOMC: 2-Day Meet Reconvenes 9:00 a.m. EST As Scheduled

- FOMC Resumes 2-Day Meeting At 9:00 am EST, As Scheduled

- MARKET TALK: 4Q GDP Benefitted A Lot From Trade

- MARKET TALK: USD Climb To Be Limited Post GDP - RBS Ruskin

- GDP annualised 1st est. - Qtr 4 = 3.5%

- Dollar Climbs On Strong GDP; Awaiting FOMC, Paulson -2-

 

So it was movement fully related to the news. News movement.

Just for example:

MARKET TALK: USD Back To Little Changed After Chicago PMI

A lot of news today ...

For example:

Construction Spending (MoM) - Dec at 3 pm GMT now:

previous value for November: +0.1%

expectation: 0.0%

current (new) value: -0.4%

It was decreased. So that is why we got uptrend on EURUSD right now.

 

Sometimes we need to look at the news to exit before the news. Sometimes it helps. But there are a lot of them this week and this week is not finished yet

 
newdigital:
And some people said that next levels for GBPUSd may be the following:

1.9580 and 1.9595.

Means, uptrend?

Will see.

It was post #383. GBPUSD moved up even more.