Forecast and levels for Dow Jones Industrial Average - page 6

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2020.07.03 12:22

Dow Jones Industrial Average - ranging near and below 200 SMA to be ready for the daily bullish reversal(based on the article)

• "The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4%, over 100 points, on Thursday, while the S&P 500 rose 0.4% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 0.5%."
• "Stocks jumped after a bigger-than-expected increase in jobs last month: The Labor Department reported that 4.8 million jobs were added in June—more than the 2.9 million expected."
• "The unemployment rate fell to 11.1%, down from 13.3% in May. The jobs data for June was collected in the middle of the month, however, before a spike in new coronavirus cases cropped up across the South and West."
  

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
  

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

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Sergey Golubev, 2021.05.07 19:42

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, GBP/USD and Dow Jones Industrial Average: Non-Farm Payrolls

2021-05-07 13:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 770K
• forecast data is 990K
• actual data is 266K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

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From official report :

• "Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 266,000 in April, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 6.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains in leisure and hospitality, other services, and local government education were partially offset by employment declines in temporary help services and in couriers and messengers".

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Dollar Index: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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GBP/USD: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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Dow Jones: range price movement by Non-Farm Payrolls news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

[LuckyMac]

Im going to take a look back through some of these posts, i like the chart set up. Thanks for sharing 

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2021.10.13 15:41

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, Brent Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Average: United States Core Consumer Price Index (CPI)

2021-10-13 12:30 GMT | [USD - Core CPI]

• past data is 0.1%
• forecast data is  0.2%
• actual data is 0.2% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Core CPI] = Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food and energy.

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From official report :

• The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.4 percent in September on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.3 percent in August, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 5.4 percent before seasonal adjustment.
• The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.2 percent in September, after increasing 0.1 percent in August. Along with the index for shelter, the indexes for new vehicles, household furnishings and operations, and motor vehicle insurance also rose in September. The indexes for airline fares, apparel, and used cars and trucks all declined over the month.

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USD/JPY: range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

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Brent Crude Oi : range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

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Dow Jones Industrial Averag : range price movement by United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.04.01 14:53

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/JPY, GOLD (XAU/USD) and  Dow Jones Industrial Average: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-04-01 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 750K
• forecast data is 492K
• actual data is 431K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

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From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 431,000 in March, and the unemployment rate declined to 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains continued in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, retail trade, and manufacturing".

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USD/JPY : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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XAU/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ColorSchaffTriXTrendCycle - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.06.16 07:46

Intra-Day Fundamentals - AUD/USD, Brent Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Average : Federal Funds Rate and FOMC Statement

2022-06-15 18:00 GMT | [USD - Federal Funds Rate]

• past data is 1.00%
• forecast data is 1.50%
• actual data is 1.75% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Federal Funds Rate] = Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight.

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From rttnews article :

"In an effort to combat elevated inflation, the Federal Reserve on Wednesday announced the biggest increase in interest rates in almost thirty years. The Fed revealed that it has decided to raise the target rate for the federal funds rate by 75 basis points to 1.50 to 1.75 percent, marking the biggest rate hike since 1994".

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AUD/USD: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

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Brent Crude Oil: range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

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Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by  Federal Funds Rate news events

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Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Vortex - indicator for MetaTrader 5

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Same systems for MT4/MT5:

The beginning

1. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #1
2. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #2
3. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #3
4. ASCTrend system, the beginning, part #4 
5. Digital ASCTrend (Digital Filters with ASCTrend system combined).
6. LabTrend (LabTrend indicators, LabTrendZigZag, templates, Labtrend EAs) - the thread

After 

1. The main AscTrend thread is this one.
2. Asctrend indicator in depth 
3. ASCTREND SYSTEM summary (good EAs included) 
4. Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) - the thread

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.09.06 18:05

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CAD, Brent Crude Oil and Dow Jones Industrial Average: ISM United States Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

2022-09-06 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Services PMI]

• past data is 56.7
• forecast data is 55.4
• actual data is 56.9 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ISM Services PMI]  =  Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.

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From official report :

"In August, the Services PMI® registered 56.9 percent, 0.2 percentage point higher than July’s reading of 56.7 percent. The Business Activity Index registered 60.9 percent, an increase of 1 percentage point compared to the reading of 59.9 percent in July. The New Orders Index figure of 61.8 percent is 1.9 percentage points higher than the July reading of 59.9 percent."

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USD/CAD : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

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Brent Crude Oil : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

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Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

==========

Chart was made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• SolarWinds - indicator for MetaTrader 5

Same system for MT4:

1. Brainwashing. Trades: manually and using EAs (MT4)
2. Brainwashing EAs - the thread (MT4)
3. Brainwashing: system setup for trading manually and for EAs (MT4) - the thread 
4. Brainwashing: system development (MT4) - the thread

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2022.11.04 15:51

Intra-Day Fundamentals - GBP/USD, Dollar Index (DXY) and  Dow Jones Industrial Average: United States Nonfarm Payrolls

2022-11-04 12:30 GMT | [USD - Non-Farm Employment Change]

• past data is 315K
• forecast data is 197K
• actual data is 261K according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Non-Farm Employment Change] = Change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry.

==========

From official report :

"Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 261,000 in October, and the unemployment rate rose to 3.7 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Notable job gains occurred in health care, professional and technical services, and manufacturing."

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GBP/USD : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Dollar Index (DXY) : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Dow Jones Industrial Average : range price movement by Nonfarm Payrolls news events

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Chart was made on MT5 with BrainTrading system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) as well as the following indicators from CodeBase:

• BrainTrend2Sig indicator from Codebase (free to download)
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5

All about BrainTrading system for MT5: 

• BrainTrending indicators to download with template. 
• Rules to trade manually 
• How to install

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.06.06 07:28

Intra-Day Fundamentals - Dollar Index, USD/JPY and Dow Jones Industrial Average : ISM United States Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)

2023-06-05 14:00 GMT | [USD - ISM Services PMI]

• past data is 51.9
• forecast data is 51.5
• actual data is 50.3 according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - ISM Services PMI]  =  Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers, excluding the manufacturing industry.

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From rttnews article :

"Service sector activity in the U.S. saw only modest growth in the month of May, according to a report released by the Institute for Supply Management on Monday, with the index of activity in the sector falling by more than expected. The ISM said its services PMI fell to 50.3 in May from 51.9 in April, although a reading above 50 still indicates growth in the sector."

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Dollar Index (DXY): range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

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USD/JPY: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

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Dow Jones Industrial Average: range price movement by ISM Services PMI  news events

==========

Charts were made on MT5 with Brainwashing system/AscTrend system (MT5) from this thread (free to download) together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• ASCtrend - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Ichimoku Cloud - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• SilverTrend_NRTR - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

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The forum threads

1. Key forum thread - Fast Fourier Transform - Cycle Extraction - the thead with FFTfiltr indicator and explanation
2. New EA based on the !xMeter (!xMter based on Fast Fourier Transform) - the thread 
3. Many FFT indicators with examples and explanations - the thread 
4. Ticks Before The News - the thread with many FFT indicators and explanation how to trade

CodeBase

1. dt_FFT - library for MetaTrader  
2. LGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 4 
3. ALGLIB - Numerical Analysis Library - library for MetaTrader 5 
4. AFIRMA - indicator for MetaTrader 5
   
5. Fourier extrapolation of price - indicator for MetaTrader 5

The articles

• Introduction to the Empirical Mode Decomposition Method  
  
• Building a Spectrum Analyzer  
• Analysis of the Main Characteristics of Time Series

[Sergey Golubev]

Forum on trading, automated trading systems and testing trading strategies

Press review

Sergey Golubev, 2023.08.24 15:42

Intra-Day Fundamentals - USD/CAD, GBP/USD and Dow Jones Industrial Average: Unites States Durable Goods Orders

2023-08-24 12:30 GMT | [USD - Durable Goods Orders]

• past data is 4.4%
• forecast data is 0.3%
• actual data is -5.2% according to the latest press release

if actual > forecast (or previous value) = good for currency (for USD in our case)

[USD - Durable Goods Orders] = Change in the total value of new purchase orders placed with manufacturers for durable goods.

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From rttnews article :

"With aircraft demand pulling back sharply following recent strength, the Commerce Department released a report on Thursday showing new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods tumbled by more than expected in the month of July. The Commerce Department said durable goods orders plunged by 5.2 percent in July after surging by a revised 4.4 percent in June."

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USD/CAD: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events

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GBP/USD: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events

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Dow Jones: range price movement by Durable Goods Orders news events

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The chart was made on MT5 with standard indicators of Metatrader 5 together with following indicators:

• MaksiGen_Range_Move MTF - indicator for MetaTrader 5
• Laguerre - indicator for MetaTrader 5 (as a part of Laguerre scalping system)