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After holding rates unchanged at the March meeting, the minutes suggest that rates will probably remain at current level also at the April meeting; various views emerged but several argued against hiking rates in April while some favored it...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 22:39
Janet Yellen set the bar with her dovish comments last week, but the minutes from March’s didn’t stray too far...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 21:40
Can policymakers clutch defeat from the jaws of a currency ‘truce’ victory? Of course they can! The most obvious contradiction now at play, is how to square a slightly weaker USD versus EM not turning into too much USD weakness versus the EUR and JPY...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 21:39 #forex
Analytical Review of the Stocks of General Electric Company General Electric Company, #GE [NYSE] Industrial goods, Diversifies industry, USA Financial performance of the company: Index – DJIA, S&P 500...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 20:52
EUR/USD: Between the Levels of 1.1430 and 1.1340 After reaching the level of 1.1430 last week, the pair EUR/USD has been declining for the third day in a row. Strong US macro-economic data released last Friday caused the rise in the USD against major counterparts, including the pair EUR/USD...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 20:47
AUD/USD: Bid on Oil Draws Ahead of FOMC Minutes AUD/USD is currently on the bid as we head in towards the FOMC today. AUD/USD has rallied from a low of 0.7510 and has penetrated the 0.76 handle. This is a move that commenced in yesterday's start of business in the U.S...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 20:36
EUR/USD Rises Above 1.1400 as Dollar Tumbles Ahead of FOMC Minutes EUR/USD broke above 1.1401 and climbed to 1.1431 hitting the highest level since last Friday and is only a few pips below last week highs. If it rises above 1.1437 it would be trading at the strongest level since October...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 20:33
USD/JPY Hits Fresh 17-Month Low After FOMC Minutes USD/JPY dropped further after the release of the Federal Reserve minutes and bottomed at 109.33, hitting the lowest level since October 2014. The pair then bounced to the upside, and it trading around 109...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 20:23
German industrial production fell by 0.5% m/m in February, better than expectations for a 1.8% fall after the very strong January print. The January reading itself was revised down by 1pp to 2.3% m/m. Overall we see eurozone economy growing by a fairly solid 0...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 18:15 #forex
On the first of February, just before the BOJ’s bungled attempt to ease monetary policy, the Bloomberg consensus for USD/JPY in Q4 2016 was 125, with a range of 110-134. Today, the consensus is 118, the range 100-131. That is about as confused as the FX market ever gets...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 17:18 #forex
Strategists at Westpac believe the US dollar could resume its downside in the short term. “A spike in risk aversion may save the USD on selected crosses near term but the beyond that the lacks underlying support”...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 16:52 #forex
Because traders and investors forget on history soon, it is good to remind some big history events in trading history. Today it's flash crash from May 6, 2010. For a very long time, there were rumors about the cause of this event...
Trading Systems
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Algofxsolution, 6 April 2016, 16:07
Today’s Fed minutes could undermine the risk rally further especially if they highlight that there was a range of views on the pace of rate normalization in March...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 15:43 #forex
Westpac's strategic call to sell the GBP to USD pair on anticipation of a deep decline has proven right so far and there is still further to go before the initial target is met. It is not too late to ride the GBP/USD train to lower levels. The exchange rate is forecast to weaken to below 1...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 14:25 #forex
The Canadian government has projected that the change in fiscal stance will add 0.5ppt to real GDP growth this fiscal year, notes BTMU...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 14:22 #forex
GBP's performance against USD is lagging compared to its other G10 counterparts. Brexit fears continue to weigh on GBP, our G10 FX PIX indicator shows GBP short positioning increased further last week and is now at extreme levels, a lot is already priced in now for the EU referendum...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Vasilii Apostolidi, 6 April 2016, 13:42 #forex
FXWIREPRO: EUR/JPY Breaks Strong Trendline Support at 125.26, Good to Sell Rallies EUR/JPY is retreating from last week’s tops just above 128.00, and has breached strong trendline support at 125.26. Momentum studies are bearish, confirming further downside in the pair...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 13:37
China: March Foreign Reserves Data Preview – ING Tim Condon, Chief Economist at ING, suggests that based on stable CNY policy and ING’s house view that USD/Majors will range trade in 2016 they revised their yearend USDCNY forecast to 6.47 from 6.65...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 13:34 #China
USD/JPY: Getting the Markets Confused - SocGen Kit Juckes, Research Analyst at Societe Generale, suggests that on the first of February, just before the BOJ’s bungled attempt to ease monetary policy, the Bloomberg consensus for USD/JPY in Q4 2016 was 125, with a range of 110-134...
Analytics & Forecasts
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Roberto Jacobs, 6 April 2016, 13:29
Dear Traders, The dollar advanced on the back of hawkish comments from Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren who said that the U.S. may need more rate increases than the market is currently pricing in...
Analytics & Forecasts
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maimarfx, 6 April 2016, 13:28 #FOMC