Seniors & Forex Traders plesae review my strategy and results & comments please

 

Finally I have build my own trading strategy and below are the results which I got.


So expecting seniors to review it and expert comments on it whether this strategy is good or not?


Thanks in Advance



GCI Financial Ltd.


Account: 519720 Name: Terry Currency: USD 2012 October 16, 05:35
Closed Transactions:
TicketOpen TimeTypeSizeItem PriceS / LT / PClose Time PriceCommissionTaxesSwapProfit
238456572012.10.14 23:16buy1.00eurusd1.28980.00000.00002012.10.15 05:361.29670.000.000.00690.00
238456552012.10.14 23:16buy1.00eurusd1.28981.29950.00002012.10.16 05:111.29950.000.00-2.46970.00
236699962012.10.10 03:06sell1.00eurusd1.28630.00000.00002012.10.14 23:161.28980.000.000.65-350.00
236699062012.10.10 03:06sell1.00eurusd1.28640.00000.00002012.10.14 23:161.28980.000.000.65-340.00
236698522012.10.10 03:05sell1.00nse_nifty5681002012.10.10 03:0656920.000.000.00-11.00
234571272012.10.03 05:52buy1.00eurusd1.29350.00000.00002012.10.10 03:051.28630.000.00-17.26-720.00
234571092012.10.03 05:51buy1.00eurusd1.29350.00000.00002012.10.04 23:211.30190.000.00-4.92840.00
233437982012.09.30 17:00balanceIR86.12
231562392012.09.20 04:40sell1.00eurusd1.29760.00000.00002012.09.27 22:011.29250.000.001.04510.00
231562312012.09.20 04:40sell1.00eurusd1.29750.00000.00002012.10.03 05:511.29340.000.001.69410.00
228354202012.09.11 00:41sell1.00nse_nifty5354538502012.09.11 02:3553850.000.000.00-31.00
226719072012.09.03 00:39buy1.00nse_nifty5322002012.09.11 00:4153540.000.00-80.0032.00
226702562012.09.02 23:01buy1.00eurusd1.25861.27830.00002012.09.10 04:011.27830.000.00-16.871 970.00
226702552012.09.02 23:01buy1.00eurusd1.25860.00000.00002012.09.03 22:411.26220.000.00-2.39360.00
226702522012.09.02 23:01buy1.00eurusd1.25871.26101.27102012.09.04 00:581.26100.000.00-2.39230.00
226489032012.08.31 17:00balanceIR83.32
225996362012.08.29 23:57sell1.00eurusd1.25401.25340.00002012.08.31 04:471.25340.000.000.1360.00
225996092012.08.29 23:54sell1.00eurusd1.25400.00000.00002012.08.30 23:291.25240.000.000.13160.00
225996072012.08.29 23:54sell1.00eurusd1.25400.00000.00002012.08.30 23:291.25250.000.000.13150.00
225996062012.08.29 23:54sell1.00eurusd1.25400.00000.00002012.09.02 23:011.25850.000.000.51-450.00
225760762012.08.28 21:23buy1.00eurusd1.25660.00000.00002012.08.29 23:541.25400.000.00-2.38-260.00
225760722012.08.28 21:22buy1.00eurusd1.25650.00000.00002012.08.29 23:541.25400.000.00-2.38-250.00
224831512012.08.23 21:54sell1.00eurusd1.25631.25350.00002012.08.28 04:461.25350.000.000.51280.00
211973432012.06.18 22:12balanceDeposit50 000.00
0.00 0.00 -125.61 4 250.00
Closed P/L: 4 124.39
Open Trades:
TicketOpen TimeTypeSizeItem PriceS / LT / P PriceCommissionTaxesSwapProfit
238456622012.10.14 23:16buy1.00eurusd1.28980.00000.00001.29910.000.00-2.46930.00
0.00 0.00 -2.46 930.00
Floating P/L: 927.54
Working Orders:
TicketOpen TimeTypeSizeItem PriceS / LT / PMarket Price
No transactions
Summary:
Deposit/Withdrawal: 50 169.44 Credit Facility: 0.00
Closed Trade P/L: 4 124.39 Floating P/L: 927.54 Margin: 250.00
Balance: 54 293.83 Equity: 55 221.37 Free Margin: 54 971.37
Details:


Gross Profit: 6 604.60 Gross Loss: 2 480.21 Total Net Profit: 4 124.39
Profit Factor: 2.66 Expected Payoff: 196.40
Absolute Drawdown: 234.25 Maximal Drawdown: 1 436.96 (2.66%) Relative Drawdown: 2.66% (1 436.96)
Total Trades: 21 Short Positions (won %): 11 (54.55%) Long Positions (won %): 10 (60.00%)
Profit Trades (% of total): 12 (57.14%) Loss trades (% of total): 9 (42.86%)
Largest profit trade: 1 953.13 loss trade: -737.26
Average profit trade: 550.38 loss trade: -275.58
Maximum consecutive wins ($): 3 (2 538.35) consecutive losses ($): 4 (-1 436.96)
Maximal consecutive profit (count): 2 538.35 (3) consecutive loss (count): -1 436.96 (4)
Average consecutive wins: 2 consecutive losses: 2
 
TerryTosan:
Total Trades:21

You need a lot more trades . . . what you have so far looks good, but you cannot conclude it is representative.
 
Yes,the results looks good and impressive but the most important is the consistency and we would only know it after a minimum of 6 months. Wish good luck and great job done so far. All the best
 

@TerryTosan,

I am no senior, but I wish to share constructive feedback with you.

A back test does not show your strategy's logic. Without knowing the logic of your strategy, there is no way for me to determine if the strategy will sustain and gain profits for an account balance in the "long haul" of LIVE trading.

I have but one question for you to ask yourself.

"Is my EA prepared to handle all placed trades in any and all market conditions when run on a LIVE account balance?"

Thank you.

 
WhooDoo22: "Is my EA prepared to handle all placed trades in any and all market conditions when run on a LIVE account balance?"
Did you post your code?
 
Test for atleast two years. It might be great in current conditions then when there is no euro or dollar issues it losses. The best way is to turn it into a EA then backtest it for larger lengths of time.
 

Congratulations!  You are on the right track.  I think you have a winning strategy.  My only concern is that you have 3 losses in a row.  This is going the create problems down the road.  If you keep working at it, you will be able to find a winning strategy that won't fail you.  Hope you to find a winning strategy that rarely loses, maybe 50:1.

 

I guess my strategy is working fine at this time below is the continuous progress/result of my strategy.

Looking for expert comments from Seniors please as I am doing this trades part time

I feel more comfortable on h4 timeframe as this timeframe makes me easy to handle my trades during my fulltime job as well

 


 


 

Your strategy may be very good, but I'd like to signal you that not always

setting a stop loss order you are exposed to very big risk. Set it where you suppose that stop will never be caught

if you prefer (i prefer tight stop losses) but not putting it ...mmmm 

we can never exclude anything for the future.

kind regards

Giorgio

 
gmp66:

Your strategy may be very good, but I'd like to signal you that not always

setting a stop loss order you are exposed to very big risk. Set it where you suppose that stop will never be caught

if you prefer (i prefer tight stop losses) but not putting it ...mmmm 

we can never exclude anything for the future.

kind regards

Giorgio


I can say that stop loss is not a part of my trading strategy as I am always in the trade whether buy or short.

BTW thanks for your suggestion I will keep SL if necessary.

 

What I wanted to know is the return. Is this returns are good as a part time trader? 

 
TerryTosan:


...

 

What I wanted to know is the return. Is this returns are good as a part time trader? 

No, this return is not good. Please re-read again what RaptorUK and tonny said above.