Direction of the subsequent tick
Good afternoon!
It may have been discussed, the topic is not new.
Colleagues, puzzled by this question.
What will be the probability of the direction of the next tick (up/down) depending on the direction of the previous tick.
In my mind, the probability that after the previous tick up, getting the next tick down will be higher than getting a tick in the same direction.
Has anyone done any research in this direction?
What will be the probability of the direction of the next tick (up/down) depending on the direction of the previous tick.
Good afternoon!
It may have been discussed, the topic is not new.
Colleagues, puzzled by this question.
What will be the probability of the direction of the next tick (up/down) depending on the direction of the previous tick.
In my mind, the probability that after the previous tick up, getting the next tick down will be higher than getting a tick in the same direction.
Has anyone done any research in this direction?
In terms of probabilities, it is 0.5.
Not exactly, there is a regression to the mean.
In MQL5 there is a tick history, a script to calculate the probability is written in 30 minutes and $3))
Not really, there is a regression to the average.
Good afternoon!
It may have been discussed, the topic is not new.
Colleagues, puzzled by this question.
What will be the probability of the direction of the next tick (up/down) depending on the direction of the previous tick.
In my mind, the probability that after the previous tick up, getting the next tick down will be higher than getting a tick in the same direction.
Perhaps anyone has done research in this direction?
50/50 with a large enough sample.
For small samples, it's up to God's will
In 4-digit quotes, the probability of determining the direction of the tick is higher.
Because I can analyse price behaviour from a 5-digit quote where there is already much more information about the price.
But the provider should be of course the same.
Only the sense is in it. The spread is larger than the tick.
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Good afternoon!
It may have been discussed, the topic is not new.
Colleagues, puzzled by this question.
What will be the probability of the direction of the next tick (up/down) depending on the direction of the previous tick.
In my mind, the probability that after the previous tick up, getting the next tick down will be higher than getting a tick in the same direction.
Has anyone done any research in this direction?