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Analysts at TD Securities explained that the strength of the short-covering in WTI crude oil, particularly with another 10% of short interest over the last week, has been similar in magnitude to the early-2015 price rally and net spec positioning reversal...
Analysts at TD Securities explained that they continue to be biased long 10Y in Bunds but note that high gap risk makes this position difficult to hold outright. Instead we are holding a Bund 2s10s flattener, which since the ECB meeting has tightened 7bps (Trade P&L +$350K...
On the daily chart, the price is within the wolfi waves harmonic pattern range. We are expecting to have a surge if the demand fuels up across the market...
Yellen dealt a heavy blow to the FX divergence trade and sent USD falling across the board. We doubt that this is the end of the multi-year USD bull-run, however, and see the current levels as an opportunity to establish fresh longs...
The dollar has taken a surprisingly big stumble in recent weeks, prompting traders to ask: What’s really driving the selloff? The answer some are coming up with smacks of conspiracy theory...
European Central Bank officials are treading a tortuous path on future interest-rate cuts, signaling they probably won't push rates further below zero--but still leaving wide open the possibility that they might...
USD/CAD Retail Sentiment in Focus Ahead of Canada Budget Talking Points: - USD/CAD Retail Sentiment Hits Fresh Near-Term Extremes Ahead of Canada Budget. - USDOLLAR Outlook Remains Mired by Waning Bets for Fed Rate-Hikes; August Low in Focus. USD/CAD...
Analysts from Danske Bank take note of the next key economic numbers from the US, until the end of the month. “In the US, next week is a light one in terms of data releases...
The AUD/USD continued to soar Thursday/Friday, reaching a nine-month high on the back of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s dovish comments about interest rates. To recap, the Fed held interest rates steady on Thursday in a widely expected move...
USD/JPY may settle down and move along with real money flows ahead of the Easter holiday next week, says BTMU. "Japanese exporters JPY buying has been picking up gradually. Real flows may generate sizeable yen buying pressure, weighing further on USD/JPY ahead of the fiscal year-end," BTMU adds...
Analysts noted the forthcoming Fed speakers next week. "Public remarks by District Presidents Lacker, Lockhart, Evans, Harker, Bullard and Williams. Lockhart’s remarks on Monday will be of particular interest to the markets given his position as a centrist on the Committee...
Analysts at Socgen explained that the biggest event was the FOMC meeting. "The market was expecting rates to be left on hold, but the tone of the statement and of the press conference to be more hawkish, setting the stage for a hike by June...
Analysts at BNP Paribas explained that the FOMC decided to leave interest rates unchanged at its latest meeting. "The decision was not consensual as Esther L. George, a well-known hawk, would have preferred to hike rates. We always knew that meeting would end up with at least one dissent...
Analysts at TD Securities noted the Chinese manufacturing coming up next week. "Chinese data has been thrown around (as usual) by the New Year holiday, so March data should bring about a cleaner read on the economy...
GBP/JPY Recovers but Still Down for the Week The pound is recovering across the board for the second day in a row and versus the yen continues to move off 2-week lows that reached on Thursday. GBP/JPY climbed recently to 161.77, reaching the highest level since Tuesday...
WTI Off Highs, Still Above $40.00 Crude oil prices are extending the rally today, posting fresh multi-month peaks above the $41.00 mark, albeit deflating a tad afterwards. WTI in fresh 2016 highs The barrel of West Texas Intermediate has managed to advance beyond the $41...
Good things may come in threes but the Bank of Japan was not nearly as dovish this month as the Fed and ECB. Yen strategist Taisuke Tanaka argued that eventual BoJ easing will come between April and July following replacement of two policy board members with QQE proponents...
Stock markets in the US appear on track to score fifth straight week of gains as prospects of a more gradual rate rise is keeping sentiment in favor of risk assets. At the time of writing, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) was up 106 points or 0.61...