Asia stocks rise after rebound in oil and copper

Asia stocks rise after rebound in oil and copper

15 January 2015, 09:04
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On Thursday Asian stocks mostly rose after a significant rebound in oil and copper prices brought a semblance of calm, while the dollar regained ground lost on disappointing U.S. retail sales.

Indian stocks rallied after the Reserve Bank of India yielded to signs of slowing inflation and delivered a surprise interest rate cut. The India NSE index rose 1.8 percent.

Equity gains in much of the region were less spectacular as global growth worries lingered after weak U.S. retail sales compounded concerns over an earlier plunge in copper prices.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan inched up 0.1 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.1 percent and Japan's Nikkei bounced 1.3 percent.

Australian stocks, widely dependent on exports of natural resources, lost 0.4 percent. South Korea's KOSPI dropped 0.2 percent.

"Consumers gain purchasing power when oil prices fall, but the fact that U.S. retail sales fell in December despite cheap oil has highlighted a serious deflation risk," said Chun Jung-hun, an analyst at Kiwoom Securities.

Copper skidded to a 5-1/2-year low on Wednesday as the recent decline in oil prices amplified fears about the state of the global economy. The industrial metal is generally considered a barometer of world demand.

After plunging 5.3 percent overnight, benchmark LME copper rose 1.3 percent to $5,622 a tonne.

Wednesday's data from the United States further capped risk appetite, with investors already feeling a chill from the World Bank's downgrade of its 2015 and 2016 economic forecasts.

U.S. retail sales recorded their largest decline in 11 months in December as demand fell almost across the board, tempering expectations for a sharp acceleration in consumer spending in the fourth quarter.

Oil prices retained a bulk of their gains after rebounding from near six-year lows overnight as traders turned away from bearish bets stoked by a global supply glut to cover expiring options.

U.S. crude was down 0.9 percent at $48.06 a barrel after surging nearly six percent overnight. Investors kept being cautious about the outlook due to the technical nature of the rebound in oil prices.

"The question is whether the market sees the current decline as overdone and is now establishing a bottom or is resetting and will go again," Evan Lucas, market strategist at IG in Melbourne, said in note to clients.

"I see the latter as the most likely scenario – the oil rout is far from over and it looks to me like a dead cat bounce."

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