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Talking Points: USD/CAD Technical Strategy: On Watch For Breakout > 1.33030 To Carry Toward 1.33+ Trader Sentiment Warns a Coiled Move Lower Could Be Around the Corner Canadian Dollar Underperforming Post-Brexit Relative To Commodity Peers Quick Fundamental Take...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Mirza Baig, 6 July 2016, 03:03
Talking Points Gold, USDOLLAR at risk heading into FOMC minutes Updated targets & invalidation levels Compete to Win Cash Prizes with FXCM’s Forex Trading Contest Tomorrow is the release of the minutes from the latest FOMC policy meeting and although we’ve already seen Chair Yellen’s presser...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Mirza Baig, 6 July 2016, 03:01
GOLD: The commodity continues to target more recovery leaving risk towards the 1,365.00 zone. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,350.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,240.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,330...
Analytics & Forecasts
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FXTechstrategy.com, 6 July 2016, 02:47 #gold
The turmoil generated by the June 23 UK Brexit vote has prompted analysts to adjust their yuan calls going forward to reflect renewed weakness against the dollar, with the new 2016 forecast for the high range from CNY6.7500 to CNY7.000. USDCNY closed at CNY6.6860 Tuesday, after trading in a CNY6...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 5 July 2016, 23:29
Back below 200 hour MA Adam just posted on the weakness in the price of oil . The USDCAD followed that retreat with a move higher today. That rally has seen the price of USDCAD retrace to the 50% of the move down from the June 28 - post Brexit - high. That level comes in at 1...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 20:32
Since Brexit, gold, silver, and related currencies (comdolls) such as AUD, have been on the rise, due to gold’s status as a safe-haven commodity. Since a few days back however, things have started to change, and big sell orders have started hitting those markets...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Leonardo Barata, 5 July 2016, 19:47
Congestion area broken and traders exit in a hurry The congestion in the EURUSD at the 1.1113-20 level worked for a bounce to 1.1134, but then the support gave way and traders exited/sold into to break (get me OUT) The fall has now taken the price to - and through the 1...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 19:34
Tests the September 1985 low. The GBPUSD has moved to new session lows and continues the fall to new multi decade lows. The pair is currently testing the September 1985 swing low at the 1.3045 level (the low comes in at 1.30413...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 19:31
Lots of technical congestion ahead Like a major artery where different roads come together, the EURUSD has one such area being approached. The 100 and 200 hour MAs at 1.1113-20 and the low for the day at 1.1119 come together. Just north of that intersection is a trend line connecting lows (at 1...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 19:27
Not to be confused with the BREXIT day low The USDJPY traded at a low of 101.38 on June 27th. That was the Monday after the BREXIT result on June 24th. That was the low from last week as well. The 50% of the move up from the low comes in at 101.20 area (I am using a low on Brexit day of 99...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 19:26
USD/CAD fell on July 1 and July 4 holidays USD/CAD is trading almost precisely where it closed the day on June 30. It's taken a 110 pip, one-way rally to get there but all that's happened is that the pair has unwound declines on July 1 (a holiday in Canada) and July 4 (a holiday in the USA...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 19:21
The Australian dollar enjoyed a post-Brexit recovery and managed to top the 0.75 level. While AUD/USD keeps holding on to this ground, the gains may have stopped for now...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 17:50
The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is based on a survey of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector. Respondents are surveyed for their view of the economy and business conditions in the US...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 17:49
Signs that the Brexit is already taking its toll are accumulating. A mix of surveys, news reports and a political turmoil is taking over. GBP/USD is falling once again, over 100 pips and back to the 1.31 handle. The low so far is 1.3162, above the 1...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 17:47
EURUSD Daily Analysis EURUSD (1.113): EURUSD is seen pulling back after edging higher yesterday. Having cleared 1.110, the current pullback could be limited to 1.110 to establish support. In such an event, EURUSD could potentially be forming a base at 1.110 for the eventual test to 1...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 17:45 #xauusd, technical analysis
The fallout from Brexit is far from over. Bank of America Merrill Lynch sees further falls and explains: Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: Rarely in UK political history has there been a situation where there has been a concurrent leadership contest in the two largest parties in Parliament...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 17:42
EUR/USD is struggling with Brexit and there is more potential to the downside. And that’s not the only reason. Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews: We are lowering our 3m EURUSD forecast to 1.05 from 1...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 17:41
UK Services PMI is based on a survey of purchasing managers in the services sector. Respondents are surveyed for their view of the economy and business conditions in the UK. A reading which is higher than the market forecast is bullish for the pound...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 17:40
AUD has depreciated in recent years, as it adjusted to the lower terms-of-trade stemming from the decline in commodity prices. However, the currency has remained stronger than the level of commodity prices and the rates differential would suggest...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 5 July 2016, 16:53 #forex
Takes out lower trend line on hourly chart. Timber The GBPUSD just took out the lower trend line which held briefly at 1.3090 area, and we are seeing further selling as traders throw in the towel. With the price trading at lowest levels since 1985, there is not a whole lot to hang onto...
Trading Systems
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Sherif Hasan, 5 July 2016, 15:37