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The fed funds futures curve is now essentially flat, with market-based expectations pointing to a pause in the rate hike cycle until at least the end of 2017...
The SG FX Enhanced Risk Premia has kept positions of reduced size during the week. The SG Sentiment indicator has slipped back in the risk-averse zone, and that has led to the closure of some pro-risk positions. The biggest longs are in JPY, EUR and NOK...
One of the biggest sources of confusion for those new to the forex trading industry is the standard for quoting currency dealing trading. In this section, we'll go over forex trading quotations and how they work in forex trading couple trades. http://www.makemoneysecrete.com/ Reading a Quote...
There are two broad developments in speculative positioning in the Commitment of Traders report in the week ending February 9. First, the market turbulence saw speculators reduce exposure. Of the 16 gross positions we track, 11 were reducing positions by liquidating longs or covering shorts...
The Federal Reserve's rate path "dot plot" has become increasingly detached from financial markets' interest-rate projections and risks sending an overly hawkish message that may undermine the central bank's credibility...
Data in this report cover up to Tuesday Feb 2 & were released Friday Feb 5. Data include the Fed and BoJ policy decisions as well as Fed VC Fischer’s comments. The aggregate USD long position has fallen to a fresh multimonth low, dropping $5.4bn w/w to $20...
Here’s the market outlook for this week:: Content courtesy of Tallinex Limited (https://www.tallinex.com) EURUSD Dominant bias: Bullish EURUSD rose 230 pips last week to top-out at the 1.1350 resistance line before the current bearish correction saw price retreat 100 pips...
In the coming period only the article "Ranking & Rating List" will be published. At the moment the process for generating the articles is being optimized and streamlined. The expectation is to publish all the articles again somewhere in February. Thanks for your understanding...
USD: Buy vs. the Funders. Bullish. We expect risk appetite to pick up this week, which should keep the USD supported against the funders – EUR, JPY and CHF. Of course, it is important to keep an eye on the tightening financial conditions that are having an impact on Fed decisionmaking...
EURUSD: Although holding on to its upside offensive, EURUSD faces pullback threats on loss of momentum at the end of the week. On the downside, support is located at the 1.1200 level and if violated, expect more weakness to happen towards the 1.1150 level. Further down, support lies at the 1...
The human brain is a fascinating machine. It allows us to do many things simultaneously without having to think about doing them...
One thing is for certain - pound sterling (GBP) is going to move substantially against the US dollar over coming months. The question is, which way? HSBC's currency team lay out four scenarios...
EUR/USD: Wave analysis and forecast for 12.02 – 19.02: Uptrend continues. Estimated pivot point is at the level of 1.0970. Our opinion: Buy the pair from correction above the level of 1.0970 with the target of 1.15 – 1.16...
In the high-speed world of high-frequency trading change comes quick, too, as Wall Street struggles to find seasoned execs to lead the firms’ efforts...
As early as 2009, Reinhart and Rogoff (2009) pointed out that "recessions surrounding financial crises are usually long compared to normal recessions...
The outlook for the dollar in the week ahead is not about economic data or the FOMC and ECB minutes. It is about the stability of the global capital markets. Many are looking for an event or official action that will stop the rout that is of historic proportions to start the year...
Oil futures soared on Friday. West Texas Intermediate crude registered its best one-day percentage gain in about seven years. On Friday, WTI crude for March delivery CLH6, +10.72% jumped by $3.23, or 12.3%, to settle at $29...
In response to the tightening of financial conditions we have observed over the past month, BNP Paribas economists have made significant changes to their Fed forecasts and now no longer expect the Fed to hike rates in 2016 or 2017...
The euro to dollar exchange rate is way above the ECB’s preferred level, and this spells danger for the euro bulls. Will the euro to dollar exchange rate’s impressive rally, take a terminal hit fro the ECB soon? We believe it could. "One thing to consider moving forward: the EUR/USD exchange rate...
